某型防空导弹杀伤概率评估

基于防空导弹战斗部爆炸后的杀伤特征,对战斗部爆炸后产生的有效破片、破片飞行速度、破片对目标的覆盖面积进行了分析,建立了防空导弹杀伤概率评估模型。采用仿真弹道数据,对打击目标F-16战斗机应用s im u link仿真工具绘出了杀伤概率曲线,其结果与实际分析相一致,验证了评估模型的可用性。     

Sensor radiation interception risk control in target tracking

This paper is mainly on the problem of radiation interception risk control in sensor network for target tracking. Firstly, the sensor radiation interception risk is defined as the product of the interception probability and the cost caused by the interception. Secondly, the radiation interception probability model and cost model are established, based on which the calculation method of interception risk can be obtained. Thirdly, a sensor scheduling model of radiation risk control is established, taking the minimum interception risk as the objective function. Then the Hungarian algorithm is proposed to obtain sensor scheduling scheme. Finally, simulation experiments are mad to prove the effectiveness of the methods proposed in this paper, which shows that compared with the sensor radiation interception probability control method, the interception risk control method can keep the sensor scheduling scheme in low risk as well as protect sensors of importance in the sensor network.     

A split target detection and tracking algorithm for ballistic missile tracking during the re-entry phase

In the re-entry phase of a ballistic missile, decoys can be deployed as a mean to overburden enemy defenses. This results in a single track being split into multiple track-lets. Tracking of these track-lets is a critical task as any miss in the tracking procedure can become a cause of a major threat. The tracking process becomes more complicated in the presence of clutter. The low detection rate is one of the factors that may contribute to increasing the difficulty level in terms of tracking in the cluttered environment. This work introduces a new algorithm for the split event detection and target tracking under the framework of the joint integrated probabilistic data association (JIPDA) algorithm. The proposed algorithm is termed as split event-JIPDA (SE-JIPDA). This work establishes the mathematical foundation for the split target detection and tracking mechanism. The performance analysis is made under different simulation conditions to provide a clear insight into the merits of the proposed algorithm. The performance parameters in these simulations are the root mean square error (RMSE), confirmed true track rate (CTTR) and confirmed split true track rate (CSTTR).     

结合全局与局部信息的主动轮廓分割模型

针对传统的基于区域的主动轮廓模型在分割灰度不均匀图像和噪声图像存在效果不佳的问题,提出结合全局项与局部项的主动轮廓分割模型。全局项由CV(Chan-Vese)模型的保真项构成,局部项的构建考虑局部区域信息的同时引入反映图像灰度特性的局部熵信息。依据图像灰度的特点,选择合理的全局项和局部项参数,并加入正则项保证曲线在演化过程中保持平滑,保障分割结果的可靠性。通过变分水平集方法最小化能量泛函,依据梯度下降流迭代更新水平集,完成曲线演化。采用模拟图像和实际图像进行实验分析,结果表明,所提出的结合全局项和局部项的主动轮廓模型可以高效地分割噪声严重以及灰度分布不均匀的图像。     

The interaction between local and international power in EU police reform in Bosnia and Herzegovina

ABSTRACT

This article explores the interaction between local and international power structures in EU peacebuilding. While citizens in a state only face order from one authority (the state), local actors in a peacebuilding context are subject to orders from two institutions (the domestic state and the peacebuilding mission). This article explores the nature of interactions of these two institutions and their effect on local police officers’ compliance and resistance. Specifically, it analyzes the example of the police restructuring process in Bosnia and Herzegovina. It demonstrates that the choices of local officers to comply or resist depended on whether the interactions between the EU Police Mission and the local police organization were positive and mutually supportive, or whether they were competitive and contradictory. The findings of the article contribute to the debates on the role of local power and the importance of local legitimacy in peacebuilding.     

多轮次打击情况下的跑道失效率计算

对机场跑道进行多轮次打击时,每轮打击之后对跑道失效率的计算可掌握是否达到预期打击目的,为下一轮打击提供决策依据.以马尔科夫链为理论依据对多轮次打击情况下的跑道失效率进行计算,只需计算出跑道失效率的一步转移概率矩阵,即可求出任意多次打击后跑道的失效率,避免了采用常规方法时的多层迭代计算,降低了多次打击计算的难度.实例证明,该方法具有运算速度快、精度高的特点,可用于多轮次打击情况下的跑道失效率计算问题.     

VORONOI图的无人机航路快速初始规划

在分析VORONOI图的性质与威胁代价函数的基础上,针对航路的初始规划提出了一种先局部优化后进行全局优化的算法,从而避免在航路全局优化时陷入局部极小点的危险.通过对一个简单算例的分析,阐述了这种规划方法的合理性和快速性,给出了其对应的伪代码.它可对其他各种航路规划算法的边界条件进行初始预处理,快速确定初始可选航路集的解,缩短航路规划的时间;针对某阵地航路规划的仿真结果表明了该算法的有效性,初始的航路集有效地避开了威胁配置较密集的地方,同时尽量以较短的航路接近目标.     

基于SEA的炮兵声测和雷达组网的作战效能分析

反炮兵侦察是炮兵侦察的一项重要任务,声测和雷达是反炮兵侦察的主要装备.针对SEA方法的要求,提出了评估由炮兵声测和雷达组网作战效能的3个主要性能度量(MOP).结合信息化战场环境,建立炮兵声测和雷达组网的作战效能的动态评估模型,为其作战使用提供了理论依据.     

基于ADC的炮兵激光观测仪侦察效能分析

运用了效能分析方法,针对复杂战场环境下炮兵侦察系统的效能进行分析,特别是炮兵激光观测仪,揭示其内在规律,为提高现有侦察装备的作战效能找到重要途径,也为指挥员的决策提供可靠的战略支持.在侦察系统效能分析理论的基础上,对典型的激光观测仪侦察装备进行了计算评估验证,其方法和成果可供其他武器系统效能评估时借鉴参考.     

固定式超近程防护系统优化设计及统计分析

为了提高固定式超近程防护系统的拦截效率,进一步优化攻击单元的分布参数,将分布方案的分布参数5个射角和35个射向作为自变量,以拦截概率作为因变量,将已有的32种方案的分布方案及统计模拟所得的拦截概率作为样本值,运用SPSS软件进行多元线性回归分析,通过不断筛去显著性比较差的变量,最终得到比较满意、显著性比较强的多元线性回归方程,该方程的建立为进一步优化分布方案的参数提供了理论依据,也为建立进一步优化模型提供了理论基础.