核武器毁伤概率pij计算的一种改进方法

在核火力运用研究的最优瞄准点选择计算中 ,核武器对目标毁伤概率 pij的计算是至关重要的。在 Gauss-L egendre求积方法的基础上 ,提出计算核武器毁伤概率 pij的一种改进方法 ,经计算证明 :此方法计算速度快且精度高。     

磁悬挂天平五自由度位置传感器的数学分析

磁悬挂平天的位置传感器具有一定的特殊性,它需要同时获取被悬挂的飞行器模型的多自由度位置分量。本文对这一问题进行了研究,并讨论了其工程实现问题。     

磁悬挂天平的变结构控制

鉴于磁悬挂天平系统强烈的非线性特性及存在的多种不确定性 ,针对非匹配不确定性情况设计了变结构控制器。根据对悬浮时模型受力图的分析及其模型两端电磁力、电流和电压的平衡关系 ,并以Y轴方向受力为例 ,讨论了磁悬挂天平的非线性变结构设计过程。该设计的目的是使镇定误差趋近于 0 ,其设计步骤包括期望性能到期望力的传递、满足滑动模态可达条件的控制力到控制电压的传递、控制电压的求解。同时对设计的结果进行了仿真分析 ,仿真结果表明磁悬挂天平的变结构控制系统具有良好的动态性能     

How long until midnight? Intelligence-policy relations and the United States response to the Israeli nuclear program, 1959–1985

Why did the United States fail to stop Israeli acquisition of nuclear weapons? Existing research argues that patrons such as the U.S. should have an easy time halting proliferation by militarily and economically vulnerable clients. Nevertheless, Israel acquired nuclear weapons with relatively little American opposition. Utilizing extensive primary source research, we argue that problematic intelligence-policy relations hindered U.S. efforts to arrest Israeli proliferation as (1) policymakers often gave mixed guidance to the intelligence community, resulting in (2) limited information on Israeli efforts that reinforced policy ambiguity. The results carry implications for understanding the dynamics of nuclear proliferation and intelligence-policy relations.     

一种优化神经网络映射算法——吸收算法

本文揭示了神经计算的本质──并行分布处理,并以此为基础提出了时间步的概念。分析了映射算法的两个重要概念──负载均衡和通讯开销,并提出了映射分配准则。在神经网络的映射分配中引入图论的有关思想,提出了一种优化的神经网络映射算法──吸收算法。最后给出了重要的试验结果,这些数据表明吸收算法是一种有效的映射算法。     

Defining quantitative criteria for the physical protection system effectiveness of nuclear facilities

The article is devoted to problems of defining quantitative criteria for the physical protection system (PPS) effectiveness of nuclear facilities. The article briefly describes the scheme of the PPS development used in the nuclear industry in Russia, gives a review of existing approaches to defining the minimal acceptable value of the system's effectiveness, and reveals advantages and disadvantages of the approaches. The article describes in detail an approach based on facility categorization by potential losses and a technique of defining the minimal acceptable value of the PPS effectiveness developed on its base.     

机体/推进一体化飞行器动导数频域计算方法

运用Etkin非定常气动力模型,将谐波平衡法应用于复杂外形动导数辨识。计算结果表明:谐波平衡法和时域方法的动导数辨识结果一致,与实验值吻合,验证了程序的正确性和谐波平衡法的可靠性。采用谐波平衡法对类X-51高超声速机体/推进一体化飞行器WR-A进行动导数辨识,并与时域方法的计算结果比较,考察了该方法在复杂外形下数值模拟非定常流动和动导数辨识的能力。实验结果表明:对于WR-A这种复杂外形飞行器,谐波平衡法也能在保证精度的同时具有较高的计算效率。     

MAD,not Marx: Khrushchev and the nuclear revolution

The revival of nuclear strategy in US policy and scholarship has been strengthened by arguments that the ‘nuclear revolution’ – the assumption that thermonuclear bombs and missiles had made major war too dangerous to wage – does not affect international behaviour as much as nuclear revolution advocates claim. This article shows that the Soviet leader Nikita Khrushchev indeed regarded nuclear war as too dangerous to wage, a decision which manifested itself not so much in foreign policy or military doctrine but in his determination to avoid war when the possibility arose. We argue that Khrushchev’s experience provides us with a more useful way to characterise the nuclear revolution and suggest some implications of this argument for contemporary debates about nuclear weaponry.     

Classical geopolitics,realism and the balance of power theory

Since the end of World War II, classical geopolitics as a particular form of realism has been disengaged from the development of mainstream realist theories. This disengagement has not only concealed the value of classical geopolitics as a framework of analysis for policy and strategy, but also created an increasing rift between theory and policy in contemporary realist theories. This paper seeks to reengage classical geopolitics with mainstream realist theories by clarifying its realist traits and analytical characteristics, (re)stating its core propositions and probing into its potential contribution to the development of mainstream realist theories. This paper contends that classical geopolitics, while having a distinctive pedigree, can arguably be considered an integral part of the family of realist theories in view of its basic theoretical assumptions concerning international anarchy, the unit of analysis and power politics. As a framework of analysis, classical geopolitics incorporates three interrelated strategic propositions. Those three propositions not only constitute the theoretical core of classical geopolitics, but also manifest a peculiar balance-of-power conception that is essentially distinct from those proposed by mainstream realist theories. This paper argues that those three propositions combined promise to fill in prominent lacuna in the balance-of-power research programme, and also have significant implications for contemporary world politics.     

液体火箭发动机功率平衡通用计算方法

本文提出了一种新的液体火箭发动机功率平衡通用计算方法。该方法按照预定的计算顺序，对发动机系统的各个部件进行迭代计算，采用拟牛顿法求解系统可调变量。该方法对各种发动机系统方案的分析具有通用性，适用于液体火箭发动机系统循环方案论证。该方法已在计算机上采用面向对象程序设计实现。本文给出了用该程序对采用液氧、丙烷作为推进剂的分级燃烧循环进行计算的结果。