舰船装备多态系统维修决策的帕累托最优模型

针对舰船装备的复杂性与多态性特点,在分析多目标维修决策帕累托最优理论基本原理的基础上,建立了考虑可靠性、维修时间以及费用的舰船装备多态系统维修决策帕累托最优模型,给出了一种操作简便的解析算法,为维修决策提供了模型依据。最后,以舰用柴油机为例,建立了柴油机维修决策的帕累托最优模型,在给定的决策参数条件下,计算得到了柴油机维修的最优方案,验证了该研究方法的正确性及可操性。     

基于BMOPSO的后装保障基地多目标选址方法研究

基于后装保障基地选址多目标特性,提出了保障水平—保障距离阶跃性、保障加权距离等概念,构建了多目标混合整数规划选址模型;针对模型目标函数多、维度大、难以计算等特点,设计了一种二进制多目标粒子群算法(BMOPSO),并进行算法效率分析;结合算例分析了具体选址问题,计算得到了一组帕累托选址方案组合和帕累托前沿.该方法可根据决策者偏好为其提供选址决策参考.     

缓存需求驱动的无人机轨迹优化

在移动边缘计算网络中,无人机搭载缓存服务器可视为移动的边缘节点,它可以按照一定的顺序接近每个地面终端。根据需要缓存数据量的大小,结合无人机能源受限的特点,提出了缓存需求驱动的无人机轨迹优化方案。该方案的目标是用最短的时间满足某一区域内所有地面节点的通信需求。首先,假设无人机与地面网络节点的通信顺序已知;然后,在此基础上根据地面节点的数据传输量,即无人机需缓存的内容长度,设计了一种基于半监督学习的无人机轨迹优化策略。具体而言,根据无人机的计算系统中是否存储最佳飞行轨迹或者贪心指数的大小,可将算法细分为启发式和半监督模型两大类,依实际情况进行选择。仿真表明,方案提出的轨迹长度相比对比方案优化了22.1%~33.5%,可以有效缩短无人机飞行距离和减少飞行时间,从而可更有效地为地面网络节点提供边缘计算服务。     

电磁发射系统以太网拓扑结构建模优化

拓扑结构优化模型是网络中的一类重要模型，可以有效地优化系统整体链路性能。针对电磁发射系统以太网拓扑结构中部分节点和链路的负载过大，一旦发生堵塞，将会影响网络中关键链路性能的问题，建立网络拓扑结构优化的多目标规划模型，并提出一套基于基因环操作的遗传算法对其进行求解，通过仿真得出最优的网络拓扑结构。根据仿真结果修改实际网络节点默认配置参数，结果显示该模型和算法能有效均衡负载，降低网络冲突率，且不需要改变电磁发射系统以太网的物理链路，不会增加额外成本，对电磁发射类系统具有普适性的意义。     

卫星中断容忍网络路由算法研究

针对卫星网络易中断、长时延等问题,提出一种适合卫星DTN网络的路由算法——SDTNR算法。该算法在节点缓存中设置了3个存放不同服务等级报文的队列,队列根据报文响应比排序,响应比小的报文优先发送。SDTNR算法根据卫星运行规律,建立节点选择表并实时更新该表,根据表中信息选择满足条件的节点作为下一跳节点,以此保证通信的可靠性。仿真结果表明,SDTNR与EPR、PR、FC 3种算法相比,SDTNR更好地提高了报文的投递率、降低了网络开销和平均时延。     

SpaceWire网络热点通信模式的缓存资源分配算法

基于SpaceWire网络在热点通信模式下的工作特点,研究缓存资源的分配算法。给出均匀通信模式和热点通信模式的释义;推导网络路由节点的满负荷概率和平均延时的解析方法,计算网络中的关键通信节点;再给出SpaceWire网络缓存资源分配算法。利用Opnet网络仿真平台建立SpaceWire通信模型,仿真了不同通信模式中采用缓存优化策略前后的关键性能指标。研究结果表明:在热点通信模式状态下,该缓存资源分配算法在保证总资源一定的前提下,网络系统的平均延时降低,优化了SpaceWire网络性能。     

强化学习框架下移动自组织网络分步路由算法

移动自组织网络是一种无基础设施、由移动通信节点组成的无线网络,具有高动态特性。传统的路由协议并不能适应节点移动性带来的频繁拓扑变化,简单的洪泛路由也会因开销过大降低网络的性能。针对如何在移动自组织网络中自适应地进行路由选择,提出强化学习框架下的分步路由选择算法。该算法以最小链路总往返时延为目标,基于强化学习进行路由搜寻,在筛选出符合目标需求节点集合的基础上,结合置信度选择路由。在链路变得不可靠时,数据包被广播给筛选出的邻居节点集以提升路由可靠性并降低开销。对提出的算法在分组到达率和路由开销等主要性能指标进行数值仿真分析。仿真结果表明,提出的分步路由算法相比于基于强化学习的智能鲁棒路由,在降低开销的同时,保持着相当的吞吐率。     

