准则权重信息不完全的证据推理多属性决策算法

针对准则权重信息不完全情况下的多属性决策问题,提出了一种新的证据推理多属性决策算法,它通过建立基于证据信息熵的决策模型来求解准则的最优权重系数,利用求解得到的权重系数和递归ER算法求出各方案的效用值,进而得到各方案的优劣次序。最后,通过算例分析验证了该方法的有效性和合理性。     

Deterrence of Nuclear Terror

Nuclear proliferation, lax security standards in the storage of fissile materials, and international apathy in the prosecution of terrorists make nuclear terror a serious threat to the United States and its allies, yet no doctrine of retaliation has been established. To decrease the probability of terrorist use of nuclear weapons, a doctrine of retaliation—a negligence doctrine—should be considered. If the United States can distinguish whose fissile material was used for a nuclear terror event, a negligence doctrine would prescribe retaliation against that state. Where the proximate cause—terrorists—is unavailable for deterrent retaliation, deterring an accessible mediate cause—a state that has failed to adequately secure its fissile material—is one of a few effective alternatives. In the absence of such a negligence doctrine, the United States and its allies are increasingly vulnerable to a nuclear terror attack and the ensuing negative consequences.     

案例教学法在《火灾证据学》课程中的运用研究

为了培养学员的综合素质和创新能力,《火灾证据学》课程引入了案例教学法。分析《火灾证据学》课程运用案例教学法的教学效果,提出运用案例教学法的基本形式及其相关要求。     

基于BPAF判决的决策层目标属性融合研究

在D-S证据理论框架下,研究了基于目标基本概率赋值(BPAF)判决的决策层目标属性融合问题。简要介绍了D-S证据组合理论框架,阐述了基于BPAF判决的决策层目标属性融合策略、步骤;分析了证据严重冲突时,Dempster证据组合规则不合理的本质原因;提出必须对D-S证据组合规则进行改善等需要继续深入探讨的几个问题。     

关于《非法证据排除规定》与刑事情报适格性的思考

根据刑事情报的诉讼价值体现与诉讼法律制度的联系,立足于公安边防刑事侦查工作实践,针对《非法证据排除规定》和《办理死刑案件证据规定》,就刑事情报与刑事证据的关系,证据适格性是情报转换证据的关键,《非法证据排除规定》中情报适格性解析几方面,对刑事情报的证据转换进行初步探讨。