FMEA与粗糙集相结合的故障预测方法

基于FMEA和粗糙集决策系统基本理论,对飞机中分系统故障预测问题进行了研究。首先定义故障预测所需的征兆并对系统进行FMEA,按照FMEA分析结果分次向系统模型注入引起特定故障的事件,采集含有故障趋势的系统模型的信息用于构建适用于故障预测的粗糙集决策表,对该表进行了处理,最终发现用于故障预测的知识(即决策规则和算法);最后运用所发现的知识进行故障预测。     

Merely ‘Docile Self-Deception’? German Experiences with Nuclear Consultation in NATO

ABSTRACT

Recent nuclear-weapons-related consultation in NATO within the framework of the Defence and Deterrence Posture Review sheds light on historical experiences with nuclear consultation in NATO. In the early years of the Nuclear Planning Group (NPG), which became the main forum for multilateral nuclear consultation in the alliance, developing a nuclear weapons first use doctrine was of particular importance. This process led to the adoption of the Provisional Political Guidelines (PPGs) on the threat to initiate the use of nuclear weapons. With a focus on West Germany as the primary addressee of the NPG, it will be postulated that nuclear consultation functioned and may still be seen as an essential tool to manage the credibility of US extended nuclear deterrence in the framework of NATO.     

SiC纤维表面CVD SiC涂层对其单丝强度的影响

采用化学气相沉积(CVD, Chemical Vapor Deposition)工艺在KD-I型SiC纤维表面制备了SiC涂层,选择2h、4h、6h和8h四个时间点研究了沉积时间对纤维性能的影响.结果表明:具有CVD SiC涂层的SiC纤维较无涂层的纤维来说强度有所下降;在所研究的沉积时间范围内,随着沉积时间的增加,涂层的厚度有所增加,涂层由不连续的岛状转变为连续层状,纤维的单丝强度出现了先升后降的趋势.     

浅海中时谐水平电偶极子在空气中的极低频磁场

为深入分析空气中的极低频磁场,用时谐水平电偶极子等效船舶被主轴调制的水下腐蚀相关电流。根据Maxwell方程组和电磁场边界条件建立浅海条件下电偶极子在空气中的矢量磁位模型,进一步推导了磁场表达式,并利用快速汉克尔变换计算磁场的传播规律。测量了水池碳棒电极和海上钛基电极的磁场,验证了磁场的实用性和模型的有效性。     

基于声矢量阵的宽带波束域高分辨方位估计

宽带信号波束域处理是实现水下目标高分辨方位估计的重要途径,它相对阵元域具有运算量小、分辨信噪比门限低以及角度分辨力高的优点。声矢量阵单个阵元能同时测量声场中的声压量和3个正交的质点振速分量,相对于声压阵,它能获取更多的声场信息。因此通过均匀声矢量阵运用MUSIC算法对宽带信号源波束域DOA估计进行了研究,改善了对弱相干信号源的方位分辨和估计性能,实验所获得的仿真结果表明了该方法具有较高的参考价值。     

HLA联邦的桥接扩展和影响时空一致性的实例分析

随着计算机技术和仿真应用的发展 ,越来越需要组建大规模分布仿真系统 ,HLA框架的定义和应用为此提供了很好的契机。使用桥接技术把不同的联邦连接起来是构建大规模联邦的有效方法 ,其中桥接邦元更适合于不同RTI的异地连接。桥接HLA联邦会带来影响系统时空一致性和性能的新问题 ,时间推进和所有权转移是两个有代表性的例子 ,需要重点解决     

Neighborhood search heuristics for selecting hierarchically well‐formulated subsets in polynomial regression

The importance of subset selection in multiple regression has been recognized for more than 40 years and, not surprisingly, a variety of exact and heuristic procedures have been proposed for choosing subsets of variables. In the case of polynomial regression, the subset selection problem is complicated by two issues: (1) the substantial growth in the number of candidate predictors, and (2) the desire to obtain hierarchically well‐formulated subsets that facilitate proper interpretation of the regression parameter estimates. The first of these issues creates the need for heuristic methods that can provide solutions in reasonable computation time; whereas the second requires innovative neighborhood search approaches that accommodate the hierarchical constraints. We developed tabu search and variable neighborhood search heuristics for subset selection in polynomial regression. These heuristics are applied to a classic data set from the literature and, subsequently, evaluated in a simulation study using synthetic data sets. © 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010     

基于支持向量机的功率变换器开关管开路故障诊断

提出一种基于支持向量机的功率变换器开关管开路故障诊断方法。利用支持向量机建立分类模型,模型以相电流功率谱为输入量,7种故障状态为输出量,选用高斯核,使用基于二叉树分类器的分类算法。将诊断结果与基于BP神经网络的诊断结果进行比较,结果表明基于支持向量机的分类器在功率变换器开关管开路故障诊断中具有更高的准确率和更好的泛化能力。     

基于SVM-UPF的雷达弱小目标检测前跟踪算法

针对低信噪比条件下雷达弱小目标的检测与跟踪,提出了基于支持向量机和无迹粒子滤波的检测前跟踪算法。该算法采用无迹卡尔曼滤波生成粒子滤波的重要性密度函数,提高了粒子的使用效率,在此基础上将支持向量机引入到粒子重采样步骤中,通过构建状态的后验概率密度函数来获得多样性的新粒子,有效解决了粒子贫化问题,仿真结果表明,该算法提高了目标的检测概率和跟踪精度。     

Cρ 准则下选择最优子集的并行算法

C_p准则是目前颇受重视的一种变量选择准则。本文针对大型线性回归模型,推导了从所有可能子集中用C_p准则选择最优子集的(乘除法) 运算次数,提出了C_p准则下变量选择的并行算法。给出了在YH-1和YH-2向量巨型计算机上运行该算法的模拟结果且获得了15倍左右的向量加速比s/v,体现了该算法的优越性。