基于强化学习的移动自组织网络分步路由算法*

移动自组织网络是一种无基础设施、由移动通信节点组成的无线网络,具有高度的动态特性。传统的路由协议并不能适应节点移动性带来的频繁拓扑变化,简单的洪泛路由也会因开销过大降低网络的性能。针对如何在移动自组织网络中自适应地进行路由选择,提出了一种基于强化学习的分步路由选择算法。该算法以最小链路总往返时延为目标,基于强化学习进行路由搜寻,在筛选出符合目标需求节点集合的基础上,结合置信度选择路由。在链路变得不可靠时,数据包被广播给筛选出的邻居节点集来提升路由可靠性并降低开销。对提出的算法在分组到达率和路由开销等主要性能指标进行数值仿真分析,仿真结果表明,提出的分步路由算法相比于基于强化学习的智能鲁棒路由,在降低开销的同时,保持着相当的吞吐率。     

采用遗传算法的弹托迎风窝结构设计

针对一体化弹丸弹托易分离性和轻质化的设计要求，构建弹托迎风窝参数化外形模型，基于激波和膨胀波理论建立弹托气动力计算模型；以弹托分离加速度和弹托质量综合最优为目标函数，采用遗传算法对弹托迎风窝的外形参数进行优化设计，从而得到弹托迎风窝的优化外形。以中口径尾翼稳定脱壳穿甲弹的弹托设计为例，采用提出的优化设计模型对其迎风窝结构进行优化设计，并采用基于动网格技术的弹托分离仿真模型验证其最优性。仿真结果表明：所提优化模型能够得到最优的弹托迎风窝结构；针对现有的中口径尾翼稳定脱壳穿甲弹，可进一步对其弹托结构进行优化，以提高其分离快速性。     

多重优化的分布式无线覆盖探测算法

为满足无线通信网络信号覆盖有效性的实时实地可重复探测的需求,提出一种基于传感器网络的分布式无线覆盖探测算法。通过随机部署于目标区域内的无线传感器节点对无线通信网接收信号强度进行感知和预处理;利用变异函数构造新的BP神经网络目标函数,通过改进粒子群算法优化其初始权值和阈值;利用训练好的网络模型对存在探测盲区的目标区域进行插值估计,并联合传感器节点采集到的数据生成无线通信网络等信号强度线。仿真结果表明,所提算法比其他经典算法具有更高的精度,可有效探测目标区域无线通信网络的信号覆盖情况。     

An Unlikely Alliance: Portuguese and South African Airpower in Angola, 1968–1974

The war that Portugal was obliged to fight in Africa began in 1961 and immediately stretched the resources of its armed forces. Nowhere was this thinness more apparent than in policing the vast territory of Angola. The east and southeast of Angola were particularly vulnerable, as the area was a vast, sparsely populated region characterised by enormous featureless plains or chanas covered in tall grass and broken by an extensive river system and mountainous forests. The only military solution to policing these immense spaces was aviation and specifically the helicopter that could carry troops into battle, protect them with a gunship and bring them home when the operation was concluded. The immediate problem for the Portuguese Air Force (Força Aérea Portuguesa or FAP) in Angola and elsewhere was a scarcity of helicopters. The solution was an alliance with South Africa, which had a strong inventory of Alouette IIIs, to help in policing the east. This move was likewise in the interest of South Africa, as its threat came from Zambia through south-eastern Angola. This article examines the strategic and tactical development of this unusual, cross-cultural alliance and the symbiotic relationship that resulted in destruction of the enemies of both in Angola.     

国内外结构钢焊条研究的现状与发展

本文主要介绍了国外焊条的现状和发展趋势,包括焊条的高韧性、高效率、低尘低毒和耐吸潮性能,为国内的焊条研究提供了参考依据。     

Helping hands: civil–military cooperation and Italy's military operation abroad

In the Post-Bipolar Era the growing complexity of the military operations requires a new approach for the resolution of international crises. Since the end of the Cold War, peace support operations (PSO) have become the mainstay and principal occupation of most Western armies. At the same time, Italy has been one of the most important actors in such an area. The article focuses on the cooperation between military and civil components (a process called CIMIC) as a key variable in the Italian PSOs. We will analyse in detail the main lessons learned from past military interventions as well as the general context in which new tendencies are taking place. The maintaining of a minimum security frame becomes essential to fulfil activities ‘collateral’ to the mission: reconstructing services and infrastructure, food distribution, water and medication, law and order, de-mining, training of local forces, and supporting local institutions. These are the main tasks to obtain thrust and support from the population.     

