DTM在坦克视景仿真中的应用

介绍了DTM的结构、数据处理.针对坦克射击模拟器的要求,利用DTM,建立一套三维地形.以微机图形工作站为主要开发平台,建立在真实地为基础上的视景模拟逼真度得以提高.     

Applying Lanchester's linear law to model the Ardennes campaign

In modern warfare, many believe the decisive factor in winning a battle is seizing the right moment to shift from defense to attack, or vice versa. This paper attempts to bring that perspective to Lanchester's differential equations of warfare, and continues the application of Lanchester's linear law to the analysis of the World War II battle of Ardennes, as reported in earlier issues of Naval Research Logistics by Bracken and by Fricker. A new variable, shift time, accounting for the timing of the shift between defense and attack is explicitly included in our version of the model, and it helps obtain improved goodness of fit to historical data. © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 48:653–661, 2001     

Inventory competition with yield reliability improvement

This article studies the inventory competition under yield uncertainty. Two firms with random yield compete for substitutable demand: If one firm suffers a stockout, which can be caused by yield failure, its unsatisfied customers may switch to its competitor. We first study the case in which two competing firms decide order quantities based on the exogenous reliability levels. The results from the traditional inventory competition are generalized to the case with yield uncertainty and we find that quantity and reliability can be complementary instruments in the competition. Furthermore, we allow the firms to endogenously improve their yield reliability before competing in quantity. We show that the reliability game is submodular under some assumptions. The results indicate that the competition in quantity can discourage the reliability improvement. With an extensive numerical study, we also demonstrate the robustness of our analytical results in more general settings. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 107–126, 2015     

具有偏好系数允许卖空的投资组合模型解存在的条件

在投资组合各种模型中，具有偏好系数的投资组合模型是最重要的模型之一，对其求解的研究具有理论价值。本文利用矩阵分块理论对此模型进行了研究，并给出了此模型解存在的一个充分条件。     

防空系统搜索目标仿真模型

从防空作战仿真与评估的需要出发,讨论了地面防空系统对空搜索、检测目标、截获目标、概略跟踪与初始状态估计等阶段的主要描述指标及其仿真模型,有关模型可直接应用于防空作战仿真及效能评估。     

人员疏散模拟计算方法对比研究

目前我国在安全疏散评价中采用的人员疏散模型和计算方法不尽相同,而对于同一种场景,不同疏散模型和计算方法存在较大差异性。通过同一种疏散场景不同疏散模型和计算结果的对比,验证了三种计算方法以及采用中西方人体参数的差异大小,为选择合理的安全疏散评估方法提供了指导。     

一阶超对策模型中结局偏好认知信息集结的模式识别法

针对一类一阶n人超对策模型,提出了一种结局偏好认知信息的集结方法.首先通过对单一局中人中不同专家给出的对其他局中人结局偏好信息的不同认知进行关联分析,确定出专家的权重评价值,进而运用模糊模式识别原理,通过建立一个非线性规划模型,给出了一种新的超对策结局偏好认知信息的集结方法.最后,用一个数值例子对文中所提方法进行了说明.     

Changing the paradigm: Simulation,now a method of first resort

Decades ago, simulation was famously characterized as a “method of last resort,” to which analysts should turn only “when all else fails.” In those intervening decades, the technologies supporting simulation—computing hardware, simulation‐modeling paradigms, simulation software, design‐and‐analysis methods—have all advanced dramatically. We offer an updated view that simulation is now a very appealing option for modeling and analysis. When applied properly, simulation can provide fully as much insight, with as much precision as desired, as can exact analytical methods that are based on more restrictive assumptions. The fundamental advantage of simulation is that it can tolerate far less restrictive modeling assumptions, leading to an underlying model that is more reflective of reality and thus more valid, leading to better decisions. Published 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 293–303, 2015     

多因素空间近距离巡查效能评估建模

空间近距离巡查可以开展对目标的近距离观测和监视,用于识别目标类型和工作状态等,对在轨服务、博弈对抗等军民领域均具有重要意义。分析了空间巡查任务的一般形式,并以近距离巡查最常用的光学观测为对象,构建了巡查观测的约束模型和相对距离因素评估模型、有效观测时间评估模型、目标观测角度评估模型等多因素的观测任务效能评估模型,解决了面向巡查任务全过程的综合效能评估问题,可以更好地支撑基于评估结果的巡查策略设计和巡查轨迹优化等。基于数值算例分析和半实物仿真实验,对提出的评估模型进行了仿真验证,结果显示实际观测效果和模型评估结果一致。     

A non‐linear defence‐growth nexus? evidence from the US economy

The defense‐growth nexus is investigated empirically using time series data for the US and allowing the effect of defense spending on growth to be non‐linear. Using recently developed econometric methods involving threshold regressions, evidence of a level‐dependent effect of military expenditure on GDP growth is found: the positive externality effect of defense spending prevails for relatively lower levels of defense spending (with respect to the history of defense spending in the US) and reverts its influence for higher levels.