瞄准线稳定精度的影响因素仿真

瞄准线稳定精度是直升机载稳瞄系统的关键技术指标之一,它影响着系统的其他关键性指标如照射精度、跟踪精度、作用距离等。因此提高瞄准线稳定精度是设计和研制机载稳瞄系统至关重要的一项任务。论文分析和研究了影响瞄准线稳定精度的因素,并采用Simulink建立数学模型,对瞄准线稳定精度的影响因素进行仿真分析,得到各因素对稳定精度的影响趋势,为机载稳瞄系统的设计工作提供了理论基础。     

The impact of demand uncertainty on product line design under endogenous substitution

The existing product line design literature devotes little attention to the effect of demand uncertainty. Due to demand uncertainty, the supply‐demand mismatch is inevitable which leads to different degrees of lost sales depending on the configuration of product lines. In this article, we adopt a stylized two‐segment setup with uncertain market sizes and illustrate the interplay between two effects: risk pooling that mitigates the impact of demand uncertainty and market segmentation that facilitates consumer differentiation. Compared to downward substitution, inducing bidirectional substitution through product line decisions including quality levels and prices can yield greater risk pooling effects. However, we show that the additional benefit from the risk pooling effect cannot compensate for the reduced market segmentation effect. We demonstrate that the presence of demand uncertainty can reduce the benefit of market segmentation and therefore the length of product lines in terms of the difference between products. We also propose three heuristics that separate product line and production decisions; each of these heuristics corresponds to one particular form of demand substitution. Our numerical studies indicate that the best of the three heuristics yields performance that is close to optimality. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 143–157, 2015     

结合局部描述和拓扑约束的直线段匹配算法

针对弱纹理目标匹配问题,提出了一种基于直线局部邻域梯度信息和全局结构信息的直线匹配算法:对均值标准差直线描述符进行改进用于初始匹配;利用直线间的全局拓扑结构滤除误匹配;利用迭代拓扑滤波寻找更多的匹配,同时引入全局角度约束提高算法效率并进一步滤除错误匹配。实验表明,在光照变化、图像旋转、图像模糊、尺度变换、视点变化等条件下,该方法都具有很强的鲁棒性,并在匹配效率和准确度上优于现有的两种比较流行的方法。     

双声纳基阵二维目标联合测向交叉定位算法精度分析*

主要对双声纳基阵二维目标联合测向交叉定位算法及精度进行了分析,给出了系统具体的定位公式和误差计算公式,并针对不同基线和不同基线误差、方位误差下目标GDOP的分布情况进行了仿真分析.仿真结果表明,定位误差随基线长度的增加而减小,随基线和方位误差的增大而增大,当基线增大到一定长度时,定位误差最终趋向稳定,达到最小.     

气候条件对城市火灾的影响规律

选取样本城市各项火灾数据和气象参数数据,对样本数据进行筛选计算,通过对两者的一元相关性进行研究,得出火灾概率和典型气象参数之间的关系。     

Collective action and the common enemy effect

How is collective defence by players affected when they face a threat from an intelligent attacker rather than a natural threat? This paper analyses this question using a game-theoretic model. Facing an intelligent attacker has an effect if players move first and visibly set their defence strategies, thereby exposing any players who do not defend, and if the attacker is, moreover, not able to commit to a random attack. Depending on the parameters of the game, the presence of an intelligent attacker either increases the probability that players jointly defend (where such joint defence either does or does not constitute a utilitarian optimum), or decreases the probability that players jointly defend (even though joint defence is a utilitarian optimum).     

浅析油品密度在线检测的几种方法

油品密度是油品交接计量中的重要参数之一,因此需要对它进行准确的测定。随着科学技术的发展,检测油品密度的方法也在不断的进步。介绍了浮子法、静压法、射线法、振动法以及超声波法等几种比较有效的油品密度在线检测方法,并详细分析了每一种方法的优缺点以及适用的场合,最后提出了几个在线检测应该注意的问题,供使用者根据实际情况选择合适的检测方法。     

大区域防空作战条件下防空兵作战方案的优选

大区域防空作战条件下防空作战指挥决策往往面临的是多目的(指标)决策,在分析作战指标的基础上对所选作战方案的益损值进行标准化处理和贴近度排序,并求出各方案的排序频数,将其转化为最优线性分派模型进行优化,从而使所有方案得到总体最优排序。     

航空自导深弹和磁探仪攻潜模型与仿真

针对反潜巡逻机使用磁探仪和自导深弹的攻潜效能研究,提出了一种基于蒙特卡洛法的计算模型。在建立攻潜坐标系的基础上,给出了连投深弹射击深度的定义;结合磁探仪定位原理,提出了基于峰值追踪的定位目标和连投攻击的方法,仿真结果表明该方法能够提高命中概率;给出了目标分布和连投深弹的散布模型,依据攻潜过程和命中判定条件,进行了攻潜效能的计算;仿真分析了影响攻潜效能的主要因素,并研究了投弹间隔的确定方法。     

On‐line parameter estimation for a partially observable system subject to random failure

In this paper, we study the on‐line parameter estimation problem for a partially observable system subject to deterioration and random failure. The state of the system evolves according to a continuous time homogeneous Markov process with a finite state space. The system state is not observable, except for the failure state. The information related to the system state is available at discrete times through inspections. A recursive maximum likelihood (RML) algorithm is proposed for the on‐line parameter estimation of the model. The RML algorithm proposed in the paper is considerably faster and easier to apply than other RML algorithms in the literature, because it does not require projection into the constraint domain and calculation of the gradient on the surface of the constraint manifolds. The algorithm is illustrated by an example using real vibration data. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006