连续情形的窃贼问题

讨论了连续时间上的窃贼问题。Ｊｔ是［０,ｔ］上窃贼作案的次数,｛Ｊｔ｝ｔ≥０是Ｐｏｉｓ－ｓｏｎ过程;收获过程与风险过程都是独立同分布的时间序列。利用弱无穷小算子,我们找出了最优停时规则。     

纯方位跟踪时利用方位变化规律检测目标机动问题

针对纯方位跟踪中目标变向变速机动导致方位信息可能出现的非平滑变化,首先推导出观测平台与目标均匀速直航时目标方位变化的准确规律,运用最小二乘估计法选取了模型参数并设定了阈值的大小,并设计出具体的算法流程,通过仿真计算,对本算法的可行性进行了验证。结果表明,方位变化规律作为目标机动检测的证据具有一定的可行性,但在一些特殊的态势下,检测灵敏度不高,并对这些态势时行了分析。     

JavaKBB:集成框架与产生式规则的专家系统工具

描述了一个专家系统工具JavaKBB,其目标是设计一个容易使用、方便扩展的专家系统开发工具,可以同时表示领域概念知识与过程知识;既可以运行于商用操作系统Windows等,也可以运行于中标麒麟等军用国产操作系统。为此,提出了一种集成框架与产生式规则的知识表示模式,定义了五种抽象层次以设计一个专家系统,包括知识原语、知识单元、知识部件、知识库以及知识系统;在此基础上基于Java语言设计并实现了JavaKBB。JavaKBB的另外一个重要特征是它能以XML格式保存知识库,具备与其他知识库进行交互的潜力。目前,JavaKBB已经用来构建慢性肝炎防治专家系统、装备辅助决策系统等。     

一种基于新的冲突系数的证据组合规则

从焦元为非单元素集合的角度出发,考虑焦元之间存在相等、包含、相交的关系,对焦元mass函数进行细分计算,得到一种新的冲突系数计算方法。将该方法应用到新的证据组合规则之中,并通过数值仿真实验验证了新的证据组合规则的有效性。     

On the first come–first served rule in multi‐echelon inventory control

A two‐echelon distribution inventory system with a central warehouse and a number of retailers is considered. The retailers face stochastic demand and replenish from the warehouse, which, in turn, replenishes from an outside supplier. The system is reviewed continuously and demands that cannot be met directly are backordered. Standard holding and backorder costs are considered. In the literature on multi‐echelon inventory control it is standard to assume that backorders at the warehouse are served according to a first come–first served policy (FCFS). This allocation rule simplifies the analysis but is normally not optimal. It is shown that the FCFS rule can, in the worst case, lead to an asymptotically unbounded relative cost increase as the number of retailers approaches infinity. We also provide a new heuristic that will always give a reduction of the expected costs. A numerical study indicates that the average cost reduction when using the heuristic is about two percent. The suggested heuristic is also compared with two existing heuristics. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

基于规则的域间路由系统异常检测

随着Internet的爆炸性增长,域间路由系统变得越来越复杂并难以控制,许多与域间路由安全相关的事件广泛引起了人们的关注。提出一个基于规则的域间路由监测框架,其中的规则可分为常规异常检测规则和特殊异常检测规则,它们能有效用于检测异常路由和可能的攻击行为,这两种规则的不同在于特殊异常检测规则是由大量路由得到的Internet模型来定义。研究了Internet层次模型与ISP商业关系模型的构造,基于这个框架实现了一个原型系统———ISP-Health,最后给出了检测能力结果。     

Historical and Political Background to the Erosion of the Rule of Law and Human Rights During Sri Lanka’s Civil War and the Way Forward

The Sri Lankan Civil War (1983–2009) is regarded as a violent reflection of deepening divides along political and ethnic lines. During this civil war the Sri Lankan Government and its security forces have been implicated in unlawful killings carried out in a pervasive manner against civilians, whilst at the same time specifically targeting ethnic Tamils, humanitarian workers and journalists. The human rights of all citizens suffered as a result and ultimately led to the weakening of the rule of law. With the end of the civil war, the Sri Lankan Government has made little progress in providing accountability for wartime abuses. Its absence of and reluctance to ensure justice is seen as a logical culmination of decades of impunity. The importance of acknowledging historical behaviour and taking accountability for past violations will be discussed. In an analysis for paving the way to a new democracy in Sri Lanka, the main outcomes of this article are calls for accountability arising out of the government’s actions during the war; an investigation into the present state of human rights, the rule of law and finally; an examination into the political solution going forward to ensure a process of reconciliation and peaceful co-existence.     

基于阶次小波包与粗糙集的轴承故障诊断

针对齿轮箱启动过程中振动信号表现为非平稳、非高斯特征及传统诊断方法诊断精度不高的现状,将阶次小波包和粗糙集理论引入轴承的故障诊断中,提出了一种新的故障诊断方法。首先利用阶次跟踪算法对瞬态振动信号进行重采样,得到等角度分布振动信号,其次采用小波包对该信号分解—重构,并对每个频段的能量进行归一化,构成特征向量,通过粗糙集理论得到清晰、简明的决策规则,最后通过故障实例验证该方法的有效性。     

基于动态模糊综合评判的反后坐装置故障预测模型

针对反后坐装置故障预测中的诸多模糊信息和模糊因素,基于传统的模糊综合评判方法,提出将动态模糊综合评判方法用于故障预测,给出了动态权重系数及模糊关系矩阵的确定方法,以反后坐装置为例对动态模糊综合评判方法予以说明。并将模糊综合评判与产生式规则融合,利用复合推理机制提高预测结果的准确性。     

混合模糊逻辑方法及其在雷达/红外双模制导中的应用

混合模糊逻辑方法就是利用模糊规则和对象输入输出的观测数据来辨识一个模糊逻辑系统。该方法对模糊规则和观测数据进行了预处理,给出系统模型的初始结构和参数。将该方法用于处理雷达/红外双模制导中对目标的跟踪问题。仿真表明该方法是有效的。