Optimal investment,pricing and replacement of computer resources

The problem of multiple-resource capacity planning under an infinite time horizon is analyzed using a nonlinear programming model. The analysis generalizes to the long term the short-run pricing model for computer networks developed in Kriebel and Mikhail [5]. The environment assumes heterogeneous resource capacities by age (vingate), which service a heterogeneous and relatively captive market of users with known demand functions in each time period. Total variable operating costs are given by a continuous psuedoconcave function of system load, capacity, and resource age. Optimal investment, pricing, and replacement decision rules are derived in the presence of economies of scale and exogenous technological progress. Myopic properties of the decision rules which define natural (finite) planning subhorizons are discussed.     

Public opinion: A powerful predictor of U.S. defense spending

Public opinion survey responses regarding the desirability of changes in defense spending can be compressed into a single variable, the public opinion balance, which, when accompanied by a control variable measuring the proportion of responses in the “residuum” (no opinion or keep the status quo), permits an accurate prediction of subsequent changes in the rate of change of U.S. defense outlays from the mid‐1960s through the 1980s. This finding cannot be interpreted as a simple case of “the public got what it wanted,” however, because public opinion was not autonomous or spontaneous, and defense decision makers themselves played a central role in shaping public opinion.     

Optimal inspection and repair of renewable coherent systems with independent components and constant failure rates

Suppose that a multicomponent reliability system earns revenue while it is working and that it has a finite number of possible failure states (defined as states in which it ceases to work), each with a known prior probability. When the system stops working its components can be inspected one at a time, and, if necessary, replaced or repaired, until the system is restored to its original (operating) state. Inspections (as well as replacements or repairs) are time consuming and expensive. An optimal adaptive inspection strategy for examining and fixing the components of a failed system restores it as efficiently as possible, taking into account the opportunity costs due to lost revenue while the system remains failed as well as the costs and times required for inspections. This article presents exact and heuristic procedures for constructing optimal adaptive strategies for k-out-of-n and general coherent systems. Average revenue per unit time is taken as the maximand for most of the article, but characterizations of optimality are also obtained for series systems in the case of discounted return over an infinite planning horizon. © 1994 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.     

Insurgency and Genocide: La Vendée

The struggle between the peasant population of the Vendee and the revolutionary government in Paris during the 1790s was perhaps the first, and certainly one of the earliest, of the modern ideological insurgencies. The conflict demonstrates the fatal weaknesses of a purely popular guerrilla movement deprived of sustained outside assistance. It also brings to the surface some less‐familiar aspects of the French Revolutionary regime. Most notably, that regime, determined to eradicate rather than conciliate the Vendean peasantry, employed methods that foreshadowed the techniques of National Socialism.