两栖装备乘员可靠性影响因素分析

人的可靠性指的是人在规定的时间内、规定的条件下、完成规定任务的能力,它是整个系统可靠性一个重要的组成部分,作为装甲装备而言,乘员可靠性的高低直接影响到整个装备作战系统可靠性.针对两栖装备的使用环境和使用特点,对影响乘员可靠性的因素进行了分析,得出了结论,对于如何提高两栖装备乘员可靠性有一定的指导意义.     

On the median residual lifetime and its aging properties: A characterization theorem and applications

This paper is devoted to study several aspects of the median residual life function (MERLF). In reliability studies, it is well known that, although the MERLF have several advantages over the mean residual life function (MRLF), the MRLF has the good property of uniquely determine a life distribution whereas either the median residual life function (MERLF) or an α‐percentile residual life do not have such good property. We shall give a characterization result where knowledge of both the MERLF and the survival function on an interval does uniquely determine the distribution. Moreover, in order to apply this characterization in practical situations, we propose a method to estimate the necessary information of the survival function. Relationships between analytical properties of the survival function and its associated MERLF are also obtained. Bryson and Siddiqui [J Am Statist Assoc 64 (1969), 1472–1483] proved relationships among seven criteria for aging, out of which two contained the MRLF (decreasing MRLF and net decreasing MRLF). In this paper, we prove that the same pattern of relationships holds if the MRLF is replaced by the MERLF. We also examine the aging criteria corresponding to an increasing MERLF and show that there is no relation between the behavior (increasing or decreasing) of the MERLF and of the MRLF. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2005     

通用雷达装备维修器材储供标准模型

研究了通用雷达装备零部件寿命分布类型,给出了以可靠性为依据确定维修器材储供数量和排序参数的计算公式,分析了器材最小包装对计算结果和维修器材排序参数的影响,以及器材关键性对排序的影响及评判方法。     

基于ML-Ⅱ的指数分布可靠性多层Bayes估计

Bayes估计法是可靠性评估中应用最为广泛的方法之一,指数分布的Bayes验前概率密度函数中的重要参数主要依靠Reformulation法和Box-Tiao法确定,具有较强的主观经验性。基于Beyes估计的基本思想,以试验数据为依据,利用第二类极大似然估计法(ML-Ⅱ估计法)确定Bayes方法中的相关参数,避免了参数确定的主观性。实例表明结果合理,方法客观、可行。     

某型飞机军械智能电子电路图的设计

针对传统纸质电路图的不足,采用F lash开发软件研制了智能电子电路图,论述电子电路图开发的基本思路、制作流程、功能设计与实现和影片导出,最后介绍了某型飞机军械智能电子电路图软件的主要组成部分和界面。目前,该软件已经下发部队试用。     

基于任务的舰空导弹武器系统可靠性试验设计

针对舰空导弹在作战任务和战斗中的使用特点,构建基于远洋任务的使用剖面,利用试验设计与仿真试验相结合的方法,研究舰空导弹武器系统及分系统可靠性对导弹武器系统作战效能的影响。建立舰空导弹武器系统的可靠性模型和使用模型。设置不同的作战任务背景,提出了基于任务的舰空导弹武器系统可靠性对作战效能影响的指标,在设定的3种典型作战任务模式下舰空导弹武器系统可靠性对作战效能的影响进行了试验设计和仿真研究。通过仿真比较了任务条件下各可靠性指标和设定的可靠性增长对作战效能的影响。     

基于马尔可夫过程的武器系统相关失效分析

利用马尔可夫过程分别对共因失效和载荷共享失效两种相关失效的系统平均失效时间进行了建模分析。针对同时出现两种相关失效的武器系统进行了实例分析,并将结果和不考虑相关失效时的计算结果进行了对比,对相关失效分析在可靠性分析和评价中的重要作用进行了阐述。     

水下传感器网络部署优化研究

水下传感器网络具有广阔的应用前景,但也存在能量有限、延迟较长、部署区域不连通和通信能耗大等问题,理论和实践证明传感器节点的优化部署是解决已上问题的有效方法。为此综合考虑水下传感器网络的工作环境及传感器特性,建立了提高网络可靠性的网络部署模型,给出了网络部署的成本函数及约束条件,并使用遗传算法对传感器节点和中转节点的部署成本及网络生命周期内的能量消耗进行优化。通过仿真实验表明,该模型收敛速度快,部署节点结果合理,达到了较好的优化网络的目的。     

系统可靠性分配的研究进展

系统可靠性分配是可靠性设计的重要任务之一,其主要作用是为可靠性设计提供辅助决策。给出了可靠性分配流程,研究了可靠性分配模型的发展状况,重点介绍了可靠性分配问题的求解算法,指出了各类算法在分配中的应用及其需进一步解决的问题,同时分析了国内外典型的分配软件,总结了各软件中可靠性分配的主要功能,最后对可靠性分配提出了进一步的研究展望。     

A sequential Bayesian generalization of the Jelinski–Moranda software reliability model

The Jelinski–Moranda model of software reliability is generalized by introducing a negative‐binomial prior distribution for the number of faults remaining, together with a Gamma distribution for the rate at which each fault is exposed. This model is well suited to sequential use, where a sequence of reliability forecasts is made in the process of testing or using the software. We also investigate replacing the Gamma distribution with a worst‐case assumption about failure rates (the worst‐case failure rate in models such as this is not infinite, since faults with large failure rates are immediately discovered and removed). © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006