基于程度分析法的消防安全评价

为了控制和防范火灾的发生,减少其对人民和社会的威胁,对建筑物进行更为准确、高效的火灾风险评估十分必要。在层次分析法的基础上,选取不同层次的评价者,采用程度分析法对建筑消防安全指标的安全度和权重进行评估,然后根据各个指标的安全度和权重的评估值得到建筑的安全度,最后运用程度分析法对某购物广场的消防安全度进行了评估。评价结果说明程度分析法脱离了以往专家打分的方法对评价者要求过高的束缚,同时比专家打分的方法具有更好的稳定性,是对消防安全评价方法的一个补充。     

星载干涉仪无源定位新方法及其误差分析

针对传统单星二维干涉仪测向定位存在的设备量大、易受通道间幅度/相位不一致性影响等缺点,提出了在单颗自旋卫星上只安装两个接收通道构成一维干涉仪,测量相位差变化率的无源定位新方法,采用了基于粒子群优化(PSO)的定位算法,分析了干涉仪转速以及旋转平面对定位性能的影响.结果表明,增大干涉仪转速有利于提高定位精度,为了使星下点周围各个方向上都有较好的定位精度,干涉仪旋转平面应与初始观测时刻卫星位置矢量垂直,PS0算法的定位精度能够接近定位误差的克拉美罗下限(CRLB).     

六方位相对标图法绘算目标运动参数

基于相对运动原理以及观测平台在机动前后以被动方式分别测取的目标六个不同方位,提出了一种观测平台隐蔽确定目标运动参数的相对标图绘算方法。文章论证了该方法的基本原理和给出了具体的绘算原理方法步骤,并对该方法的不同绘算态势下的使用结果与使用影响因素进行了分析。实际绘算使用结果表明,利用该方法绘目标运动参数时的速度与精度能够满足绝大部分态势下的目标运动参数绘算需要。     

Interchange fee rate,merchant discount rate,and retail price in a credit card network: A game‐theoretic analysis

We consider two game‐theoretic settings to determine the optimal values of an issuer's interchange fee rate, an acquirer's merchant discount rate, and a merchant's retail price in a credit card network. In the first setting, we investigate a two‐stage game problem in which the issuer and the acquirer first negotiate the interchange fee rate, and the acquirer and the retailer then determine their merchant discount rate and retail price, respectively. In the second setting, motivated by the recent US bill “H.R. 2695,” we develop a three‐player cooperative game in which the issuer, the acquirer, and the merchant form a grand coalition and bargain over the interchange fee rate and the merchant discount rate. Following the cooperative game, the retailer makes its retail pricing decision. We derive both the Shapley value‐ and the nucleolus‐characterized, and globally‐optimal unique rates for the grand coalition. Comparing the two game settings, we find that the participation of the merchant in the negotiation process can result in the reduction of both rates. Moreover, the stability of the grand coalition in the cooperative game setting may require that the merchant should delegate the credit card business only to the issuer and the acquirer with sufficiently low operation costs. We also show that the grand coalition is more likely to be stable and the U.S. bill “H.R. 2695” is thus more effective, if the degree of division of labor in the credit card network is higher as the merchant, acquirer, and issuer are more specialized in the retailing, acquiring, and issuing operations, respectively. © 2012 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2012     

一类递推矩阵方程有对称正定解序列的充要条件

证明了一类递推矩阵方程 AXk 1=Xk,有对称正定解序列的充要条件 .     

退化速率跟踪粒子滤波在剩余使用寿命预测中的应用

毋庸置疑,剩余使用寿命预测对于设备的健康管理越来越重要。近年来粒子滤波方法被越来越多地应用到设备寿命预测技术当中,这是因为粒子滤波方法能更好地解决非线性非高斯系统滤波问题,而且能够获得不确定度信息。但该方法的预测性能却过度依赖于预测模型,并且对于模型参数的初始分布也比较敏感,这在一定程度上限制了粒子滤波预测方法的进一步发展。针对基本粒子滤波预测方法的不足,提出了一种基于退化速率跟踪粒子滤波的通用预测框架,以历史观测数据的退化速率统计规律作为指导来跟踪目标数据的退化速率,实现对粒子滤波预测方法的简化,并将该方法用于轴承和锂离子电池的剩余使用寿命预测,验证了方法的有效性。     

On lifetimes in random environments

For a component operating in random environment, whose hazard rate is assumed to be the realization of a suitable increasing stochastic process, conditions are found such that its lifetime is increasing in likelihood ratio (ILR). For the lifetimes of two components of the same kind some comparisons based on partial stochastic orders are presented. Some applications to the case of repairable components are finally provided. © 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 45: 365–375, 1998     

锥形液膜的Kelvin-Helmholtz扰动波

为进行锥形液膜雾化过程分析,研究锥形液膜的Kelvin-Helmholtz稳定性问题,应用小扰动假设,建立了锥形液膜数学模型、轴对称扰动运动的控制方程和边界条件,采用分离变量法求解线性偏微分扰动方程组,经过严格的数学推导,得到了锥形液膜内外表面扰动波增长速率特征方程.当液膜锥角为零时,与环形液膜扰动波特征方程一致;当液膜锥角和液膜内径为零时,与圆射流扰动波特征方程一致,表明导出的锥形液膜扰波动方程是合理的.     

T/R-R 型双基地系统识别欺骗式假目标

本文提出一种利用T／R－R型双基地系统识别欺骗式假目标的方法。在给出双基地系统数据相关算法的基础上,提出了真假目标的识别准则,仿真实验表明,该方法在电子战条件下识别欺骗式假目标是行之有效的。     

建筑构件的火灾危险性评估

火灾中,起火建筑的内部构件以及相邻建筑物的外部构件都要受到火灾高温及火焰热的作用。本文定量评估了威胁上述建筑构件的火灾因素．旨在为人们综合考虑采取合理的防火技术措施提供理论依据。