电磁干扰预测在频率方案选择中的应用

应用电磁干扰预测的原理 ,针对一体化通信指挥系统中 ,多部电台集中使用所带来的频率管理问题 ,进行了干扰多级预测 ,得出了保证电磁兼容性系统各电台之间应满足的频率间隔 ,提出了通信网中通信频率方案     

非磁性建筑物空间磁场预测技术

提出了一种预测非磁性建筑物空间磁场分布的新技术.基于等效宏观磁导率和磁化率的概念,利用静磁场积分方程法的正演计算和反演计算技术,找出了试验模块磁场测量值与非磁性建筑物空间整体磁场之间的关系.通过试验模块测量和数学模型仿真相结合的手段,达到了预测低磁钢筋混凝土结构非磁性建筑物空间磁场分布的目的.     

A model to predict the residual life of aircraft engines based upon oil analysis data

This paper reports on a study using the available oil monitoring information, such as the data obtained using the Spectrometric Oil Analysis Programme (SOAP), to predict the residual life of a set of aircraft engines. The relationship between oil monitoring information and the residual life is established using the concept of the proportional residual, which states that the predicted residual life may be proportional to the wear increment measured by the oil analysis programmes. Assuming such a relationship between wear and the residual life exists, we formulated a recursive prediction model for the item's residual life given measured oil monitoring information to date. A set of censored life data of 30 aircraft engines (right censored due to preventive overhaul) along with the history of their monitored metal concentration information are available to us. The metal concentration information includes many variables, such as Fe, Cu, Al, etc.; not all of them are useful, and some of them may be correlated. The principal component analysis (PCA) has been adopted to reduce the dimension of the original data set and to produce a new set of uncorrelated variables, which we shall use in the prediction model. The procedure associated with estimating model parameters is discussed. The model is fitted to the actual SOAP data from the aircraft engines, and the goodness‐of‐fit test has been carried out. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2005.     

脉冲末修弹落点预测导引方法研究

在分析剩余射程影响因素的基础上,以弹道特征参数弹道高y及速度矢量分量Vx和Vy为解释变量,以回归分析方法为数学工具,建立脉冲末修弹剩余射程预测模型。以目标点与弹丸预测落点之间的差值为广义弹道偏差,结合数值仿真,对落点预测导引进行深入研究,验证了回归分析模型的可行性。     

横向运动板干扰聚能射流的数值模拟

基于有限元分析软件ANSYS/LS-DYNA和LS-PREPOST,用ALE算法对射流垂直侵彻横向运动防护板的过程进行模拟分析。防护板在不同速度下干扰射流时,对防护板和后效板上的开坑形状进行分析,并计算后效板上的最终侵深及射流轴线上的速度降,得到射流在横向防护板作用下后效板侵深及射流轴线上的速度降随防护板速度变化的曲线。结果表明,防护板抗射流侵彻能力随防护板速度的增加而增强,尤其是防护板横向速度在0～100m/s增加时,抗射流侵彻能力增强较为明显。     

考虑腐蚀因素的船体结构寿命预测方法

为建立考虑腐蚀因素的船体结构寿命预测方法,在分析现有常用的船体结构腐蚀损伤时变模型的基础上,根据舰船维修保障实际情况建立了考虑腐蚀防护系统作用时间和维修时间等因素的腐蚀时变模型。根据相关规范选择了船体结构腐蚀寿命标准,并建立了一种计算船体结构腐蚀寿命的方法。该方法建立了船体结构腐蚀寿命与腐蚀防护系统作用时间和修理时间等因素之间的量化关系,可以用于预测均匀腐蚀条件下船体结构寿命,也可以反过来指导腐蚀防护系统设计指标的选择和船体结构维修策略的确定。     

