Optimal production ramp-up in the smartphone manufacturing industry

Motivated by challenges in the smartphone manufacturing industry, we develop a dynamic production ramp-up model that can be applied to economically satisfy nonstationary demand for short-life-cycle products by high-tech companies. Due to shorter life cycles and more rapid evolution of smartphones, production ramp-up has been increasingly critical to the success of a new smartphone. In the production ramp-up, the key challenge is to match the increasing capacity to nonstationary demand. The high-tech smartphone manufacturers are urged to jointly consider the effect of increasing capacity and decreasing demand. We study the production planning problem using a high-dimensional Markov decision process (MDP) model to characterize the production ramp-up. To address the curse of dimensionality, we refine Monte Carlo tree search (MCTS) algorithm and theoretically analyze its convergence and computational complexity. In a real case study, we find that the MDP model achieves revenue improvement by stopping producing the existing product earlier than the benchmark policy. In synthetic instances, we validate that the proposed MCTS algorithm saves computation time without loss of solution quality compared with traditional value iteration algorithm. As part of the Lenovo production solution, our MDP model enables high-tech smartphone manufacturers to better plan the production ramp-up.     

调相信号自动识别的高阶累积量方法

在信号调制类型识别中,在相干、同步条件下实现调制识别是一类比较典型的研究方法,假设已经实现精确的载波同步并已知精确的定时同步信息.先在相干、同步条件下,利用高阶累积量来进行MPSK信号调制类型识别,然后对频率误差和位定时误差对识别算法带来的影响进行了研究.结果表明算法对一定的频差和定时误差具有鲁棒性.     

基于遗传算法的MIL-STD-188-220c标准最佳转发树的构造

针对MIL-STD-188-220C标准的路由协议多目的地址最佳转发树问题,提出一种基于遗传算法的优化算法,仿真结果表明,该算法具有收敛快,寻路成功率高的优点。     

A misclassification cost‐minimizing evolutionary–neural classification approach

Machine learning algorithms that incorporate misclassification costs have recently received considerable attention. In this paper, we use the principles of evolution to develop and test an evolutionary/genetic algorithm (GA)‐based neural approach that incorporates asymmetric Type I and Type II error costs. Using simulated, real‐world medical and financial data sets, we compare the results of the proposed approach with other statistical, mathematical, and machine learning approaches, which include statistical linear discriminant analysis, back‐propagation artificial neural network, integrated cost preference‐based linear mathematical programming‐based minimize squared deviations, linear integrated cost preference‐based GA, decision trees (C 5.0, and CART), and inexpensive classification with expensive tests algorithm. Our results indicate that the proposed approach incorporating asymmetric error costs results in equal or lower holdout sample misclassification cost when compared with the other statistical, mathematical, and machine learning misclassification cost‐minimizing approaches. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006.     

船用蒸汽发生器传热管破损事故研究

综合应用事件树分析和确定论分析方法,建立船用蒸汽发生器传热管破损事故动态分析模型;基于运行安全分析研究选用典型事件序列,并利用仿真应用平台对该模型进行了仿真计算分析;明确了故事的发展过程和处置措施,以及多重故障和人工干预等因素对事故的影响结果.该研究结果对该事故操作规程的制定有一定的指导意义.     

结合动态时间弯曲与决策树方法的液体火箭发动机故障诊断

对某大型液体火箭发动机的热试车数据及通过发动机模型仿真得到的故障数据进行动态时间弯曲分析,得到弯曲路径集,然后结合决策树方法进行了故障检测和诊断。对于故障试车没有出现漏报警和误报警,对于正常试车没有出现误报警。通过与神经网络、支持向量机等方法所得结果的对比,证明该方法可以成功地应用于火箭发动机的故障检测和诊断。     

模糊综合评判在战斗损伤评估中的应用

应用模糊综合评判对某型火炮的试验数据进行了初步分析,通过聚类分析得出了该型火炮的易损部件(战斗损伤),以及参加试验的6门火炮的损伤等级。计算结果表明,在战损评估中应用模糊数学的方法是可行的。     

中红外光谱在润滑油分类识别中的应用

由中红外光谱能够获得不同种类润滑油的组成与结构信息.分别用聚类分析法和主成分分析法提取润滑油的中红外光谱信息,对齿轮油、内燃机油和液压油这3大类共113个润滑油样品进行了分类识别.采用系统聚类法对其进行分类,比较了不同类间距离、样品间距离和光谱区间对聚类分析结果的影响.采用主成分分析法对齿轮油、内燃机油、液压油及不同黏...     

机场道面润滑软毁伤抢修评估与分级

机场道面软毁伤抢修评估与分级是制定抢修预案和指挥员决策的重要依据,也是抢修组织与实施的量化基础.以润滑软毁伤为例,着重研究机场道面遭受润滑软毁伤后的抢修评估,提出了单一毁伤指标的定性抢修等级划分.结合吻合度模型,建立了以军事指标、毁伤指标、修复指标为宏观指标的定量抢修分级模型,并且通过算例验证分级的可行性和快捷性.所研...     

污泥龄对污泥絮体中磷酸盐形态及其动态变化的影响

以污泥龄(SRT)为10 d和30 d的2组A/O-SBR反应器活性污泥为研究对象,探讨了SRT对污泥絮体中磷酸盐形态及其动态变化的影响。结果表明,污泥絮体中的磷主要分布于胞外聚合物(EPS),EPS磷占污泥絮体磷总质量的69.45%~73.36%。正磷酸盐(PO3-4-P)、低分子量聚磷酸盐(LMW Poly-P)和高分子量聚磷酸盐(HMW Poly-P)是污泥絮体磷的主要形态。高SRT(30 d)污泥絮体EPS磷含量明显大于中SRT(10 d),表现为前者较后者有更高的PO3-4-P和HMW Poly-P含量,对应着高SRT(30 d)污泥絮体较中SRT(10 d)有更高的磷含量,前者约为后者的1.37倍。厌氧/好氧反应过程中,中SRT(10 d)污泥絮体EPS磷的厌氧降低量和好氧升高量分别为高SRT(30 d)的1.35倍和1.46倍,主要归因于前者的PO3-4-P和HMW Poly-P较后者有更大的厌氧降低量,而PO3-4-P,LMW Poly-P和HMW Poly-P较后者有更大的好氧升高量,对应着中SRT(10 d)污泥絮体较高SRT(30 d)有更强的厌氧释磷和好氧吸磷能力。