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Christine M. Leah 《战略研究杂志》2016,39(4):521-534
ABSTRACTFrom 1944 to 1973 Australia attempted to acquire atomic weaponry. This ambition was driven by the desire to contribute to defending British interests in Asia, fears of invasion by China, Indonesia, and Japan, great-power war, and the belief that nuclear weapons were merely bigger and better conventional weapons, that they would proliferate, and that US security assurances lacked credibility. Although the pursuit of the bomb was eventually abandoned, this was not the result of US assurances. Rather, geopolitical changes in Australia’s environment meant that a major attack on the continent was unlikely to occur outside the context of a confrontation between the US, China, and the Soviet Union. This article argues that Australia may soon have to rethink its policies towards US extended deterrence and instead focus on developing its own deterrent. 相似文献
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炼铁高炉回旋区深度的直接探测存在较大困难,提出了一种基于激光雷达的回旋区边缘探测方法。探测得到的回波信号存在较大噪声干扰,为提取边缘回波信号,首先对噪声特点进行分析,判明噪声包括白噪声和1/fγ非平稳随机噪声;由此采用多小波平移不变算法进行滤波处理;采用H ilbert-Huang变换对滤波后的信号进行处理,对其瞬时能量进行分析。由于回旋区边缘表现出较为强烈的局部能量,从能量谱中可较好地提取回旋区边缘信号。试验表明,采用激光雷达探测回旋区的深度,能较为真实地反映高炉回旋区的真实状态,其值较计算建模方法更可靠。进一步的研究可望得到回旋区的二维或三维形貌。 相似文献
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Fernando M. M. Ruiz Florent Hainaut Nathalie Schiffino 《Defence and Peace Economics》2016,27(6):774-793
Lobbyists may not share the same interests, but they usually agree to form a link in a network which could eventually be used to spread information, to search for potential partners, to speak with one voice to decision makers. In other words, social links represent value for lobbyists because they may ultimately facilitate access. In this article, we explore the network of the Security and Defense lobbies in the EU and we describe its structure. 相似文献
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分析了传统的武器装备保障方法对战时保障的不足,提出了基于作战能力的装备保障方法,阐明了该方法的主要思想.研究了通过建立任务-作战能力-装备及其功能结构之间的关联关系,识别装备保障需求的方法,并讨论了基于作战能力的装备保障中使用保障方案评价、维修保障方案评价、装备使用调配等重要问题.该方法的研究为一体化联合作战模式下装备保障研究工作建立了总的理论框架. 相似文献
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In this article, we study threshold‐based sales‐force incentives and their impact on a dealer's optimal effort. A phenomenon, observed in practice, is that the dealer exerts a large effort toward the end of the incentive period to boost sales and reach the threshold to make additional profits. In the literature, the resulting last‐period sales spike is sometimes called the hockey stick phenomenon (HSP). In this article, we show that the manufacturer's choice of the incentive parameters and the underlying demand uncertainty affect the dealer's optimal effort choice. This results in the sales HSP over multiple time periods even when there is a cost associated with waiting. We then show that, by linking the threshold to a correlated market signal, the HSP can be regulated. We also characterize the variance of the total sales across all the periods and demonstrate conditions under the sales variance can be reduced. © 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010 相似文献
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The importance of subset selection in multiple regression has been recognized for more than 40 years and, not surprisingly, a variety of exact and heuristic procedures have been proposed for choosing subsets of variables. In the case of polynomial regression, the subset selection problem is complicated by two issues: (1) the substantial growth in the number of candidate predictors, and (2) the desire to obtain hierarchically well‐formulated subsets that facilitate proper interpretation of the regression parameter estimates. The first of these issues creates the need for heuristic methods that can provide solutions in reasonable computation time; whereas the second requires innovative neighborhood search approaches that accommodate the hierarchical constraints. We developed tabu search and variable neighborhood search heuristics for subset selection in polynomial regression. These heuristics are applied to a classic data set from the literature and, subsequently, evaluated in a simulation study using synthetic data sets. © 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010 相似文献