前缘和转轴影响翼摇滚特性的数值模拟

采用耦合求解N-S方程和Euler刚体动力学方程的数值模拟方法研究80°后掠三角翼摇滚特性,讨论机翼前缘构型和滚转轴位置对三角翼摇滚特性的影响。N-S方程的离散采用Roe格式和含双时间步的LU-SGS方法,刚体动力学方程的离散采用二阶精度的差分方法,通过交替求解流动和运动控制方程组的耦合策略,模拟80°后掠三角翼自激摇滚的非定常过程。针对转轴安装于上表面的细长三角翼,研究前缘上削尖、下削尖和双面削尖三种构型的翼摇滚特性,分析前缘构型对摇滚振幅及分岔攻角的影响。考虑到上削尖和下削尖构型在翻转后相当于前缘构型互换但转轴位置不同,进一步考察了滚转轴位置对三角翼摇滚特性的影响。结果表明:在一定的攻角下,三种不同前缘构型的三角翼均能形成大幅自维持的摇滚现象,其中上削尖前缘的三角翼振幅最大,双面削尖前缘次之,下削尖前缘三角翼振幅最小;攻角增大到30°以后,双面削尖和上削尖前缘的三角翼会发生翻转现象,翻转180°以后维持等幅振荡。     

Storage life prediction under pre-strained thermally-accelerated aging of HTPB coating using the change of crosslinking density

In order to predict the storage life of a certain type of HTPB (hydroyl-terminated polybutadiene) coating at 25 C and analyze the influence of pre-strain on the storage life, the accelerated aging tests of HTPB coating at 40 C, 50 C, 60 C, 70 C with the pre-strain of 0%, 3%, 6%, 9%, respectively were carried out. The variation regularity of the change of crosslinking density was analyzed and the aging model of HTPB coating under pre-strained thermally-accelerated aging was proposed. The storage life of HTPB coating at 25 C was estimated by using the Berthelot equation as the end point of the aging life with a 30% decrease in maximum elongation. The results showed that the change of crosslinking density of HTPB coating increased with the increase of aging temperature and aging time, and decreased with the in-crease of pre-strain. Under 0% pre-strain, the relationship between the change of crosslinking density of HTPB coating and the aging time can be described by the logarithmic model with the confidence probability greater than 99%.The stress relaxation phenomenon existed under 3%, 6% and 9% pre-strained aging. The aging model considering chemical aging and pre-strain was established with the confidence probability greater than 90%. The storage life of HTPB coating was 15.2935 years at 25 C under 0% pre-strain, which was reduced by 13.9007%, 75.6949% and 89.7859% under 3%, 6% and 9% pre-strain, respectively. The existence of pre-strain has a serious impact on the storage life of HTPB coating, therefore, the pre-strain should be avoided as much as possible during the actual storage.     

未来30年太空安全发展趋势及影响

“太空安全战略”专题编者按 组稿专家：杨乐平（国防科技大学空天科学学院教授、博士生导师） 近年来,以美国重建太空司令部与天军独立为标志,国际太空领域战略竞争与军事对抗日益加剧,太空前所未有地应用于军事与安全,太空安全也受到了前所未有的挑战。为了解未来太空安全发展和主要国家太空安全战略动向,深化太空安全战略研究,《国防科技》编辑部于2021年6月启动“太空安全战略”专题征文活动,国内相关学者积极投稿,经专家遴选,本期发表入选稿件6篇。来稿内容涵盖未来30年太空安全发展预测、美国太空安全最新发展、俄罗斯太空安全政策、欧盟太空安全政策、日本太空安全战略以及印度太空力量发展等主题,较为全面地反映了当前国际太空安全领域的最新发展与战略动向。从长远看,随着地球以外人类活动的增加、太空新经济蓬勃发展和太空创造财富规模不断扩大,水平大幅提升,太空将超越陆、海、空成为国家安全最重要的领域。从这个意义上讲,太空安全战略研究学术价值与影响较大,值得高度关注。     

深基坑预应力锚索支护对临近既有建筑影响的数值分析

通过利用Ansys有限元软件对某基坑的开挖过程进行数值模拟,对预应力锚索桩支护体系对既有建筑物基础的影响进行了分析,并且与锚索不施加预应力的情况进行了对比,得出了锚索施加预应力可以减小既有建筑物的地基两侧的变形差。但是锚索倾角太小或锚固段完全位于建筑下方,会降低锚索的预期效果,有可能导致建筑物开裂。所以应考虑锚索的倾角和锚固段的位置对建筑的影响。