基于DoDAF的远程目指系统作战体系结构

针对军事信息系统规模庞大、组成结构复杂以及越来越短的产品研制周期要求,在深入研究DoDAF（Department of Defense Architecture Framework）体系结构建模思想及理论的基础上,提出一种基于DoDAF的远程目指系统作战体系结构建模方法。通过分析作战体系结构产品的内涵,以及相互关联关系,给出了具体的体系结构设计步骤及产品实现形式。结合具体典型实例给出了体系结构产品的设计过程,最后通过动态仿真实验对所建立的模型进行了验证。实验结果表明,基于该方法建立模型合理可行、直观易懂、步骤简明清晰。     

作战体系超网络模型及应用

作战体系是由实体节点、各节点之间的物理、逻辑关系,以及实体节点之间的“流”交互、输送、聚集、融合所构成的复杂系统,基于单一要素的网络模型不能反映作战体系的复杂构成和整体结构。本文从军事需求出发,提出了社会任务—指挥控制—物理资源多层超网络模型,用以反映作战体系的复杂构成及结构形态。并通过形式化描述对网络之间的相互交互与映射关系进行规范,接着对模型应用中的关键技术作了初步探讨,模型为研究军事组织指挥、控制问题提供了一种新的工具和思路。     

‘God willing,I will be back’: Gauging the Truth and Reconciliation Commission's capacity to deter economic crimes in Liberia

Recently, in July 2012, the high-profile and bitterly fought nine-month race for the post of Chair of the African Union (AU) Commission, between Dr Jean Ping of Gabon, and his main challenger, Dr Nkosazana Dlamini-Zuma, culminated in the latter's victory. Her victory came after the deadlock at the Eighteenth AU Summit in January 2012. Borne out of the considered need for a quick fix through reliance on a vote of expediency, the election of Dr Dlamini-Zuma represented a political resolution to the crisis that arose due to the earlier ongoing electoral deadlock. Far from being a competitive election by design, the 2012 AU Commission election by default became transformed into an intensely fought campaign that put the AU in the limelight. This article briefly introduces the electoral process, explains in detail the voting behaviour of AU member states, and offers five specific reasons for the victory of Dr Dlamini-Zuma. On the surface the election looks very competitive, but the article explains why this is not the case. To create greater competition for these posts, the AU needs to overhaul the nomination process and the voting procedure. In this regard, the article proffers detailed analysis and proposes a radical revision of the existing criteria for the nomination. The article also proposes specific recommendations for the amendment of the rules of procedure of the AU Assembly to allow for a qualified majority as a deadlock breaker in the fifth round. It also assesses whether the integrity of the AU Commission election was damaged during the campaigning and voting process. In this regard, it recommends the development of a code of conduct for future elections at the AU.     

The Economic Consequences of the Libyan Spring: A Synthetic Control Analysis

Abstract

In 2011 a wave of revolutionary movements, the so-called Arab Spring, spread in the Middle East and North Africa. Libya was one of the most affected countries, ending Gaddafi’s dictatorship after an international intervention and a civil war. This paper assesses the effects that this revolution had on Libyan economy. The analysis is made by means of the synthetic control method. Our estimates for the 2011–2014 period show (i) a cumulative loss in the growth rate of per capita real GDP of 64.15%; (ii) a cumulative loss in per capita real GDP of 56,548 dollars; and (iii) a cumulative loss in the aggregate real GDP of 350.5 billion dollars.     

防空兵分队兵力机动综合保障能力评估

根据兵力机动任务对综合保障的实际需求,构建了综合保障能力的评估指标体系。在此基础上,分别构建了战斗保障能力、后勤保障能力、装备保障能力以及综合保障能力评估模型。明确了防空兵分队兵力机动实施综合保障的主要内容,较好的解决了防空兵分队兵力机动综合保障评估问题。     

基于粒子群优化的模糊交通控制器设计研究

城市中往往存在着一些关键路口,其交通通畅与否会对周围的路网的交通流起着很大的影响,需要优先保持此路口的通畅.针对以上情况,设计了基于上下游交通信息的二级模糊交通控制器来对路网进行协调控制.在此基础上,本文提出了针对交通特性改进的粒子群优化算法(TIPSO),并采用TIPSO对第一级模糊规则进行优化,实验结果表明TIPSO对模糊规则具有较好的优化效果,能够离线训练获取到比人工设定的更优的模糊规则.     

Cinematic representations of the Mexican Narco War

This essay provides an overview of the eras of Mexican cinema followed by an analysis of 10 Spanish-language narco cinematic representations, an overview of the eras of American cinema followed by an analysis of 10 English language narco cinematic representations, and a conclusion that compares and contrasts the Mexican and US narco war cinematic experience. Due to divergent national trajectories – Mexico is engulfed in narco violence and corruption while the United States is not – more differences than similarities exist between these national cinematic genres. Dark spirituality themes are also increasingly evident in more recent narco war films.     

卫星对水面航渡阶段潜艇的探测概率分析

利用遥感手段实施对潜探测已对潜艇保持隐蔽性构成了严重威胁。基于对各种类型相关卫星的参数和探测能力的分析,计算出在不同气象条件下、不同出航时间时卫星对远航潜艇的水面航渡阶段的的探测概率。这对分析潜艇远航暴露的原因、制定合理的远航计划都具有一定的参考价值。