Saddam versus the inspectors: the impact of regime security on the verification of Iraq’s WMD disarmament

The discovery that Iraq had no weapons of mass destruction (WMD) in 2003 raised the question of why Saddam had prevented UN weapons inspectors from fully accounting for his disarmament. The leading explanation for Saddam’s behavior is that he valued ambiguity as part of a strategy of ‘deterrence by doubt’. This article argues that Iraq’s obstruction of inspectors in the late 1990s was motivated by his desire to shield Iraq’s regime security apparatus from UNSCOM’s intrusive counter-concealment inspections. The failure to understand how strongly Saddam’s concerns about his personal safety drove Iraq’s contentious relationship with UNSCOM set the stage for the invasion of Iraq in 2003.     

新形势下以需求为导向的装备保障能力建设

分析了军事智能技术的由来与发展现状,探讨了目前世界军事智能技术的应用领域。重点阐述军事智能技术对中国军事实力提高的重要意义、如何加快军事智能技术发展的几个问题,为中国军队未来智能化发展和应用提出建设性的思考。     

智能化水雷引信及其评估方法

讨论了智能化水雷引信的内涵,建立了考核水雷引信智能化水平的指标体系及模糊评估框架和模型.水雷引信智能化水平评估的计算实例表明,该方法和模型是完备可行的.     

“Flectas non frangas”: revisiting early twenty-first century UK–US defense relations (2000–2005) after five years

Adopting the analytical framework of the established interpretive “schools” of Anglo-American relations, this article offers several reflections on UK–US defense relations as they occurred over the significant years of 2000–2005. During those years, trajectories were established on which UK–US defense relations continue to travel today and outcomes emerged which are still being navigated. This article concludes that the Latin phrase, “Flectas Non Frangas” (essentially translated as: “Bend not Break”), is the most appropriate to adopt to characterize the developments undergone in recent UK–US defense relations. Many historical and strategic lessons with contemporary relevance are drawn.     

基于模糊层次分析法的战役情报效能评估

战役情报是组织实施战役所需的军事情报,运用模糊层次分析法对战役情报的效能进行评估,可以对军队情报工作产生一定程度的导向作用,进而促使增强情报工作的针对性,优化情报工作流程和资源配置。模糊层次分析法具有较高的科学性和客观性,计算方法简单、使用方便,通过应用实例表明模糊层次分析法对于衡量某特定情报集在战役中的支持力度具有一定的参考价值。     

美军无人机蜂群作战研究动态及应对策略

无人机蜂群是以智能化无人控制技术和网络信息系统为支撑的集群式无人作战武器装备,这种新型武器装备势必将成为改变未来战争规则的重要推手。美军作为无人机蜂群作战研究的领跑者,掌握了解其发展动态,学习其相关有益经验做法,参考借鉴其理论体系和关键技术,对于军队打赢未来智能化战争具有重要现实意义。本文通过梳理与总结美军在无人机蜂群作战研究方面所进行的开创性工作,厘清无人机蜂群作战发展的脉络,重点对无人机蜂群作战的产生背景、基本概念以及发展现状进行了探讨,结合课题组在无人集群作战领域的研究基础,分析了6个方面制约无人机蜂群发展的难点问题,探讨了应对无人机蜂群作战的可鉴之策,希冀能够为军队未来构建蜂群作战体系和建设相关能力提供理论指导和技术依据。     

分布式算术及其在FPGA中的实现

介绍了分布式算术的原理以及它在基于LUT的FPGA器件上的实现 ,比较了串行分布式算术和并行分布式算术在面积开销和性能方面的差异。     

基于SPRT的组合导航故障检测与隔离互辅算法

针对SPRT(序贯概率比检验)算法无法准确判断缓变故障结束时间的问题,提出了一种故障检测与隔离互辅算法。采用SPRT算法对滤波残差进行故障检测,确认故障后隔离故障观测量,重新建立卡尔曼滤波观测方程并完成量测更新,将隔离后的滤波结果作为下一时刻的滤波初值辅助故障检测。仿真结果表明,该方法能准确定位故障观测量并判断出故障的结束时间,提高了系统可靠性。     

智能工具机的性能分析

本文论述了提高智能工具机性能所采取的技术措施,并对其性能进行了模拟。模拟结果表明,智能工具机的平均推理速度可达500KLIPS 左右,比日本的PSI—Ⅰ约快一倍,比美国加州大学Berkeley 分校研制的PLM 约快两倍。     

采用故障信息分级确定最佳监测点分布

装备结构的复杂性使监测中确定最佳分配点极为困难,本文在最大故障信息量的基础上,提出了故障信息分级的判定原则,用以确定监测点的最佳分布,从而可在最少监测点的情况下,获得最多的装备运行故障信息,为故障诊断提供可靠数据。