基于层次变权的基地级修理能力评价模型

从影响基地级修理能力的主要因素出发,建立了比较全面的评价指标体系。在进行修理能力评价时,针对常权综合方法难以体现决策者对决策因素惩罚或激励性的要求,提出了一种基于层次变权的模糊评价模型。实例分析和计算结果表明,该评价模型合理、有效、可行。     

Exact expected values of variance estimators for simulation

We formulate exact expressions for the expected values of selected estimators of the variance parameter (that is, the sum of covariances at all lags) of a steady‐state simulation output process. Given in terms of the autocovariance function of the process, these expressions are derived for variance estimators based on the simulation analysis methods of nonoverlapping batch means, overlapping batch means, and standardized time series. Comparing estimator performance in a first‐order autoregressive process and the M/M/1 queue‐waiting‐time process, we find that certain standardized time series estimators outperform their competitors as the sample size becomes large. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

线-面传输线Taylor与Agrawal模型解的比较

基于Maxwell方程推导描述外电磁场对导线的耦合传输线模型有Taylor,Agrawal和Rachidi三种模型,每个耦合公式给出相同的传输线响应,但是它们之间又有细微的差别,Nucci和Rachidi通过数值方法验证在圆柱形雷电电磁场激励下这三种线-面传输线模型在负载终端具有相同的全电压解。本文采用解析的方法对线-面传输线Taylor模型和Agrawal模型进行研究,获得了这两个模型基于平面电磁波激励下的终端负载响应的解析解,证明了它们的解析解是相同的。也就是说,线-面传输线Taylor模型和Agrawal模型其实是对同一个解的不同描述。因此,在实际应用时,可以根据具体情况来选择不同的传输线模型进行求解。     

层次分析法在装甲师火力战能力评估中的应用

对装甲师火力战能力的评估将对装甲部队建设有很大的推动作用,但影响装甲师火力战能力的因素很多。采用AHP法,综合考虑火力战能力的多方面因素,以定量和定性相结合的方式来评估装甲师实施火力战的能力,弥补以往人数与火器统计评估法等存在的不足。     

论师范院校语文教育理论课教学改革和实验

语文教育理论课普遍存在教学结构不合理 ,理论体系和技能训练体系不完整 ,缺乏系统性和科学性 ,理论传授与能力训练相脱节等问题 ,影响了教学质量的提高 ,制约了教学改革的展开。本文对该课程的教学结构进行重新审视、梳理 ,将之划分为两个系统 ,并将其各自要素及相互关系进行分析 ,论证了理论知识系统与教学技能训练系统在教学过程中相互对应 ,同步进行 ,共同深化的科学性和可行性。     

利用AHP确定决策方案排序的一种改进方法

针对在用AHP法求解权重排序向量时 ,用不同的计算方法导致排序方案不一致的矛盾现象 ,提出了一种在单准则下综合各个排序方案信息的方法 ,使AHP法更趋于完善     

Sequential and systematic sampling plans for the Markov‐dependent production process

Acceptance sampling plans are used to assess the quality of an ongoing production process, in addition to the lot acceptance. In this paper, we consider sampling inspection plans for monitoring the Markov‐dependent production process. We construct sequential plans that satisfy the usual probability requirements at acceptable quality level and rejectable quality level and, in addition, possess the minimum average sample number under semicurtailed inspection. As these plans result in large sample sizes, especially when the serial correlation is high, we suggest new plans called “systematic sampling plans.” The minimum average sample number systematic plans that satisfy the probability requirements are constructed. Our algorithm uses some simple recurrence relations to compute the required acceptance probabilities. The optimal systematic plans require much smaller sample sizes and acceptance numbers, compared to the sequential plans. However, they need larger production runs to make a decision. Tables for choosing appropriate sequential and systematic plans are provided. The problem of selecting the best systematic sampling plan is also addressed. The operating characteristic curves of some of the sequential and the systematic plans are compared, and are observed to be almost identical. © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 48: 451–467, 2001     

Asymptotically optimal component assembly plans in repairable systems and server allocation in parallel multiserver queues

T identical exponential lifetime components out of which G are initially functioning (and B are not) are to be allocated to N subsystems, which are connected either in parallel or in series. Subsystem i, i = 1,…, N, functions when at least K_i of its components function and the whole system is maintained by a single repairman. Component repair times are identical independent exponentials and repaired components are as good as new. The problem of the determination of the assembly plan that will maximize the system reliability at any (arbitrary) time instant t is solved when the component failure rate is sufficiently small. For the parallel configuration, the optimal assembly plan allocates as many components as possible to the subsystem with the smallest K_i and allocates functioning components to subsystems in increasing order of the K_i's. For the series configuration, the optimal assembly plan allocates both the surplus and the functioning components equally to all subsystems whenever possible, and when not possible it favors subsystems in decreasing order of the K_i's. The solution is interpreted in the context of the optimal allocation of processors and an initial number of jobs in a problem of routing time consuming jobs to parallel multiprocessor queues. © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 48: 732–746, 2001     

Preservation of unimodality under shock models

A number of results pertaining to preservation of aging properties (IFR, IFRA etc.) under various shock models are available in the literature. Our aim in this paper is to examine in the same spirit, the preservation of unimodality under various shock models. For example, it is proved that in a non-homogeneous Poisson shock model if {p_k}_K≥0, the sequence of probabilities with which the device fails on the kth shock, is unimodal then under some suitable conditions on the mean value function Λ (t), the corresponding survival function is also unimodal. The other shock models under which the preservation of unimodality is considered in this paper are pure birth shock model and a more general shock model in which shocks occur according to a general counting process. © 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 46: 952–957, 1999     

人工造雾成雾过程微物理性能分析

通过对人造雾宏观性能和微物理性能变化过程的观测与分析,研究了人造雾成雾过程和成雾机理,并结合对云雾生长理论的分析比较了实际雾滴粒径分布范围、生长时间等与理论计算结果的异同。结果显示人造雾的雾滴粒径和生长时间与理论计算结果基本相符,但其具体的生长过程与理论过程有所差别;人造雾与天然雾相比,雾滴数密度稍大,但雾滴粒径和含水量稍小,雾滴谱分布特点有所不同。