ZERO NUCLEAR WEAPONS

The current nuclear nonproliferation order is no longer sustainable. The Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) has weakened considerably over the years, with nuclear have-nots displaying increased dissatisfaction with the status quo. Meanwhile, demands for civilian nuclear technology have led to increased proliferation risks in the form of dual-use technologies. Arms control as we currently understand it—piecemeal treaties and agreements—is no longer sufficient to address the growing threat of proliferation and the frailty of the NPT. This article calls for a bolder nonproliferation agenda pursuing multilateral nuclear disarmament. Disarmament is, in fact, technologically achievable; a lack of political will stands as the only remaining roadblock to a world free of nuclear weapons. A better understanding of the technological feasibility of disarmament, as well as recognition of the diminishing strategic value of nuclear weapons, will help to erode this political reluctance.     

Ka波段过模慢波结构色散曲线的数值求解 （高功率微波技术研究所专题组稿）

本文运用场匹配法,结合Ka波段过模慢波结构的实际情况,进行轴对称周期慢波结构色散关系的理论推导,得到了一种快速、准确计算适应Ka波段过模慢波结构的色散特性计算方法。根据推导结果,采用Matlab程序编程计算了Ka波段过模盘荷波导的色散曲线。将计算得到的色散曲线与成熟的商业软件计算得到的结果进行了对比,两者误差在2%以内,验证了数值算法的可靠性。计算得到的色散曲线可以辅助选取Ka波段微波源的结构参数,对器件设计有一定参考价值。     

A robust queueing network analyzer based on indices of dispersion

We develop a robust queueing network analyzer algorithm to approximate the steady-state performance of a single-class open queueing network of single-server queues with Markovian routing. The algorithm allows nonrenewal external arrival processes, general service-time distributions and customer feedback. The algorithm is based on a decomposition approximation, where each flow is partially characterized by its rate and a continuous function that measures the stochastic variability over time. This function is a scaled version of the variance-time curve, called the index of dispersion for counts (IDC). The required IDC functions for the external arrival processes can be calculated from the model primitives or estimated from data. Approximations for the IDC functions of the internal flows are calculated by solving a set of linear equations. The theoretical basis is provided by heavy-traffic limits for the flows established in our previous papers. A robust queueing technique is used to generate approximations of the mean steady-state performance at each queue from the IDC of the total arrival flow and the service specification at that queue. The algorithm's effectiveness is supported by extensive simulation studies.     

舰炮弹丸对零航路捷径超声速导弹的侵彻分析

以零航路捷径下小口径舰炮弹丸对超声速反舰导弹的侵彻毁伤效果为研究方向,仿真计算了零航路捷径下小口径舰炮弹丸与超声速反舰导弹的交汇姿态,建立了反舰导弹模型,在此基础上就不同侵彻部位及交汇角度条件下小口径舰炮弹丸对超声速反舰导弹的侵彻毁伤效果进行了有限元仿真,得出了具有统计意义的仿真结果,总结了弹丸无法毁伤导弹战斗部的几点因素。研究对有效评价小口径舰炮弹丸对超声速反舰导弹的毁伤效果以及对导弹整体的易损性分析提供了理论参考。     

New results on a stochastic duel game with each force consisting of heterogeneous units

Two forces engage in a duel, with each force initially consisting of several heterogeneous units. Each unit can be assigned to fire at any opposing unit, but the kill rate depends on the assignment. As the duel proceeds, each force—knowing which units are still alive in real time—decides dynamically how to assign its fire, in order to maximize the probability of wiping out the opposing force before getting wiped out. It has been shown in the literature that an optimal pure strategy exists for this two‐person zero‐sum game, but computing the optimal strategy remained cumbersome because of the game's huge payoff matrix. This article gives an iterative algorithm to compute the optimal strategy without having to enumerate the entire payoff matrix, and offers some insights into the special case, where one force has only one unit. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 56–65, 2014     

电离层色散特性对导航信号接收的影响

电离层是一种典型的色散介质,会对导航信号产生延迟,且不同频点处的电离层延迟互不相同。实际应用中通常只考虑接收信号中心频点处的电离层延迟,而忽略信号带宽范围内的电离层色散特性。建立了电离层色散特性的对导航信号接收的影响分析模型,并定量地分析了电离层色散效应对BPSK(10)、BOC(14,2)以及AltBOC(15,10)等宽带导航信号的影响。分析表明电离层色散效应对BPSK(10)信号的影响可忽略不计,对高阶BOC信号会产生一定程度的与电离层特性相关的相关损耗及载波跟踪偏差,其中AltBOC(15,10)产生的相关损耗最高约1.4dB,载波相位跟踪偏差最高约0.374π。     

The solution to an open problem for a caching game

In a caching game introduced by Alpern et al. (Alpern et al., Lecture notes in computer science (2010) 220–233) a Hider who can dig to a total fixed depth normalized to 1 buries a fixed number of objects among n discrete locations. A Searcher who can dig to a total depth of h searches the locations with the aim of finding all of the hidden objects. If he does so, he wins, otherwise the Hider wins. This zero‐sum game is complicated to analyze even for small values of its parameters, and for the case of 2 hidden objects has been completely solved only when the game is played in up to 3 locations. For some values of h the solution of the game with 2 objects hidden in 4 locations is known, but the solution in the remaining cases was an open question recently highlighted by Fokkink et al. (Fokkink et al., Search theory: A game theoretic perspective (2014) 85–104). Here we solve the remaining cases of the game with 2 objects hidden in 4 locations. We also give some more general results for the game, in particular using a geometrical argument to show that when there are 2 objects hidden in n locations and n→∞, the value of the game is asymptotically equal to h/n for h≥n/2. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 63: 23–31, 2016     

助飞鱼雷攻潜时两种引导定位方法误差分析

水面舰艇使用助飞鱼雷攻潜时,可以利用舰载声纳系统或舰载直升机吊放声纳系统分别对目标潜艇进行定位并引导舰艇攻击潜艇,本文建立了这两种目标定位方法的散布误差模型,并在仿真计算的基础上,比较分析了两种定位引导方法目标散布误差的优劣,为助飞鱼雷攻潜指挥决策提供了依据,对提高助飞鱼雷作战效能具有指导意义。     

用伴随方程研究烟幕施放的优化问题

从描述烟幕扩散的基本方程出发,提出了一类烟幕施放的优化问题．文中指出,这类问题由于约束条件为复杂的偏微分方程,计算量很大,难以直接求解．为了解决这一问题,引入了一种伴随方法以降低计算量．推导了三维非平坦地形下大气平流一扩散方程的伴随方程,利用伴随方程和原方程的关系,对优化问题进行了等价变形,大大降低了计算量．最后通过一个算例,对这一方法的有效性进行了演示。     

防区外联合攻击武器火控系统分析与研究

从一般的空面精确制导武器系统到远射程的防区外联合攻击武器系统,技术更新和发展很多.针对防区外联合攻击武器系统的特点,对防区外联合攻击武器火控系统的总体技术进行了研究探讨,对其武器火控系统的组成、功能、攻击发射方式、工作流程等进行了分析,给出了防区外联合攻击武器火控系统精度分析与分配的方法,并进行了仿真计算和分析,验证了精度分析的有效性.