基于独立分量分析和神经网络的钢结构损伤识别方法

为了有效剔除钢结构振动信号中的噪声,提取用于损伤识别的特征量,采用独立分量分析方法分离统计独立信号,同时得到表征结构损伤状态的混合矩阵,然后将混合矩阵作为特征量输入至神经网络进行训练,最后将训练好的神经网络作为分类器进行结构损伤识别.在冲击载荷作用下,针对钢框架结构模型进行了不同损伤部位的振动实验,结果表明:基于独立分量分析和神经网络的损伤识别方法具有较高的识别率和可重复性,而且实现简单,在结构损伤识别领域具有较大的应用潜力.     

具有随机扰动的SISV模型的解的渐近性态

研究一类具有两种随机扰动的SISV传染病模型．对于第一种随机SISV模型,证明对任给的非负初值,该随机模型一定存在唯一的全局正解,并讨论该随机模型的解围绕确定性模型的无病平衡点的渐近行为;对于第二种随机SISV模型,通过构造适当的Lyapunov泛函证明该随机模型的解是随机渐近稳定的．     

抢险救灾非战争军事行动中应急资源调度网络的优化方法

抢险救灾非战争军事行动包括道路抢修和物资运输等任务,而这两类任务在灾后应急资源调度中存在关联性的影响,且面临路网结构可变及需求随机模糊等挑战,对此,提出了一种非确定性应急资源调度网络双层规划模型,设计了基于蒙特卡洛方法与遗传算法耦合的智能启发式求解策略.通过对典型情境下应急资源调度案例进行分析建模和数值求解,说明了该模型和算法的合理性和有效性.     

神经网络和DEA方法的炮兵火力毁伤先验评估模型

提出运用BP神经网络理论和数据包络分析(DEA)方法,对炮兵火力毁伤先验评估问题进行研究。利用以往经验数据建立样本集,通过BP神经网络预测模型,对待评估的炮兵火力毁伤计划进行分析,预测其毁伤效益,再建立带有偏好锥结构的DEA评估模型,分析火力计划的可行性和合理性;最后以某部17组炮兵火力毁伤数据进行实例分析。结果表明,该模型能给出科学、明确、可靠的先验评估结果。     

改进的前向信息修补算法及其应用

前向信息修补算法可以对离散动态贝叶斯网络的缺失数据进行预测,该算法只适用于所有观测节点是相互独立的网络,却不能处理观测节点有依赖关系网络的缺失数据。针对该算法的这一缺陷,提出了改进的前向信息修补算法,在分析离散动态贝叶斯网络的缺失数据具有二种基本形式的基础上,推导出了每种形式的相应预测公式。继而构建了用于识别威胁源离散动态贝叶斯网络的模型。仿真实验验证了改进的前向信息修补算法的有效性。     

水面舰艇对海作战可靠性的新型评价方法

针对水面舰艇对海作战网络的特点,基于复杂网络"反社区"性质,将对海作战网络描述成"反社区"有向赋权图。结合传统可靠性分析方法,提出了一种新的可靠性评价指标,进一步扩展了传统可靠性指标的4个特性,并通过实例仿真,证明了该指标的有效性。该方法将传统可靠性理论与复杂网络理论有效地结合起来,将进一步扩大复杂网络的适用范围。     

A partial characterization of the optimal ordering/rationing policy for a periodic review system with two demand classes and backordering

We consider a finite horizon periodic review, single product inventory system with a fixed setup cost and two stochastic demand classes that differ in their backordering costs. In each period, one must decide whether and how much to order, and how much demand of the lower class should be satisfied. We show that the optimal ordering policy can be characterized as a state dependent (s,S) policy, and the rationing structure is partially obtained based on the subconvexity of the cost function. We then propose a simple heuristic rationing policy, which is easy to implement and close to optimal for intensive numerical examples. We further study the case when the first demand class is deterministic and must be satisfied immediately. We show the optimality of the state dependent (s,S) ordering policy, and obtain additional rationing structural properties. Based on these properties, the optimal ordering and rationing policy for any state can be generated by finding the optimal policy of only a finite set of states, and for each state in this set, the optimal policy is obtained simply by choosing a policy from at most two alternatives. An efficient algorithm is then proposed. © 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010     

An integer decomposition algorithm for solving a two‐stage facility location problem with second‐stage activation costs

We study a stochastic scenario‐based facility location problem arising in situations when facilities must first be located, then activated in a particular scenario before they can be used to satisfy scenario demands. Unlike typical facility location problems, fixed charges arise in the initial location of the facilities, and then in the activation of located facilities. The first‐stage variables in our problem are the traditional binary facility‐location variables, whereas the second‐stage variables involve a mix of binary facility‐activation variables and continuous flow variables. Benders decomposition is not applicable for these problems due to the presence of the second‐stage integer activation variables. Instead, we derive cutting planes tailored to the problem under investigation from recourse solution data. These cutting planes are derived by solving a series of specialized shortest path problems based on a modified residual graph from the recourse solution, and are tighter than the general cuts established by Laporte and Louveaux for two‐stage binary programming problems. We demonstrate the computational efficacy of our approach on a variety of randomly generated test problems. © 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010     

随机共振理论在雷达信号截获中的应用

雷达侦察主要通过无源侦察接收设备对空域中敌方雷达辐射源信号进行检测,若要实现对敌辐射源信号的截获,基本条件就是敌雷达信号能量能够达到雷达信号侦收设备的截获灵敏度。然而现代战场中,电磁环境复杂多变,敌雷达信号往往被干扰信号、噪声等掩盖,导致侦收设备漏警概率提高。针对以上问题,提出基于随机共振原理的雷达信号截获判断的方法,增大了截获信号的输出信噪比,解决了由于噪声过大掩盖的雷达信号的侦收问题。将该方法应用于雷达告警接收机的前端截获部分,大大降低了截获系统的漏警概率,保证了整个截获系统的稳定性。仿真实验验证了该方法的有效性。     

Contracts and coordination: Supply chains with uncertain demand and supply

Considering a supply chain with a supplier subject to yield uncertainty selling to a retailer facing stochastic demand, we find that commonly studied classical coordination contracts fail to coordinate both the supplier's production and the retailer's procurement decisions and achieve efficient performance. First, we study the vendor managed inventory (VMI) partnership. We find that a consignment VMI partnership coupled with a production cost subsidy achieves perfect coordination and a win‐win outcome; it is simple to implement and arbitrarily allocates total channel profit. The production cost subsidy optimally chosen through Nash bargaining analysis depends on the bargaining power of the supplier and the retailer. Further, motivated by the practice that sometimes the retailer and the supplier can arrange a “late order,” we also analyze the behavior of an advance‐purchase discount (APD) contract. We find that an APD with a revenue sharing contract can efficiently coordinate the supply chain as well as achieve flexible profit allocation. Finally, we explore which coordination contract works better for the supplier vs. the retailer. It is interesting to observe that Nash bargaining solutions for the two coordination contracts are equivalent. We further provide recommendations on the applications of these contracts. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 63: 305–319, 2016