基于装备全寿命周期的装备需求论证研究

在研究装备需求论证和装备全寿命周期基本理论的基础上,建立了"螺旋型"的装备全寿命周期模型,依据该模型将装备全寿命周期划分为需求论证、方案设计、演示验证、工程研制、生产部署、使用保障和退役报废7个阶段。分析了基于装备全寿命周期的装备需求论证的基本概念,将装备需求论证的工作过程划分为需求生成与确认、需求修正与实现、需求验证与反馈3个阶段,并阐述了3个阶段的主要工作内容。     

野战环境下弹药贮存寿命评估

简述了进行弹药野战环境贮存可靠性试验的试验场地、试验样本量确定方法和试验结果,分析探讨了弹药野战环境贮存可靠性试验数据处理方法,给出了在一定置信度下弹药贮存寿命。     

熙宁变法和元祐诗坛

文章从宋代元右时期的几位代表诗人的创作风格和处世心态两方面入手,阐述了元右诗坛和熙宁变法之间具有统一性与分离性的特点,统一性在于二者之间的变革精神,分离性表现为两点:一是,多元诗风对一元学术风气的背离;二是,以佛老为主导的处世思想对一元主导的荆公新儒学的背离.诗坛与政坛在新变上的统一性为元右诗坛的繁荣提供了宝贵的契机,而二者之间的分离性则让这种繁荣变成了现实.     

基于有限元分析的车辆驱动桥壳台架加速疲劳试验

针对开展驱动桥壳台架加速疲劳试验对删减载荷谱的实际需求,提出了基于有限元虚拟台架试验获得删减载荷谱的试验与分析方法.在有限元仿真分析环境下对某军用特种车辆驱动桥壳进行静强度试验、疲劳寿命预测、应变历程提取以及时间关联损伤分析等工作,得到了用于加速台架试验的删减载荷谱.台架试验表明,使用该方法获得的删减载荷谱能够在准确反映桥壳所受到的损伤同时,大幅缩短台架试验时间,证明了本文所述方法的实用价值.     

Natural gas storage valuation and optimization: A real options application

In this article, we present an algorithm for the valuation and optimal operation of natural gas storage facilities. Real options theory is used to derive nonlinear partial‐integro‐differential equations (PIDEs), the solution of which give both valuation and optimal operating strategies for these facilities. The equations are designed to incorporate a wide class of spot price models that can exhibit the same time‐dependent, mean‐reverting dynamics, and price spikes as those observed in most energy markets. Particular attention is paid to the operational characteristics of real storage units. These characteristics include working gas capacities, variable deliverability and injection rates, and cycling limitations. We illustrate the model with a numerical example of a salt cavern storage facility that clearly shows how a gas storage facility is like a financial straddle with both put and call properties. Depending on the amount of gas in storage the relative influence of the put and call components vary. © 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 2009     

Stage life testing

In progressive censoring, items are removed at certain times during the life test. Commonly, it is assumed that the removed items are used for further testing. In order to take into account information about these additional testing in inferential procedures, we propose a two‐step model of stage life testing with one fixed stage‐change time which incorporates information about both the removed items (further tested under different conditions) and those remaining in the current life test. We show that some marginal distributions in our model correspond either to progressive censoring with a fixed censoring time or to a simple‐step stress model. Furthermore, assuming a cumulative exposure model, we establish exact inferential results for the distribution parameters when the lifetimes are exponentially distributed. An extension to Weibull distributed lifetimes is also discussed.     

Study on performance degradation and failure analysis of machine gun barrel

An increase in the use of the gun barrel will cause wear of the inner wall, which reduces the muzzle velocity and the spin rate of the projectile. The off-bore flight attitude and trajectory of the projectile also change, affecting the shooting power and the accuracy. Exterior ballistic data of a high-speed spinning projectile are required to study the performance change. Therefore, based on the barrel's accelerated life test, the whole process of projectile shooting is reproduced using numerical simulation technology, and key information on the ballistic performance change at each shooting stage are acquired. Studies have shown that in the later stages of barrel shooting, the accuracy of shooting has not decreased significantly. However, it is found that the angle of attack of the projectile increases as the wear of the barrel increases. The maximum angle of attack reaches 0.106 rad when the number of shots reaches 4300. Meanwhile, elliptical bullet hole has appeared on the target at this shooting stage. Through combining external ballistic theory with simulation results, the primary reason of this phenomenon is found to be a significant decrease in the muzzle spin rate of the projectile. At the end of the barrel life, the projectile muzzle spin rate is 57.5% lower than that of a barrel without wear.     

基于“任务/过程”的作战飞机寿命周期过程模型的建立

在介绍传统过程建模方法的基础上,提出了＂任务/过程＂的概念,详细分析了作战飞机寿命周期过程中任务、过程的具体含义。探讨了作战飞机＂任务/过程＂的图形化描述方法,并将其与IDEF0建模工具结合起来建立作战飞机寿命周期过程模型,详细分析了过程模型中信息的含义,有利于对作战飞机寿命周期费用进行更加有效的控制。     

定应变作用下NEPE推进剂老化特性及寿命预估研究

为考察定应变作用下NEPE推进剂的老化特性,研究了20%定应变作用下NEPE推进剂贮存老化过程中力学性能、凝胶性能和界面性能的变化.研究结果表明:定应变作用下NEPE推进剂在贮存老化过程中最大抗拉强度降低,最大延伸率变化较小,其老化失效主要表现为强度的失效;定应变下NEPE推进剂的凝胶百分数和粘附功随老化时间的延长而降低,NEPE推进剂粘合剂基体的降解断裂和界面的"脱湿"是其主要的老化机理;定应变下NEPE推进剂的力学性能与细观性能的相关性研究表明,最大抗拉强度与凝胶百分数和粘附功存在相关关系,计算了其关系式,建立了由细观性能评估推进剂宏观力学性能的方法;选择最大抗拉强度下降30%时失效,20%定应变下NEPE推进剂的贮存寿命为8.3年.     

多维作战空间陆战兵力作战仿真方法

为探讨在登陆作战中陆战兵力作战能力问题，加强对现代作战的定量分析，针对武器装备作战能力向多维作战空间扩展的实际，使用多维战斗力指数和生命力指数表示作战单位的多维作战能力。在分析的基础上，建立了多维作战空间中的陆战兵力作战仿真方法，该方法的核心是将多维作战能力指数和生命力指数运用到兰彻斯特方程中。结合登陆作战中的两个主要阶段，分析了海上突击时对双方战斗力的影响，并通过作战仿真方法对算例进行了求解。分析结果表明，该方程能够描述登陆作战中的主要战斗行动，可以作为作战运筹分析的参考依据，适用于登陆作战仿真系统。