关于巡航导弹(CM)的讨论

ＣＭ已成为当今局部战争中实施常规威慑的主要兵器。在详细论述ＣＭ的基础上,围绕打击目标、杀伤能力、突防能力、研制成本４个方面进行了分析。     

The Weight of the Past(s): The Impact of the Bundeswehr’s Use of Historical Experience on Strategy-Making in Afghanistan

This article seeks to explain the basic dynamics of the development of the German military approach in Afghanistan between 2003 and 2010 by looking at the impact of the Bundeswehr’s established uses of historical experience. First, the German military approach in Afghanistan has slowly evolved from a peacebuilding and mediation mission towards a full-fledged combat deployment. Second, the Bundeswehr’s exclusive focus on the World War II experience has contributed to the emergence of the Balkans experience as a formative experience that shaped initial operational thinking in Afghanistan. Third, because a thorough debate on the historical foundation of counterinsurgency remained absent, the operational shift in 2009 was perceived as a return to ‘classical’ military tasks and thus led to an almost exclusive focus on training for combat.     

面向任务的作战数据保障能力评估方法与工具

作战数据保障为部队的指挥决策和作战行动提供数据服务,是确保精确指挥和精确打击的重要措施。提出面向任务的作战数据保障能力评估过程,建立作战数据保障能力评估指标体系,研究了作战数据保障能力的指标量化分析方法,开发相应的评估工具。该工具支持指标体系编辑、指标量化和数据采集等功能,为作战数据保障能力评估提供了有效的支持。     

移动式雷达网的建立与优化

提出了移动式雷达网的概念和移动式雷达网的4种作战模式:环形模式、伞形模式、宽正面模式和纵深模式,对每种模式的优缺点进行了探讨。具体研究了宽正面移动式雷达网模式的优化问题,建立了相应的优化数学模型,并简单介绍了最优化模型的灵敏度分析问题。     

舰载防空导弹系统的防御能力评估

反舰导弹是当今舰艇及编队面临的主要威胁。为评估反舰导弹攻防能力,以目前世界上防御能力最强的美国航母战斗群为背景,研究采用分层火力配置的航母舰队防御体系对付反舰导弹的有效性。首先分析反舰导弹飞行高度、雷达散射截面及综合效应对防御系统中雷达探测能力的影响,之后应用简化公式,对各类典型舰载对空防御武器的最大拦截距离、拦截次数和拦截效率进行量化分析,对防御反舰导弹能力做出评估。     

防空导弹的新家族——反精导武器防空导弹

现代精确制导武器对敏感点目标的威胁,主要表现在高的击毁概率和多发协同攻击上,保卫点目标的反精确制导武器防空导弹必须具有多目标通道和高速率全向射击能力;必须具有高的可靠性和对精确制导武器的击爆能力,将构成防空导弹系列中的一个新家族。     

基于作战任务的武器装备保障性研究综述

现代战争对装备保障的依赖性越来越大,以作战任务为出发点的武器装备保障性研究成为武器装备执行任务能力正常发挥的前瞻性问题。在对目前国内外武器装备保障性研究现状广泛深入研究的基础上,展望了未来基于作战任务的武器装备保障性研究的发展方向。     

攻防对抗中弹道仿真的设计与实现

在攻防对抗仿真试验中,为了验证导弹性能、分析导弹战术指标,需要进行导弹群复杂环境下的弹道仿真试验,这给仿真实现带来了一定的困难。针对这一困难,在详细分析了六自由度下的弹道仿真的复杂情况的基础上,利用分布式计算的原理和标准,探讨了分布式仿真在导弹群复杂环境下弹道仿真中的应用方法及实现途径。     

护航歼击机的最优火力分配策略

研究了在敌截击－歼击机机群拦截下混合攻击机机群中护航歼击机的控制模式,以攻击机的最小突防损失为局部战效指标,给出了护航歼击机的最优火力分配策略。     

The long term effects of an aging fleet on operational availability and cost: evidence from the U.S. coast guard

This paper empirically examines whether the aging of a fleet affects operational availability and operating cost using a unique data-set on the 117 47-foot Motor Lifeboats (MLBs) of the United States Coast Guard (USCG). Procured from 1997 to 2003, the 47-foot MLB is the standard lifeboat of the USCG and all 117 MLBs remain in service. The aging of the MLB fleet has resulted in higher annual operating costs and lower operational availability, although the nature of this relationship remains unclear. Our estimation strategy utilizes an error components estimator to examine these issues. We employ three variants of the dependent variables (i.e. the standard logarithmic transformation as is most commonly seen in the literature, inverse hyperbolic sine [IHS], and level outcomes). The point estimates from the standard logarithmic model finds operational availability for the MLBs decreases at a rate between 0.83 and 1.8% per year and cost increases at a rate between 0.33 and 7.81% per year. Similar effects are shown with the IHS and level outcome specifications. In terms of nonlinearity effects, we find the most pronounced changes in operational availability and cost occur for MLBs aged 15 years or more (in comparison to younger MLBs).