指数寿命产品可靠性增长试验的Bayes分析

针对指数寿命产品的定时、定数截尾试验方案,推广了Mazzuchi-Soyer模型的应用范围。首先引入模型假设,以狄氏分布作为先验分布,综合利用产品研制的历史信息和专家信息,结合产品研制各阶段试验数据,给出了各阶段可靠性的联合后验分布。然后利用Gibbs抽样算法解决后验推断计算问题,得到各阶段产品可靠性的Bayes点估计和区间估计。最后给出产品可靠性增长分析实例,表明了模型的优越性。     

深度置信网络在导弹攻击区分类中的应用

针对传统导弹攻击区解算方法忽略双方态势变化等问题,提出运用深度置信网络的导弹攻击区分类模型。根据导弹命中情况与目标机动间的关系,将导弹攻击区划分为五类。通过分析影响导弹攻击结果的态势参数,构建导弹攻击结果预测模型。在实验部分,结合重构误差和测试错误率确定深度置信网络的网络结构,通过逐层提取数据法分析模型参数特征并且讨论微调数据的采样方式。使用反向传播神经网络和支持向量机进行分类有效性对比实验。实验结果表明：深度置信网络运行速度和预测准确度明显优于其他两种方法,满足实时性和准确性要求,所提方法具有良好的应用价值。     

系统频率偏差对同时全极化测量的影响及其校准

目标极化散射矩阵的精确测量是全极化雷达极化信息处理的前提和基础。基于正负线性调频信号,针对采用数字解线性调频处理的同时全极化测量体制雷达,分别推导了雷达中频频率偏差和采样频率偏差对同时全极化测量影响的数学模型,提出一种雷达中频频偏和采样频偏的联合估计与校准方法。仿真和实测数据表明：雷达系统频率稳定度会引起不同通道极化测量结果峰值位置和相对相位的变化,采用所提方法能够有效校正峰值偏移,补偿相位误差,提高目标极化散射矩阵测量的精度。     

调频斜率极性捷变SAR欠采样转发干扰

针对传统欺骗干扰难以对调频斜率极性捷变SAR形成有效干扰的问题,研究了对调频斜率极性捷变SAR进行欠采样转发干扰的方法。通过建立调频斜率极性捷变SAR有限时长欠采样转发干扰信号模型,分析欠采样转发干扰对调频斜率极性捷变SAR的干扰效果。给出假目标数目、位置以及幅度的理论计算公式,在此基础上讨论欠采样周期对干扰效果的影响。利用数字仿真验证了理论分析的正确性。     

作战准备车辆装备质量分层抽样方法研究

针对当前我军车辆装备质量全面技术普查过程中存在的问题,探索一种新的作战准备车辆装备质量评估方法——抽样评估法,综合运用简单随机抽样和分层抽样,提出作战准备车辆装备质量抽样的样本量确定方法和子样本量分配方法,最后示例说明该方法的应用。     

独特的微机正弦扫频振动控制技术

以通用微机为主控单元进行正弦扫频振动控制的独特之处在于驱动信号的生成、修正,响应信号的采样、分析以及系统传递函数计算等控制功能均主要由微机软件完成。本文主要介绍上述控制功能的软件设计原理,并给出相应的实验结果。     

The incentive effect of acceptance sampling plans in a supply chain with endogenous product quality

This article studies a firm that procures a product from a supplier. The quality of each product unit is measured by a continuous variable that follows a normal distribution and is correlated within a batch. The firm conducts an inspection and pays the supplier only if the product batch passes the inspection. The inspection not only serves the purpose of preventing a bad batch from reaching customers but also offers the supplier an incentive to improve product quality. The firm determines the acceptance sampling plan, and the supplier determines the quality effort level in either a simultaneous game or a Stackelberg leadership game, in which both parties share inspection cost and recall loss caused by low product quality. In the simultaneous game, we identify the Nash equilibrium form, provide sufficient conditions that guarantee the existence of a pure strategy Nash equilibrium, and find parameter settings under which the decentralized and centralized supply chains achieve the same outcome. By numerical experiments, we show that the firm's acceptance sampling plan and the supplier's quality effort level are sensitive to both the recall loss sharing ratio and the game format (i.e., the precommitment assumption of the inspection policy). © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2013     

Designing acceptance sampling schemes for life testing with mixed censoring

Mixed censoring is useful extension of Type I and Type II censoring and combines some advantages of both types of censoring. This paper proposes a general Bayesian framework for designing a variable acceptance sampling scheme with mixed censoring. A general loss function which includes the sampling cost, the time‐consuming cost, the salvage value, and the decision loss is employed to determine the Bayes risk and the corresponding optimal sampling plan. An explicit expression of the Bayes risk is derived. The new model can easily be adapted to create life testing models for different distributions. Specifically, two commonly used distributions including the exponential distribution and the Weibull distribution are considered with a special decision loss function. We demonstrate that the proposed model is superior to models with Type I or Type II censoring. Numerical examples are reported to illustrate the effectiveness of the method proposed. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2004     

电火工品发火信号波形采样研究

针对采样频率选取不当使采集的电火工品发火信号波形失真问题,研究了在实际采样过程中采样频率的取值方法。首先根据发火信号的特征,设计了采样方案;然后利用虚拟仪器软件对发火信号进行频谱分析,确定合适的采样频率和采样点数,进而采集完整的信号波形;最后结合试验数据对采样频率的选取进行了分析,得出了在实际采样过程中采样频率的取值规律。     

党对阶级阶层分析的价值判断

建国后党对中国社会结构的认识经历了从阶级到阶层的发展变化。党对中国社会结构认识的变化,是在总结对中国社会结构分析的经验教训的基础上,恢复了阶级阶层这两个范畴的本来面貌。我们应当正确地认识这一变化,澄清对阶级阶层的分析思路,这样才能正确看待新的社会阶层的社会属性,以便更充分地发挥他们在社会主义建设中的作用。