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针对既有随机变量又有区间变量的模型预测结果与实验数据之间的一致性度量问题,对随机-区间混合不确定性模型确认指标进行研究。根据工程数学模型和实验过程中的不确定性来源,分析随机-区间混合不确定性模型确认的特点;运用概率方法和区间理论,提出新的随机-区间混合不确定性模型确认指标,讨论所提指标的性质,给出指标的计算方法和步骤。通过数字算例和工程算例,验证了所提指标的可行性和有效性。 相似文献
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在分析某型近炸引信的工作原理和数字仿真模型的基础上,应用瞬时谱方法分析多普勒信号的瞬时平均频率,验证了近炸引信的数字仿真模型。结果表明瞬时谱是分析多普勒信号这类时变频非平稳随机信号的有效方法。 相似文献
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Lanchester equations and their extensions are widely used to calculate attrition in models of warfare. This paper examines how Lanchester models fit detailed daily data on the battles of Kursk and Ardennes. The data on Kursk, often called the greatest tank battle in history, was only recently made available. A new approach is used to find the optimal parameter values and gain an understanding of how well various parameter combinations explain the battles. It turns out that a variety of Lanchester models fit the data about as well. This explains why previous studies on Ardennes, using different minimization techniques and data formulations, have found disparate optimal fits. We also find that none of the basic Lanchester laws (i.e., square, linear, and logarithmic) fit the data particularly well or consistently perform better than the others. This means that it does not matter which of these laws you use, for with the right coefficients you will get about the same result. Furthermore, no constant attrition coefficient Lanchester law fits very well. The failure to find a good‐fitting Lanchester model suggests that it may be beneficial to look for new ways to model highly aggregated attrition. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2004. 相似文献
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在ADAMS(Automatic Dynamic Analysis of Mechanical Systems)中搭建薄壳箱体的刚柔耦合虚拟仿真模型,进行动态响应仿真分析。在相同试验条件下,搭建薄壳箱体动态响应试验台架,并进行动态振动试验。利用Q-400非接触式测试系统测量台架试验结果。对比仿真分析和试验测量结果,验证了仿真分析模型的准确性和计算结果的可靠性。 相似文献
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为了确保复杂大系统仿真(LCSS)的可信性,应该在建模与仿真(M&S)的全生命周期中开展校核、验证与确认(VV&A)研究.对LCSS的VV&A进行了理论研究,提出其方法论与原则;以基于仿真组件构建的HLA仿真系统为例,从仿真组件层、联邦成员层及联邦层三个层面研究了VV&A过程,并将这些研究应用于反舰导弹突防联邦仿真中.实践表明,研究对LCSS的VV&A工作具有很好的指导作用,有力地保障了仿真的可信性. 相似文献