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一类非正态误差下的AR模型定阶研究
引用本文:李晓明,许世蒙,马润波.一类非正态误差下的AR模型定阶研究[J].装甲兵工程学院学报,2009,23(1):87-90.
作者姓名:李晓明  许世蒙  马润波
作者单位:装甲兵工程学院,基础部,北京,100072
摘    要:对一类非正态误差的AR模型,在待定阶数P的情况下,给出误差项中未知实函数依概率有界的定理,可把非正态误差转化为正态情况。最后运用正态误差下AR模型的方法确定阶数和参数,并给出一个算例。

关 键 词:AR模型  误差  非正态  定阶  依概率有界

Research on AR Model Order Determination in a Class of Non-normal Errors
LI Xiao-ming,Xu Shi-meng,MA Run-bo.Research on AR Model Order Determination in a Class of Non-normal Errors[J].Journal of Armored Force Engineering Institute,2009,23(1):87-90.
Authors:LI Xiao-ming  Xu Shi-meng  MA Run-bo
Institution:(Department of Fundamental Courses, Academy of Armored Force Engineering, Beijing 100072, China)
Abstract:For the AR model of a class of non-normal errors, in the case of p-order to be determined, we propose a theorem that the unknown function in errors is probability bounded. Under certain conditions the non-normal error can be turned into a normal situation. Finally, the AR model in normal errors is used to determine the order and parameter, and an example is given.
Keywords:AR model  error  non-normal  order determination  bounded in probability
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