Service design at diagnostic service centers

We study a service design problem in diagnostic service centers, call centers that provide medical advice to patients over the phone about what the appropriate course of action is, based on the caller's symptoms. Due to the tension between increased diagnostic accuracy and the increase in waiting times more in‐depth service requires, managers face a difficult decision in determining the optimal service depth to guide the diagnostic process. The specific problem we consider models the situation when the capacity (staffing level) at the center is fixed, and when the callers have both congestion‐ and noncongestion‐related costs relating to their call. We develop a queueing model incorporating these features and find that the optimal service depth can take one of two different structures, depending on factors such as the nurses' skill level and the maximum potential demand. Sensitivity analyses of the two optimal structures show that they are quite different. In some situations, it may (or may not) be optimal for the manager to try to expand the demand at the center, and increasing skill level may (or may not) increase congestion. © 2012 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2012     

温度对锂硫电池放电过程的影响

为深入研究液相扩散过程对锂硫电池放电过程的影响,采用充放电测试、循环伏安测试了不同温度下锂硫电池的电化学性能,采用电子扫描显微镜观察分析了不同温度下放电后的正极形貌.实验结果表明,温度降低引起电解液粘度增加,离子在电解液中的扩散系数降低;当温度低于10℃时,锂硫电池的放电性能明显恶化,低放电平台容量的降低是电池性能恶化的主要原因.循环伏安测试分析表明,锂硫电池的低放电平台是扩散控制过程,受温度影响较大.离子在电解液中的扩散过程受限引起碳骨架的钝化,进而造成低放电平台活性物质未充分反应,这是锂硫电池放电过程受温度影响的主要原因.     

基于排队论的维修资源需求分析方法

以装备维修过程为基础,应用排队论分析维修过程中各维修活动的基本关系,考虑多维修活动对维修资源需求的冲突问题,建立了维修过程的排队模型。以损伤装备平均修复时间不大于给定值为约束条件,以投入的维修资源总成本最少为目标,求解出维修资源需求。     

基于DoDAF的装备保障系统建模研究

针对装备保障系统建模中存在的沟通周期长、应变能力弱和模型可重用性低的问题,研究应用DoDAF中的作战视角来进行装备保障系统描述,介绍了DoDAF的演变和作战视角下的模型,提出了基于DoDAF的装备保障系统建模过程,最后通过装备维修保障的实例验证了该建模过程的有效性。     

一种支持并行离散事件仿真建模和并行模型检验的建模语言

并行离散事件仿真(Parallel Discrete Event Simulation,PDES)模型的正确性和可信度对PDES应用的发展起着决定性作用.然而,现有的并行离散事件仿真开发环境都没有提供仿真模型检验功能.并行模型检验(Parallel Model Checking,PMC)方法以其完备性、高效性已经在工业...     

新型船用气体稳压器启动充气过程的建模及仿真研究

基于船用核动力一体化反应堆结构的需要,建立了新型船用气体稳压器启动充气过程的数学模型,并进行了仿真计算.计算结果表明,该模型能正确地描述该型稳压器实际的启动充气过程,满足工程设计及系统研究的需要.     

基于ExSpect的维修过程建模与仿真研究

应用ExSpect语言,采用自上而下的系统分析方法,建立了反映产品维修过程中的资源竞争、并发和同步关系的Petri网模型。最后进行了仿真实例研究和分析。     

Approximations and empirics for stochastic war equations

The article develops a theorem which shows that the Lanchester linear war equations are not in general equal to the Kolmogorov linear war equations. The latter are time‐consuming to solve, and speed is important when a large number of simulations must be run to examine a large parameter space. Run times are provided, where time is a scarce factor in warfare. Four time efficient approximations are presented in the form of ordinary differential equations for the expected sizes and variances of each group, and the covariance, accounting for reinforcement and withdrawal of forces. The approximations are compared with “exact” Monte Carlo simulations and empirics from the WWII Ardennes campaign. The band spanned out by plus versus minus the incremented standard deviations captures some of the scatter in the empirics, but not all. With stochastically varying combat effectiveness coefficients, a substantial part of the scatter in the empirics is contained. The model is used to forecast possible futures. The implications of increasing the combat effectiveness coefficient governing the size of the Allied force, and injecting reinforcement to the German force during the Campaign, are evaluated, with variance assessments. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2005.     

发射用活塞式制动过程与制动环技术研究

应用非线性接触和碰撞问题的有限元理论,通过Autodyn软件对某缓冲装置瞬态制动过程进行数值仿真计算,得到该缓冲装置各构件的速度、位移、等效应力等物理量,通过优化得到缓冲装置的结构形式.仿真计算表明该装置在原理上是合理可行的,在技术上是可实现的,可为缓冲装置的结构设计提供可靠的参考数据.     

修正的交互加速度补偿机动目标跟踪算法

为了提高交互加速度补偿算法(IAC)的滤波精度,通过引入一个改进因子自适应地调整过程噪声协方差,给出了一种新的算法.在给定的初始条件下,通过蒙特卡罗仿真,将修正的IAC算法与IAC算法进行比较,结果表明修正的交互加速度补偿算法在目标发生机动时具有更好的跟踪性能.