Statistical analysis for masked system life data from Marshall‐Olkin Weibull distribution under progressive hybrid censoring

This paper considers the statistical analysis of masked data in a series system, where the components are assumed to have Marshall‐Olkin Weibull distribution. Based on type‐I progressive hybrid censored and masked data, we derive the maximum likelihood estimates, approximate confidence intervals, and bootstrap confidence intervals of unknown parameters. As the maximum likelihood estimate does not exist for small sample size, Gibbs sampling is used to obtain the Bayesian estimates and Monte Carlo method is employed to construct the credible intervals based on Jefferys prior with partial information. Numerical simulations are performed to compare the performances of the proposed methods and one data set is analyzed.     

The human consequences of foreign military intervention

The empirical international conflict literature has given much recent attention to interstate armed force’s impact on human well-being. While empirical research has advanced our understanding of the phenomenon considerably, we argue that one conclusion that many studies have reached is preliminary. Some recent research contends that only full-scale war, and not force short of war, has a discernable impact on human welfare or physical quality of life (PQOL). We develop theory on one type of force short of war, large-scale foreign military intervention (FMI), and its potential effects on PQOL. Using interrupted time series and panel corrected standard error methodologies, we find that from 1960 to 2005 large-scale FMI had a statistically and substantively significant impact on the PQOL of populations in 106 developing countries. The specific effect that this type of armed force has depended in large part on the regime type of the target country.     

撬装式LNG加气站消防安全设计探析

撬装式LNG加气站简便、灵活,具有易燃易爆危险性、工作环境特殊性等特点。目前关于撬装式LNG加气站没有明确的国家规范,因此探讨其消防安全设计至关重要。介绍了撬装式LNG加气站的优势,应用系统的思想方法,从总平面布局、防火间距、建（构）筑物设计、工艺安全设计、设置控制报警系统、电气安全设计、给排水系统设计、灭火器配置等方面探讨了撬装式LNG加气站的消防安全设计,为该种加气站的发展提供安全保障。     

Military expenditure and economic growth: peru 1970–1996

The present study examines the effects of military expenditure on growth in Peru in the period from 1970 to 1996. By using a Deger‐type Simultaneous Equations Model it is possible to break up the net effect into supply‐ and demand‐side influences. The former consist of positive externalities of defence activities on the other sectors of the economy, while the latter can be described as crowding‐out of civilian investment. Estimations find the supply‐side effects to be insignificantly different from zero, while the crowding‐out effect of defence spending is significant and substantial. It is thereby established that defence expenditure has a negative overall effect on economic growth in Peru. Although several caveats – including specification problems of the Deger model, the quality of the data used, a relatively small sample and the presence of autocorrelation in the estimations – must be considered, these results turn out to be quite robust with respect to estimation methods (3SLS, 2SLS, OLS) and slight modifications to the model. They are also consistent with previous empirical findings from other countries and cross sectional studies.     

基于Matlab四杆式液压起落机构运动学与动力学分析

提出了一种可用于加油卷盘升降的四杆式液压起落机构的设计方案。分析了四杆式液压起落机构的工作原理,采用复数向量法建立了运动学和动力学数学模型。利用Matlab软件编制了相应的程序进行实例分析和计算,得到了机构关键点的仿真轨迹和有关构件的角位移、角速度及角加速度曲线。运用理论分析计算和软件仿真,验证了机构设计的合理性和方案的可行性。     

D0影响亚硝酸型SND工艺的机理探讨

亚硝酸型SND污水生物脱氮新工艺因兼具短程硝化和同时硝化反硝化工艺的优势而具有很强的开发潜力。在介绍亚硝酸型SND工艺特点之后,着重从微环境理论、微生物特性及化学计量学等角度较为深入地探讨了溶解氧浓度(DO)影响亚硝酸型SND工艺脱氮效果的机理,从理论上进一步证实了DO对于亚硝酸型SND工艺的重要性。     

新型毒品犯罪与对策研究

所谓新型毒品是相对鸦片、海洛因等传统毒品而言的,主要指人工化学合成的致幻剂、兴奋剂类毒品,是由国际禁毒公约和我国法律法规所规定管制的、直接作用于人的中枢神经系统,使人兴奋或抑制,连续使用能使人产生依赖性的精神药品。中国每年被冰毒、氯胺酮等新型毒品吞食的社会财富以百亿计。新型毒品犯罪给我国禁毒工作带来了新挑战,在分析新型毒品犯罪特点的基础上,找出打击新型毒品犯罪所面临的问题,构建科学的新型毒品犯罪打防控对策。     

装备型号需求论证工程化理论研究

明确了装备型号需求论证工程化基本概念与内涵,分析了装备型号需求论证工程化的必要性。对装备型号需求论证工程化中结构化论证模式、工程化论证方法、软件系统开发等关键问题进行了探索,完善了装备型号需求论证工程化的理论体系。     

速射转管炮射击校正方法

速射转管炮的使用成功地解决了射速高、寿命长、后坐力小三者之间的矛盾,但另一方面也给舰炮火控系统带来了新的问题。在分析转管炮对弹丸运动影响的基础上,重点描述了速射转管炮射击校正的方法。     

攻击机突防链型国土防空系统效能分析

封锁式防空和阻击式防空一般采用火力区相互接壤而形成链式防空,链式防空用于疆土防御.根据防空系统的任务和规模(国土防空、部队战场防空、海上舰队防空)以及入侵方式、武器性能特点的不同.基于随机理论建立了敌方采用同类武器组成链式防空体系,攻击机采用火力对抗条件下的国土突防模型.对基于随机理论的攻击机突防链型国土防空系统效能进行了一些假设和简化,建立了初步的效能模型,提供了一个分析的思路和方法.