| 大射程高弹道反舰导弹威胁概率计算方法 |
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| 引用本文： | 王淼,王永杰.大射程高弹道反舰导弹威胁概率计算方法[J].火力与指挥控制,2012,37(3):211-214. |
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| 作者姓名： | 王淼 王永杰 |
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| 作者单位： | 解放军92941部队,辽宁葫芦岛,125001 |
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| 摘 要： | 在导弹飞行试验中,为了防止导弹在故障情况下威胁航区周围保护目标,试验方案设计时必须进行飞行试验安全分析计算,以确保故障弹对保护目标的威胁概率小于一定的安全标准。对反舰导弹故障模式进行了归纳总结,对各种故障模式下的导弹落点散布进行了分析,针对某一特定理论弹道,进行了故障弹威胁概率密度计算,通过对计算结果分析,说明该方法的可行性和正确性。
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| 关 键 词： | 反舰导弹 安全 威胁概率 概率分布 |
A Calculation Method of Threat Probability's about Long Range and High Trajectory Anti-ship Missile |
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| WANG Miao
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WANG Yong-jie.A Calculation Method of Threat Probability's about Long Range and High Trajectory Anti-ship Missile[J].Fire Control & Command Control,2012,37(3):211-214. |
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| Authors: | WANG Miao WANG Yong-jie |
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| Institution: | (Unit 92941 of PLA,Huludao 125001,China) |
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| Abstract: | In order to prevent the trouble missile threatening the other protected target,the safety analysis and calculation of the flying test must be carried.First the trouble modes of anti-ship missile are summed up in the paper,and then the distributions of the missile point of fall under different trouble modes are analyzed.According to a provided ballistic trajectory,the calculation of the threat probability density is carried out and the result of the calculation proves the correctness and feasibility of the method. |
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| Keywords: | anti-ship missile safety threat probability probability distribution |
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