THE REGIONAL ECONOMIC EFFECTS OF MILITARY BASE REALIGNMENTS AND CLOSURES IN GERMANY

We identify the causal effect of a reduction in military personnel on a number of socioeconomic indicators within the peripheries of military bases. The base realignments and closures in Germany are used as an exogenous source of variation that allows us to identify the effect of a demand shock on household income, output, unemployment, and tax revenue within a specified buffer zone around each base. The analysis covers 298 communities for the period 2003–2007. Consistent with evidence found elsewhere, we find that these base adjustments have only a marginal impact on the local community in which the bases are located.     

Two novel critical shock models based on Markov renewal processes

In this paper, we investigate systems subject to random shocks that are classified into critical and noncritical categories, and develop two novel critical shock models. Classical extreme shock models and run shock models are special cases of our developed models. The system fails when the total number of critical shocks reaches a predetermined threshold, or when the system stays in an environment that induces critical shocks for a preset threshold time, corresponding to failure mechanisms of the developed two critical shock models respectively. Markov renewal processes are employed to capture the magnitude and interarrival time dependency of environment-induced shocks. Explicit formulas for systems under the two critical shock models are derived, including the reliability function, the mean time to failure and so on. Furthermore, the two critical shock models are extended to the random threshold case and the integrated case where formulas of the reliability indexes of the systems are provided. Finally, a case study of a lithium-ion battery system is conducted to illustrate the proposed models and the obtained results.     

高g值加速度计动态校准的实现方法

针对高g值加速度计动态校准要求激励信号的频率大于加速度计谐振频率的需要,采用小型Hopkinson杆和激光干涉仪构成动态校准系统,对某型高g值加速度传感器进行了校准实验。结果表明:该系统能产生脉宽10滋s以下的窄脉冲加速度激励信号,对一阶谐振频率大于100 k Hz的高g值加速度计可以实现动态校准。     

基于数值模拟的弹药地面库整库燃爆冲击波毁伤风险评估

弹药燃爆事故是我军后方仓库安全管理工作防护的重点,对弹药燃爆事故危害度进行评估,是武器装备安全风险评估体系的重要组成部分.选取地面库整库弹药燃爆事故为研究对象,应用AUTODYN计算程序,建立了弹药地面库的三维空间有限元仿真模型,并对弹药地面库整库爆炸的冲击波传播过程进行了数值模拟,得到了在冲击波不同毁伤等级下人员、建筑物的毁伤区域,为燃爆事故危害度风险评估提供了数据支持.     

馈能型悬挂综合性能评价研究

以提高车辆馈能型悬挂综合性能评价的有效性为目的,在分析悬挂减振性能评价和馈能型悬挂能耗特性的基础上,提出了一种考虑乘坐舒适性、操纵稳定性以及悬挂能耗的馈能型悬挂综合性能评价指标和方法。分别以线性和非线性悬挂为研究对象,对其性能进行了综合评价实例分析,验证了该评价指标和方法的有效性。     

爆竹销毁爆炸对建筑物振动影响分析

利用爆竹集中销毁时,爆炸产生的空气冲击波超压对附近建筑物玻璃的破坏程度推算此次爆炸的相当药量,然后根据建筑物的保护对象类别和岩石性质等参数计算出振动的安全允许距离,并和建筑物距离爆点的最近距离相比较,从而得出分析结果.     

爆炸冲击作用下加筋板结构变形研究

为了预报加筋板结构在爆炸冲击载荷作用下的变形程度,将加筋板的变形分为整体变形和局部变形,借助数值计算拟合了两者能量分配关系,进而提出了爆炸冲击作用下加筋板结构变形的理论计算方法,并与实验结果进行比较,结果吻合较好。     

爆电换能的理论分析

考虑了铁电介质的介电松弛和电导率松弛,计及冲击波阵面在样品中传播过程的影响,改进了垂直模式冲击波加载铁电陶瓷电响应的理论,且理论分析与实验结果基本一致。     

炸药冲击波激励工作气体产生可见光的辐射机理研究

研究炸药冲击波激励工作气体的辐射问题。通过理论分析 ,给出气体冲击波波阵面的数学模型。提出了高温环境下工作气体产生可见光的辐射机理 ,最后提出在冲击波作用下提高气体辐射强度的方法。     

Preservation of unimodality under shock models

A number of results pertaining to preservation of aging properties (IFR, IFRA etc.) under various shock models are available in the literature. Our aim in this paper is to examine in the same spirit, the preservation of unimodality under various shock models. For example, it is proved that in a non-homogeneous Poisson shock model if {p_k}_K≥0, the sequence of probabilities with which the device fails on the kth shock, is unimodal then under some suitable conditions on the mean value function Λ (t), the corresponding survival function is also unimodal. The other shock models under which the preservation of unimodality is considered in this paper are pure birth shock model and a more general shock model in which shocks occur according to a general counting process. © 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 46: 952–957, 1999