指数寿命产品可靠性增长试验的Bayes分析

针对指数寿命产品的定时、定数截尾试验方案,推广了Mazzuchi-Soyer模型的应用范围。首先引入模型假设,以狄氏分布作为先验分布,综合利用产品研制的历史信息和专家信息,结合产品研制各阶段试验数据,给出了各阶段可靠性的联合后验分布。然后利用Gibbs抽样算法解决后验推断计算问题,得到各阶段产品可靠性的Bayes点估计和区间估计。最后给出产品可靠性增长分析实例,表明了模型的优越性。     

独特的微机正弦扫频振动控制技术

以通用微机为主控单元进行正弦扫频振动控制的独特之处在于驱动信号的生成、修正,响应信号的采样、分析以及系统传递函数计算等控制功能均主要由微机软件完成。本文主要介绍上述控制功能的软件设计原理,并给出相应的实验结果。     

采用自适应简化不确定性卡尔曼滤波算法的飞行器导航控制方案

针对飞行器绕本体轴高速旋转的飞行过程出现的严重耦合干扰问题和大角加速度和大角速度测量问题,提出了一种自适应简化不确定性卡尔曼滤波算法。该算法使用超球面分布采样点和线性转移等方法简化算法采样计算和采样点的权值计算,提高算法效率;利用模型噪声和线性方程,通过一步预测进行自适应设计,计算滤波值和误差方差矩阵;使用次优噪声估计器推算过程噪声;对过程噪声进行正定判定,防止算法发散。仿真结果表明,这一改进的自适应简化不确定性卡尔曼滤波算法能够有效减少滚转角解算误差和耦合干扰,提高飞行器着陆点的精度。     

一种新的自适应粒子滤波算法*

在对实时性要求高的系统中,粒子数的选择对粒子滤波至关重要,需要在滤波精度与计算复杂度乏间取折衷.提出了一种基于决策规则的自适应粒子滤波算法,在定义综合性能代价函数的基础上,推导出粒子数与滤波误差方差之间的关系,使得在粒子滤波过程中,可以根据实际滤波情况在线调节粒子数,以使滤波的综合性能达到最优.通过Monte Carlo仿真实验表明,新算法在与基本粒子滤波算法(PF)保持同等精度的条件下,大大降低了算法的计算量,约为PF的六分之一.     

对调频斜率极性捷变SAR欠采样转发干扰

针对传统欺骗干扰难以对调频斜率极性捷变SAR（chirp rate polarity jittered SAR, CRPJ-SAR）形成有效干扰，研究了对CRPJ-SAR欠采样转发干扰。通过建立CRPJ-SAR有限时长欠采样转发干扰信号模型，分析了欠采样转发干扰对CRPJ-SAR的干扰效果。给出假目标数目、位置以及幅度的理论计算公式。在此基础上讨论了欠采样周期对干扰效果的影响。利用数字仿真验证了理论分析的正确性。     

The incentive effect of acceptance sampling plans in a supply chain with endogenous product quality

This article studies a firm that procures a product from a supplier. The quality of each product unit is measured by a continuous variable that follows a normal distribution and is correlated within a batch. The firm conducts an inspection and pays the supplier only if the product batch passes the inspection. The inspection not only serves the purpose of preventing a bad batch from reaching customers but also offers the supplier an incentive to improve product quality. The firm determines the acceptance sampling plan, and the supplier determines the quality effort level in either a simultaneous game or a Stackelberg leadership game, in which both parties share inspection cost and recall loss caused by low product quality. In the simultaneous game, we identify the Nash equilibrium form, provide sufficient conditions that guarantee the existence of a pure strategy Nash equilibrium, and find parameter settings under which the decentralized and centralized supply chains achieve the same outcome. By numerical experiments, we show that the firm's acceptance sampling plan and the supplier's quality effort level are sensitive to both the recall loss sharing ratio and the game format (i.e., the precommitment assumption of the inspection policy). © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2013     

Designing acceptance sampling schemes for life testing with mixed censoring

Mixed censoring is useful extension of Type I and Type II censoring and combines some advantages of both types of censoring. This paper proposes a general Bayesian framework for designing a variable acceptance sampling scheme with mixed censoring. A general loss function which includes the sampling cost, the time‐consuming cost, the salvage value, and the decision loss is employed to determine the Bayes risk and the corresponding optimal sampling plan. An explicit expression of the Bayes risk is derived. The new model can easily be adapted to create life testing models for different distributions. Specifically, two commonly used distributions including the exponential distribution and the Weibull distribution are considered with a special decision loss function. We demonstrate that the proposed model is superior to models with Type I or Type II censoring. Numerical examples are reported to illustrate the effectiveness of the method proposed. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2004     

电火工品发火信号波形采样研究

针对采样频率选取不当使采集的电火工品发火信号波形失真问题,研究了在实际采样过程中采样频率的取值方法。首先根据发火信号的特征,设计了采样方案;然后利用虚拟仪器软件对发火信号进行频谱分析,确定合适的采样频率和采样点数,进而采集完整的信号波形;最后结合试验数据对采样频率的选取进行了分析,得出了在实际采样过程中采样频率的取值规律。     

高速艇自由变深水动力试验研究

通过模型试验,研究了高速艇从压载半潜状态自由变深到高速滑行状态的水动力现象.结果表明,当容积傅氏数大于1.25时,与舷外相通的水能完全自动排出.高速艇自由变深主要有以下5个原因:惯性作用、压载水逐渐排出导致的艇体上抬作用、艇艉由于负压形成的空穴对压载水的吸附作用、艇体动升力导致的艇体上抬作用、有利的艉倾作用.其中对具有较快加速运动的情形,惯性作用起重要地位,艇体动升力在排出流道水方面所发挥的作用相对较小,但在保持流道水排空方面发挥主导作用.     

基于多分辨分析的数值积分算法

从多分辨分析思想出发 ,推导出一种计算数值积分的算法 ,通过加强迫函数改善其精度。利用张量扩张的原理 ,将其推广到计算多维数值积分。结果表明 ,它不但与传统的Simpson算法有较好的一致性 ,而且对于震荡积分也有较高的精度。