航空弹药供应保障存在的问题及对策

在现代高技术信息化战争中,航空弹药地位和作用日渐突出。在分析了信息化条件下现代战争对航空弹药供应保障提出的新需求基础上,指出了航空弹药供应保障存在的不足,并从航空弹药的储备、管理和供应三个方面分别提出了相应的对策。研究表明,着眼应急作战的实际需要,搞好航空弹药供应保障,提高应急作战弹药供应保障能力,是摆在面前的一个现实而又紧迫的任务。     

Military deployment and international terrorism: do location and mission type matter?

Extant literature documents a relationship between military deployment and the risk of an international terrorist attack against citizens of the deploying country. It appears that deployment significantly increases the possibility of terrorist actions in the home country. In particular, if country A decides to send troops to nation B, then citizens of the former country are more likely to fall victim of an attack carried out by a terrorist organisation originating from the latter country. Contributing to this line of literature, we further refine this relationship by distinguishing between regions where the troops are sent as well as by introducing differences between types of deployment. Our results indicate that missions to Asia and the Middle East are more dangerous than missions to other regions as reflected by the terrorist threat in the home country. Robustness tests do however show that the significance of the location variable Asia is predominantly attributed to the mission to Afghanistan. As for types of deployment, only ad hoc missions seem to increase the risk of an attack, whereas no significant results are found for other missions such as operations under UN and NATO flag. Leaving out the missions to Iraq and Afghanistan however also increases the danger resulting from missions by fixed coalitions. Our results find however no evidence that ‘wearing a blue helmet’ increases the probability of a terrorist attack at home.     

Terrorist choice: a stochastic dominance and prospect theory analysis

The paper explores terrorist choice by applying two well-known theoretical frameworks: stochastic dominance and prospect theory (PT). We analyse each pair of attack methods that can be formed from the RAND-MIPT database and the Global Terrorism Database. Instances of stochastic dominance are identified. PT orderings are computed. Attention is accorded to the identification of ‘trigger points’ and the circumstances that may lead to an increased likelihood that a terrorist will select an attack method associated with a higher expected number of fatalities, i.e. a potentially more damaging attack method.     

单像自标定的迭代优化方法

针对基于灭点的单像自标定方法精度不高的局限性,利用影像中的灭点和椭圆几何约束信息,提出一种迭代优化的单像自标定方法。根据极点-极线关系及其表示的正交性,由影像中的椭圆曲线及其所在平面的灭线确定一组正交共轭灭点对。利用这些正交共轭灭点对建立关于主距和主点的非线性模型,以主距的方差最小作为优化准则,并选用多个位置作为主点的初始值进行多次迭代优化估计,获得主距和主点的最优结果。仿真影像和真实影像实验结果表明,该方法能够有效地实现单像自标定。与基于灭点的摄像机标定方法相比,该方法能够获得更为满意的标定结果。     

基于满意度的通信保障方案优选方法

针对当前通信保障方案缺少科学有效的评估方法,提出一种基于满意度的优选方法。从保障性、可靠性、时效性和经济性等4个方面,建立了评价指标体系;结合各个评价指标的特点,给出了具体量化方法,克服了评价时的主观性,并对量化后的结果进行了规范化处理;利用满意度理论,通过求解一系列关于指标权重的线性规划问题,确定了各评价指标的权重值;计算各预选方案的综合效能值,确定最终排序。最后,结合某次通信保障案例,对4个预选方案进行比较,该方法计算结果与实际相符,证明了其有效性。     

迭代插值FPFH特征点云配准算法

针对三维激光扫描点云数据的配准问题,提出了一种基于FPFH特征的迭代插值配准新方法。配准过程中考虑到点云数据获取时,受扫描仪分辨率影响,点云局部或整体密度偏小,两次测量点云数据的相同位置不存在完全相同的点,以致对应点之间存在误差。为减小误差对配准精度影响,引入迭代插值方法,增加点云整体密度。配准过程通过计算关键点处FPFH特征寻找对应相关关系求得粗配准旋转平移矩阵,再使用ICP算法进行点云的精确配准。实验结果表明,改进的配准方法简单、稳定可靠、计算速度快且计算复杂度小,对实现点云配准具有实用价值。     

基于系统动力学的装备保障体制系统仿真分析

装备保障体制系统具有复杂性、动态性和非线性等特点,构建了三级装备保障体制的SD仿真理想模型和仿真延迟模型。充分考虑保障系统生成各要素之间都具有的反馈性和时滞性,通过模型仿真对三级装备保障系统的稳定性进行了分析,并指出了建立二级装备保障体制的条件,分析了军民联合的保障机制对保持保障系统稳定性的重要作用。最后基于仿真结果提出了装备保障体制建设方面的几点建议。     

高师生社会支持与信息焦虑的关系研究

目的:研究高师生社会支持与信息焦虑的相关关系,旨在找出能够用社会支持改善信息焦虑状况的办法。方法:采用信息焦虑量表和领悟社会支持量表238名高师生进行测查。结果:1高师生社会支持的整体水平有极其显著性差异(F=6.083,P0.05)。2信息搜索与选择焦虑维度上存在显著的性别差异(T=4.218,P0.05)。在信息搜索和选择焦虑、信息饥渴焦虑上存在显著的年级差异(F=3.231,P0.05)。3湖北师范学院高师生信息焦虑和社会支持各因子间呈显著负相关(R=-0.153,P0.05)。通过回归分析,社会支持对信息焦虑程度具有预测作用(F=4.617,P0.01)。结论:通过增加社会支持来缓解高师生的信息焦虑。     

基于满足率的随舰备件配置方案

针对满足率只有统计定义的问题,从不同角度研究了备件满足率的概率性质,给出了满足率的两种概率模型,揭示了满足率的内涵和实际工程意义。在此基础上,给出了系统备件保障满足率的概率定义,建立了以系统备件满足率为约束、备件总重量最小为目标的随舰备件配置优化模型,研究了优化模型的边际效益算法。实例分析表明：该方法为合理制定舰艇随舰备件保障方案提供了决策依据。     

警用装备综合保障效能的熵权-双基点法评估

为实现对警用装备综合保障效能的定量评估,构建了包括战备完好性、保障资源适量性、保障经济性、保障时效性、保障信息化、保障精确性、保障弹性、保障综合性8个评估指标的综合保障效能评估体系,建立了基于熵权-双基点方法的综合效能评估模型,通过编程计算对某警用装备的5种综合保障方案进行了定量评估,根据效能优属度确立了较为优化的综合保障方案。该模型克服了主观赋权的缺陷,可以为警用装备综合保障方案的优选提供科学依据。