SAVING THE NPT

For more than forty years, the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) has provided major security benefits to the international community; however, the treaty is suffering from internal and external pressures, and benign neglect on the part of its members is undermining its authority. To ensure the treaty's continued viability, it is time for member states to start showing the NPT the respect it deserves and to renew their commitments to its fundamental purposes. Achieving this requires remedial action in at least four areas of vulnerability: reinvigorating nuclear disarmament; strengthening nonproliferation; overcoming the NPT's institutional deficit; and fostering a rapprochement between NPT and non-NPT states that does not abandon the goal of treaty universalization. There is still time before the 2010 NPT Review Conference for concerted action to restore the NPT's vitality and for the United States to resume its leadership role on behalf of the treaty and its membership.     

基于时滞分割法的具有leakage项时滞的离散型神经网络状态估计

摘要：研究一类具有leakage时滞的离散型神经网络的状态估计问题．通过构造新的Lyapunov泛函得到保证估计误差全局渐近稳定的充分条件,并通过求解一个线性矩阵不等式（LMI）得到状态估计器的增益矩阵．采用一种新的时滞分割方法将变时滞区间分割为多个子区间,使该结果在获得更小的保守性同时也降低了计算的复杂度．     

基于奇异值分解的潜艇磁场推算

针对潜艇磁性防护,基于磁偶极子阵列模型,建立了潜艇磁性目标高精度磁场计算模型。提出了利用奇异值分解的方法对模型进行求解,利用该求解算法进行了模型计算与实测数据比对,结果表明,该计算方法能够有效适用于计算高精度潜艇磁场。基于奇异分解的方法计算了潜艇高空磁场,计算结果可供潜艇防护磁性探测参考。     

多站时差定位中的病态性分析及其改善方法

在多站时差定位过程中,传统定位算法在传感器布站不合理的情况下通常会表现出明显的病态性,其导致定位结果不稳定、精度低。针对此问题,首先分析了时差定位过程中病态性产生的物理场景,并通过奇异值分解揭示了病态性的本质;其次根据时差定位观测矩阵的特征值分布特点,提出了一种改进的多站时差定位改善方法,该方法基于LS估计信息矩阵的条件指标进行奇异值修正,兼顾了目标定位的分辨率与方差,能显著提高多站时差目标定位的精度和稳定性,且没有增加系统和算法复杂度;最后将该算法与传统算法进行了仿真比较,结果证明了该算法优越性。     

基于逆向强化学习的舰载机甲板调度优化方案生成方法

针对计算机辅助指挥调度舰载机甲板作业的决策过程无法脱离人参与这一特点,引入基于逆向学习的强化学习方法,将指挥员或专家的演示作为学习对象,通过分析舰载机的甲板活动,建立舰载机甲板调度的马尔可夫决策模型(MDP)框架;经线性近似,采用逆向学习方法计算得到回报函数,从而能够通过强化学习方法得到智能优化策略,生成舰载机甲板调度方案。经仿真实验验证,本文所提方法能够较好地学习专家演示,结果符合调度方案优化需求,为形成辅助决策提供了基础。     

基于不完全信息演化博弈模型的网络舆情传播羊群行为

以网络舆情传播过程中大部分人对事实不了解为前提,在这部分群体内构建基于不完全信息环境的两人对称演化博弈模型。提出了两人对称博弈矩阵来决定个体策略的选择,建立了复制动态方程说明不同策略群体比例的演化方向,演化时引入个体的记忆长度,根据设定的交互规则更新各自的观点值及记忆列表。仿真分析模型表明,在此环境中很容易产生羊群行为,群体内的个体都选择盲从并且观点保持一致。此外,羊群行为的集聚产生受多种因素影响,主要与采取分析策略的交互利益、成本系数以及记忆长度有关。本文对科学分析引导网络舆情的传播有一定实际意义。     

Sandwich structure for enhancing the interface reaction of hexanitrohexaazaisowurtzitane and nanoporous carbon scaffolds film to improve the thermal decomposition performance

Improving the thermal decomposition performance of hexanitrohexaazaisowurtzitane (CL-20) by appropriate methods is helpful to promote the combustion performance of CL-20-based solid propellants. In this study, we synthesized a sandwich structure of CL-20 and nanoporous carbon scaffolds film (NCS) and emphatically studied the thermal decomposition performance of the composite structure. Thermogravimetric analysis and differential scanning calorimetry were used to measure the thermal decomposition process of the composite structure. The kinetic parameters of thermal decomposition were calculated by the thermal dynamic analysis software AKTS. These results showed that the thermal decomposition performance of the sandwich structure of CL-20 and NCS was better than CL-20. Among the tested samples, NCS with a pore size of 15 nm had the best catalytic activity for the thermal decomposition of CL-20. Moreover, the thermal decomposition curve of the composite structure at the heating rate of 1 K/min was deconvoluted by mathematical method to study the thermal decomposition process. And a possible catalytic mechanism was proposed. The excellent thermal decomposition performance is due to the sandwich structure enhances the interface reaction of CL-20 and NCS. This work may promote the extensive use of CL-20 in the field of solid rocket propellant.     

On the Road to the 2015 NPT Review Conference

The second session of the Preparatory Committee for the 2015 Review Conference (RevCon) of the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) highlighted two issues in particular—progress toward a Middle East Weapons of Mass Destruction–Free Zone and the Joint Statement on the humanitarian impact of nuclear weapons—that may not only greatly affect the health and vitality of the NPT and the 2015 RevCon, but possibly also have implications for the international nonproliferation regime as a whole. Dr. William Potter, director of the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies, interviewed Ambassador Cornel Feruta, chairman of the 2013 PrepCom, to discuss these and other issues related to the meeting and the future of the treaty and its review process.     

一种新的动态信道化接收机设计方法

针对复杂电磁环境中存在多个非均匀分布的、不同带宽的信号的情况,提出一种新的动态信道化接收机设计方法。设计一个半带滤波器,并通过内插运算压缩它的频率响应,形成周期频谱;对输入信号进行滤波,同时使原信号经过一定延迟后减去滤波后的信号,形成两路在频谱上互补的信号;用均匀分析滤波器组对得到的两路信号分别进行滤波分解处理,实现监视频段的均匀信道化;根据能量检测结果将属于同一信号的相邻子信道信号作为下一步重构处理的输入,并设计出相应的综合滤波器组提取信号。理论分析和仿真结果验证了新方法的有效性。     

基于免疫FNN算法的加热炉炉温优化控制

针对复杂钢坯加热过程,提出了一种免疫克隆进化模糊神经网络(ICE-FNN)控制算法。首先根据现场样本数据建立过程神经网络模型;然后基于该模型,采用模糊神经网络控制器(FNNC)规则优化算法,确定FNNC的最佳规则数;最后由FNNC的规则优化所得参数构造初始种群的一个解,采用免疫克隆进化(ICE)算法对FNNC参数优化。该算法具有全局寻优和局部求精能力,仿真结果证实了其有效性。