基于Multi-Agent的防空导弹武器系统模型设计

建立科学的结构模型是进行防空导弹武器系统仿真的基础和关键环节。针对防空导弹武器系统的特点,提出了基于Multi-Agent的防空导弹武器系统模型建模方法,设计了防空导弹武器系统模型结构。利用Multi-Agent建模技术,把防空导弹武器系统实体映射成相应的Multi-Agent系统,并以Agent的形式对防空导弹武器系统这一客观复杂系统进行了深刻的认识,为防空导弹武器系统建模仿真奠定了基础。     

目标综合抗击下的防空反导排队论模型

根据现代防空导弹武器系统面临的作战环境和空袭模式,结合防空导弹武器系统的射击原理,运用排队论知识,建立了防空导弹武器系统防空反导的排队模型,并且在此基础上对模型进行优化,引入了敌火力对抗、电子对抗、反导机动等组成的综合因素,为类似问题的研究提供了一种参考.     

基于网络中心制导的防空导弹武器系统可靠性建模

论述了防空导弹武器系统组网的必要性,分析了防空导弹武器系统组网系统的发展现状,构建了基于网络中心制导的防空导弹武器系统拓扑结构并分析了作战使用特点,探讨了防空导弹武器系统组网原理,对基于网络中心制导技术条件下防空导弹武器系统的任务剖面进行了研究,建立了对应的防空导弹武器系统可靠性模型,并运用实际算例对模型进行了解算,结果表明基于网络中心制导的防空导弹武器系统具备更高的可靠性,该模型是网络中心制导课题有益探索。     

基于排队论的防空导弹武器系统作战效能研究

论述了排队论在防空导弹武器系统作战效能评估中的应用,基于排队论,构建了防空导弹服务概率模型,并以陆军第2代防空导弹武器系统"响尾蛇"和第3代防空导弹武器系统"道尔-M1"为例,对两型武器系统作战效能进行了评估。针对不同的目标来袭密度,分别给出了各自作战单元的作战效能。这种方法对防空导弹武器系统的作战使用具有一定的参考价值。     

近程防空导弹新发展点滴

阐述了近程防空导弹的重要性,对近些年来世界各国的新一代近程防空导弹武器系统的发展情况进行了分析,介绍了近程防空导弹武器系统的关键技术和发展趋势.     

基于图形分析的舰空导弹射击效能评估方法

在分析现有舰空导弹武器系统射击效能评估方法的基础上,提出一种基于图形分析的舰空导弹射击效能评估方法。这种方法简单、直观,不仅适用于舰空导弹武器系统,而且可以推广应用于其它类型的防空导弹武器系统。     

可拓论的防空导弹武器系统效能的研究

首次运用可拓学的基元理论,建立了防空导弹武器系统拦截方案的形式化可拓模型。利用可扩、发散和蕴含等拓展分析原理与可拓推理知识,对防空导弹武器系统火力转换、拦截方案的生成和筛选进行了形式化的可拓分析和建模,对防空效能的计算进行了仿真。实例仿真分析结果与实际作战过程相符,使防空导弹武器系统拦截方案的生成更加形式化,逻辑性更强,为防空导弹武器系统效能的计算提供了一个新方法和新思路,为下一步编写软件程序,实现智能化处理奠定了基础。     

攻防对抗下防空导弹武器系统作战效能评估

防空导弹武器系统是反空袭作战和国土防空的重要装备,综述了评定武器系统效能的WSEIAC模型,分析了WSEIAC模型的特点,结合攻防对抗下防空导弹武器作战体系作战的过程和对抗的特点,构建了攻防对抗下的防空导弹武器作战体系效能分析指标体系,建立了一种改进的ADC模型,并对模型中每个因素的确定进行了介绍,可为决策部门提供一定的决策预报.     

