Estimating failure time distribution and its parameters based on intermediate data from a Wiener degradation model

Instead of measuring a Wiener degradation or performance process at predetermined time points to track degradation or performance of a product for estimating its lifetime, we propose to obtain the first‐passage times of the process over certain nonfailure thresholds. Based on only these intermediate data, we obtain the uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimator and uniformly most accurate confidence interval for the mean lifetime. For estimating the lifetime distribution function, we propose a modified maximum likelihood estimator and a new estimator and prove that, by increasing the sample size of the intermediate data, these estimators and the above‐mentioned estimator of the mean lifetime can achieve the same levels of accuracy as the estimators assuming one has failure times. Thus, our method of using only intermediate data is useful for highly reliable products when their failure times are difficult to obtain. Furthermore, we show that the proposed new estimator of the lifetime distribution function is more accurate than the standard and modified maximum likelihood estimators. We also obtain approximate confidence intervals for the lifetime distribution function and its percentiles. Finally, we use light‐emitting diodes as an example to illustrate our method and demonstrate how to validate the Wiener assumption during the testing. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

关于Chidume结果的推广

在一致光滑的Banach空间,证明了满足不等式‖Tx≤C ‖x‖的一类非线性强增生算子的Mann迭代序列强收敛于Tx=f的唯一解。     

硅整流无刷发电机供电系统动态性能的研究

分析了坦克的供电系统中采用硅整流无刷发电机时的工作特点,建立了这种系统的数学模型,举例说明了计算方法,并在文章的最后进行了评价.     

装甲车辆起动电动机综合试验台

采用较先进的磁粉制动器作为电机的负载,使电机加载平稳、可靠、恒定,并可连续调节负载大小;同时采用高精度的ZJ型转矩转速传感器并配合转矩转速仪,不但能测量电机稳态时的转矩、转速和功率,同时还可测试电机某一过渡过程中转矩、电流、转速随时间变化的数值并贮存或打印.     

AHP法在舰空导弹作战通道分析中的应用

层次分析法(AHP)是一种简便、灵活而又实用的多准则决策的系统分析方法。运用该分析方法对舰空导弹武器各作战通道的性能进行综合分析,其中在对决策矩阵进行计算时,使用了三种不同的效用函数对方案层的各项指标进行了量化,最后得出了各作战通道的综合价值,此值可为指挥员决策提供参考。计算结果表明该方法用于作战通道评价是切实可行的。     

综合飞行/火力控制系统性能评价

详细介绍了综合飞行 /火力控制系统 (IFFCS)性能评价的方法。该方法把评价过程分为单元评价、组合评价和系统性能评价 ,将系统性能指标逐层分解 ,以保证闭合系统最终能完成自动攻击任务。以高性能控制系统仿真软件MATTRIXX6 .0为平台 ,按此方法开发的评价软件获得了用户的认可     

高原环境对军用油料装备柴油动力性能影响分析

针对青藏高原特殊地理环境和气候条件特点,通过某大型群车加油车在高原地区的训练使用,分析海拔高度与大气压力、空气密度和温度的对应关系,探讨了在高原环境条件下使用油料装备其柴油动力的动力性、经济性及低温起动性能受到的影响,提出了相应的改进措施。     

多级可修备件库存的生灭过程建模与优化

针对VARI-METRIC模型在低可用度下结果不准确的问题,建立基于生灭过程的任意等级、任意层级可修件库存优化模型。通过对各级站点、各类备件需求率与到达率的预测,对每个部件建立其生灭过程模型,并提出基于生灭过程的装备可用度计算方法。以整个保障系统的装备可用度为约束指标,以备件总购置费最低为目标,利用边际算法得到最优备件配置方案,并建立仿真模型对所得优化方案进行评估与调整。结合算例,以仿真结果作为检验标准,选取权威的VMETRIC软件与该解析模型在优化性能、计算精度及适用性上进行对比和说明。结果表明,无论是解析模型还是VMETRIC软件,均存在一定的适用范围,而采用解析与仿真相结合的方法无疑具有更强的适应性。     

Computational analysis of MMAP[K]/PH[K]/1 queues with a mixed FCFS and LCFS service discipline

This paper studies a queueing system with a Markov arrival process with marked arrivals and PH‐distribution service times for each type of customer. Customers (regardless of their types) are served on a mixed first‐come‐first‐served (FCFS) and last‐come‐first‐served (LCFS) nonpreemptive basis. That is, when the queue length is N (a positive integer) or less, customers are served on an FCFS basis; otherwise, customers are served on an LCFS basis. The focus is on the stationary distribution of queue strings, busy periods, and waiting times of individual types of customers. A computational approach is developed for computing the stationary distribution of queue strings, the mean of busy period, and the means and variances of waiting times. The relationship between these performance measures and the threshold number N is analyzed in depth numerically. It is found that the variance of the virtual (actual) waiting time of an arbitrary customer can be reduced by increasing N. © 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 47: 399–421, 2000     

窄带假设对GNSS天线阵抗干扰性能评估的影响分析

传统方法基于窄带假设条件下的模型对天线阵抗干扰性能进行评估,存在分析精度低的问题.新一代全球卫星导航信号带宽的增加使得宽带效应更为明显,影响将更为严重.因此,窄带假设所造成的影响需要重新审视.论文结合当前普遍采用的数字域加权处理方式,推导出天线阵处理频率响应的精确模型,得出阵列处理响应在频域上可表示为空域导向矢量与时间...