A nonparametric approach to accelerated life testing under multiple stresses

Accelerated life testing (ALT) is concerned with subjecting items to a series of stresses at several levels higher than those experienced under normal conditions so as to obtain the lifetime distribution of items under normal levels. A parametric approach to this problem requires two assumptions. First, the lifetime of an item is assumed to have the same distribution under all stress levels, that is, a change of stress level does not change the shape of the life distribution but changes only its scale. Second, a functional relationship is assumed between the parameters of the life distribution and the accelerating stresses. A nonparametric approach, on the other hand, assumes a functional relationship between the life distribution functions at the accelerated and nonaccelerated stress levels without making any assumptions on the forms of the distribution functions. In this paper, we treat the problem nonparametrically. In particular, we extend the methods of Shaked, Zimmer, and Ball [7] and Strelec and Viertl [8] and develop a nonparametric estimation procedure for a version of the generalized Arrhenius model with two stress variables assuming a linear acceleration function. We obtain consistent estimates as well as confidence intervals of the parameters of the life distribution under normal stress level and compare our nonparametric method with parametric methods assuming exponential, Weibull and lognormal life distributions using both real life and simulated data. © 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 45: 629–644, 1998     

火炮身管寿命分析与计算

分析了射击时弹丸挤进过程 ,建立了弹丸初速下降量与炮膛内膛磨损量计算模型 ,并以某火炮为实例计算了该炮弹丸初速下降量与炮膛内膛磨损量之间变化关系 ,分析了弹道峰现象 ,为身管寿命预测提供理论依据     

Estimating distribution functions from partially observed samples

Suppose that some components are initially operated in a certain condition and then switched to operating in a different condition. Working hours of the components in condition 1 and condition 2 are respectively observed. Of interest is the lifetime distribution F of the component in the second condition only, i.e., the distribution without the prior exposure to the first condition. In this paper, we propose a method to transform the lifetime obtained in condition 1 to an equivalent lifetime in condition 2 and then use the transformed data to estimate F. Both parametric and nonparametric approaches each with complete and censored data are discussed. Numerical studies are presented to investigate the performance of the method. © 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 47: 521–530, 2000     

软件保障性评估在维修性分配和预计软件中的应用

从软件保障性的影响要素——软件生命周期过程、软件自身的设计特性和保障资源出发，阐明了软件保障性评估的原理，提出了一套软件保障性评估方案。通过在某维修性分配和预计软件上的具体实践，充分验证了该评估方案的可行性和实用性。     

关注个体生命成长的公共教育学——基于教学实践的反思

关注个体生命成长的教育学是相对关注完整学科体系的公共教育学提出的。关注个体生命成长的教育学意味着回归教育学本原，从教育学原点出发，重新思考公共教育学身处当前尴尬处境的原因，并从价值取向、课程目标、教学方法、师生关系四个方面思考公共教育学走出困境的可能思路。     

吐鲁番屏式壁画所见唐人的精神生活

吐鲁番阿斯塔那三座唐墓中发现了三幅屏式壁画,其构图模拟了唐人生活中习用的六扇屏风式样,由此可以探究那个时代生活于西州(今吐鲁番)的唐人的精神追求.     

军用车辆行动部分疲劳寿命随机有限元分析

阐述了基于随机有限元的车辆行动部分可靠性原理及基本过程,将结构件的弹性模量、泊松比和几何尺寸等因素定义为随机场,并对其进行离散,同时分析了车辆行驶的典型路面的路面谱,利用随机有限元求解在不同的路面状况下车辆行动零部件的受力情况,得到了零部件危险点应力的随机分布和不同路面状况下疲劳可靠性,并对相关的实例进行分析。     

基于装备全寿命周期的装备需求论证研究

在研究装备需求论证和装备全寿命周期基本理论的基础上,建立了"螺旋型"的装备全寿命周期模型,依据该模型将装备全寿命周期划分为需求论证、方案设计、演示验证、工程研制、生产部署、使用保障和退役报废7个阶段。分析了基于装备全寿命周期的装备需求论证的基本概念,将装备需求论证的工作过程划分为需求生成与确认、需求修正与实现、需求验证与反馈3个阶段,并阐述了3个阶段的主要工作内容。     

野战环境下弹药贮存寿命评估

简述了进行弹药野战环境贮存可靠性试验的试验场地、试验样本量确定方法和试验结果,分析探讨了弹药野战环境贮存可靠性试验数据处理方法,给出了在一定置信度下弹药贮存寿命。     

熙宁变法和元祐诗坛

文章从宋代元右时期的几位代表诗人的创作风格和处世心态两方面入手,阐述了元右诗坛和熙宁变法之间具有统一性与分离性的特点,统一性在于二者之间的变革精神,分离性表现为两点:一是,多元诗风对一元学术风气的背离;二是,以佛老为主导的处世思想对一元主导的荆公新儒学的背离.诗坛与政坛在新变上的统一性为元右诗坛的繁荣提供了宝贵的契机,而二者之间的分离性则让这种繁荣变成了现实.