S-400“凯旋”——俄罗斯手中的“爱国者”

也许,人们对20世纪90年代初爆发的海湾战争中“爱国者”在空中追杀“飞毛腿”导弹的情景仍记忆犹新。随着导弹的攻防技术的飞速发展,海湾战争使用的“爱国者”PAC-2型,已不能有效地拦截来袭导弹。由于新型空地导弹采用了隐形技术,从而减小了地面防空系统发现和摧毁来袭导弹的距离。这种形势要求研制一种新型地面防空系统。这种新型地面防空导弹武器系统不仅要能对付远程高空目标,而且还要能对付低空飞行、采用隐形技术、飞行速度快的各种空袭武器(包括战术弹道导弹)。俄罗斯推出的全新S-400“凯旋”,正是这样一种新型防空导弹武器系统。它可能成为21世纪俄罗斯防空导弹的“撒手锏”。     

低空防空与反战术导弹

鉴于近期局部战争的经验,根据低空防空的作战使命及低空防空的四种形式表明,低空防空书面临巡航导弹、反舰导弹、空地导弹、反辐射导弹及无人驾驶飞行器的严重威胁。文章分析了这些威胁目标的发展及特点;综述了具有反战术导弹能力的低空防空导弹武器系统、高炮、近距武器系统、弹炮结合防空系统及高能激光反导武器的发展及特点。     

Putin – the masked nemesis of the strategy of ambiguity

Recent events demonstrate the complex and adaptive approach employed by Russia to reassert influence in Europe. The changing face of Russia’s strategy commenced in 2007 when it launched a crippling cyber-attack against Estonia. This was followed by a large Russian conventional attack against Georgia in 2008, occupying two large areas of the nation. 2014 witnessed the Russian annexation of Crimea where in just a week, Russia seized control of Crimea “without firing a shot.” The annexation of Crimea was rapidly followed by a Russian inspired and led subversive war in eastern Ukraine. The common thread among these diverse Russian operations is its use of ambiguity to confound and confuse decision makers in the West.     

India's counter-insurgency experience: the ‘trust and nurture’ strategy

The Indian Army, a force trained primarily for conventional warfare, has been engaged in internal counter-insurgency operations since the 1950s. Despite such a long innings on a counter-insurgency mode, little attention has been accorded within military circles to doctrinal innovation for waging sub-conventional warfare in India's democratic political context. At best, the Army continues to view counter-insurgency duty as secondary to its primary duty of defending India from external conventional threats. By conceptualizing a counter-insurgency strategy of ‘trust and nurture’, this article aims to fill this critical doctrinal gap in India's military policy. The author argues that a counter-insurgency strategy of ‘trust and nurture’ based on democratic political culture, measured military methods, special counter-insurgency forces, local social and cultural awareness and an integrative nation-building approach will result in positive handling of India's internal security problems. The author utilizes India's counter-insurgency experiences in Assam, Mizoram, Nagaland, Punjab, and Operation ‘Sadhbhavana’ in Jammu and Kashmir as illustrative empirical indicants in order to validate the ‘trust and nurture’ strategy.     

Helping hands: civil–military cooperation and Italy's military operation abroad

In the Post-Bipolar Era the growing complexity of the military operations requires a new approach for the resolution of international crises. Since the end of the Cold War, peace support operations (PSO) have become the mainstay and principal occupation of most Western armies. At the same time, Italy has been one of the most important actors in such an area. The article focuses on the cooperation between military and civil components (a process called CIMIC) as a key variable in the Italian PSOs. We will analyse in detail the main lessons learned from past military interventions as well as the general context in which new tendencies are taking place. The maintaining of a minimum security frame becomes essential to fulfil activities ‘collateral’ to the mission: reconstructing services and infrastructure, food distribution, water and medication, law and order, de-mining, training of local forces, and supporting local institutions. These are the main tasks to obtain thrust and support from the population.     

Terrorism,insurgency, kidnapping,and security in Africa's energy sector

Energy continues to serve as the bedrock of modern economies and the main driver of modern society. For Africa, the production and supply of energy resources such as crude oil, natural gas, uranium, coal, biomass, biofuels and other renewables are an important source of employment, rents, taxes, royalties and profits. This sector brings in several tens of billions of dollars of revenue annually. The production and delivery of such resources, however, depend on critical infrastructures such as pipelines, refineries, processing plants, terminals, rigs, electrical energy pylons, substations, pump stations, vessels, and tankers. These infrastructures have been attacked by terrorists, insurgents, vandals and saboteurs, all of whom see them as targets against which to register their grievances and extract concessions from the state. This paper is a chronological account of some of the documented incidents of terrorism, insurgency, kidnapping, destruction, sabotage, and human casualties suffered in the oil and gas sectors in Africa between 1999 and 2012. It is based on data extracted from the databases of the RAND Database of World Terrorism Incidents and the University of Maryland's Global Terrorism Database (GTD).     

Tacit support for terrorism: The rapprochement between the USSR and Palestinian guerrilla organizations following the 1967 war

This article demonstrates the inconsistent and wavering Soviet attitude towards national liberation movements in general and the Palestinian organizations in particular. Until the late 1960s, the Soviets viewed these organizations with suspicion, hesitating to engage in political dialogue with them. However, in the 1970s, political and military events in the region, as well as modifications in the Kremlin's Cold War strategies, led to a general shift towards the Middle East in Soviet foreign policy. Soviet leaders showed increased willingness to provide certain Palestinian organizations with arms with which to conduct terrorist activities against Israeli, pro-Israeli, Jewish and Western targets. The article explores the complex relations between Palestinian organizations and the USSR in the field of international terror. The study also exposes and analyzes the nature and content of Soviet–Palestinian arms dialogues and transactions. It provides clear evidence that Soviet policymakers and other luminaries were fully informed of, and sometimes directly involved in, these transactions and dialogues at the highest levels.     

A1 Qaeda and the radical Islamic challenge to western strategy

The September 11 global crisis prompted by the attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon raises major questions concerning the nature and trajectory of terrorism in the post-Cold War global order. Hitherto, terrorism has been largely debated by analysts at the level of nation states. Terrorist and insurgent movements have also been largely anchored in nationalist and ethnic power bases even when they have sought to mobilise a transnational ideological appeal on religious or class grounds. There have been a few exceptions to this pattern such as the alliance between the German Baader-Meinhof group and the Japanese Red Army Faction, but even such international alliances as this did not, until at least the 1980s, presage anything like a global terrorist network necessitating a global strategic response. This study examines terrorism and global strategic responses.     

Helping hands: external support for the KNU insurgency in Burma

This article analyses to what extent the Burmese KNU insurgency made use of external support from states, refugees, and diasporas. Based on extensive fieldwork it is concluded that support from neighbouring states and refugees has for years kept the Karen rebellion alive. Western countries perceived forms of resistance to the illegitimate Burmese regime as just and have therefore played a crucial role in the continuation of conflict in Karen State. It is important that policymakers and donors as well as executing organizations continue to reflect critically on the way they exercise their work.     

Reviews

Douglas S. Derrer, We Are All the Target: A Handbook of Terrorism Avoidance and Hostage Survival. Annapolis, MD: US Naval Institute Press, 1992. Pp. x+135, notes, index. $14.95. ISBN 01–55750–150–5

Ian Knight, Zulu: Isandlwana and Rorke's Drift, 22–23 January 1879. London: Windrow & Greene, 1992. Pp.136, 150 illus., incl 8 colour plates, maps, biblio. £35. ISBN 1–872004–23–7

Ian Knight, By the Orders of the Great White Queen: Campaigning in Zululand through the Eyes of the British Soldiers, 1879. London: Greenhill Books and Novato: Presidio Press, 1992. Pp. 272, 17 illus., 1 map. £18.95. ISBN 1–85367–122–3

Manfried Rauchensteiner and Erwin A. Schmidl (eds.), Formen des Krieges: vom Mittelalter zum ‘Low‐intensity’ Conflict’. Graz : Verlag Styria, 1991. Pp.208. DM35. ISBN 3–22–12139–7

Harold J. Kearsley, Maritime Power and the Twenty‐First Century. Dartmouth: Dartmouth Publishing Company, Limited, 1992. Pp.xv + 203, 13 diagrams, index. £32.50. ISBN 1–85521–288–9     

基于GTST-DMLD-ESD的装备RMS建模仿真

装备的RMS是装备的重要设计参数,是影响战备完好和保障能力的关键因素.引入GTST-DMLD作为主要建模工具,建立起装备系统的RMS描述模型,以ESD为补充和扩展,对维修过程进行建模.并以GTST-DMLD-ESD模型作为装备RMS仿真的核心,对装备RMS仿真模型的总体框架进行了研究,并对各模块进行了较为详细的探讨.