Terrorism,insurgency, kidnapping,and security in Africa's energy sector

Energy continues to serve as the bedrock of modern economies and the main driver of modern society. For Africa, the production and supply of energy resources such as crude oil, natural gas, uranium, coal, biomass, biofuels and other renewables are an important source of employment, rents, taxes, royalties and profits. This sector brings in several tens of billions of dollars of revenue annually. The production and delivery of such resources, however, depend on critical infrastructures such as pipelines, refineries, processing plants, terminals, rigs, electrical energy pylons, substations, pump stations, vessels, and tankers. These infrastructures have been attacked by terrorists, insurgents, vandals and saboteurs, all of whom see them as targets against which to register their grievances and extract concessions from the state. This paper is a chronological account of some of the documented incidents of terrorism, insurgency, kidnapping, destruction, sabotage, and human casualties suffered in the oil and gas sectors in Africa between 1999 and 2012. It is based on data extracted from the databases of the RAND Database of World Terrorism Incidents and the University of Maryland's Global Terrorism Database (GTD).     

A Sign of Victory?: ‘Scottish Swords’ and Other Weapons in the Possession of the ‘Auld Innemie’

Many late medieval documents, notably inventories of arms and armour, of Englishmen contain references to ‘Scottish swords’ and other weapons. What did the compilers of these documents mean when they described a weapon as ‘Scottish’? How did such weapons come to be in the possession of these men? This article will attempt to explain this phenomenon drawing on primary documentary sources and surviving material culture from Glasgow Museums’ collections and others, as well as artworks from the period.     

Tacit support for terrorism: The rapprochement between the USSR and Palestinian guerrilla organizations following the 1967 war

This article demonstrates the inconsistent and wavering Soviet attitude towards national liberation movements in general and the Palestinian organizations in particular. Until the late 1960s, the Soviets viewed these organizations with suspicion, hesitating to engage in political dialogue with them. However, in the 1970s, political and military events in the region, as well as modifications in the Kremlin's Cold War strategies, led to a general shift towards the Middle East in Soviet foreign policy. Soviet leaders showed increased willingness to provide certain Palestinian organizations with arms with which to conduct terrorist activities against Israeli, pro-Israeli, Jewish and Western targets. The article explores the complex relations between Palestinian organizations and the USSR in the field of international terror. The study also exposes and analyzes the nature and content of Soviet–Palestinian arms dialogues and transactions. It provides clear evidence that Soviet policymakers and other luminaries were fully informed of, and sometimes directly involved in, these transactions and dialogues at the highest levels.     

A1 Qaeda and the radical Islamic challenge to western strategy

The September 11 global crisis prompted by the attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon raises major questions concerning the nature and trajectory of terrorism in the post-Cold War global order. Hitherto, terrorism has been largely debated by analysts at the level of nation states. Terrorist and insurgent movements have also been largely anchored in nationalist and ethnic power bases even when they have sought to mobilise a transnational ideological appeal on religious or class grounds. There have been a few exceptions to this pattern such as the alliance between the German Baader-Meinhof group and the Japanese Red Army Faction, but even such international alliances as this did not, until at least the 1980s, presage anything like a global terrorist network necessitating a global strategic response. This study examines terrorism and global strategic responses.     

Cyberpower in Strategic Affairs: Neither Unthinkable nor Blessed

Abstract

This article explores the effect of connectivity on strategic affairs. It argues that the effect on war's character is potentially, although not yet shown in practice, considerably large. Its effect upon the distribution of power among states in the international system is small, contrary to the claims of ‘cyberwar’ alarmists. All told, however, its effect upon strategic affairs is complex. On the one hand, it represents a significant advance in the ‘complexification’ of state strategies, understood in the sense of the production of intended effects. On the other hand, strategists today – still predominantly concerned with the conflicts and confrontations of states and organised military power – are generally missing the power which non-traditional strategic actors, better adapted to the network flows of the information age, are beginning to deploy. These new forms of organization and coercion will challenge the status quo.     

Helping hands: external support for the KNU insurgency in Burma

This article analyses to what extent the Burmese KNU insurgency made use of external support from states, refugees, and diasporas. Based on extensive fieldwork it is concluded that support from neighbouring states and refugees has for years kept the Karen rebellion alive. Western countries perceived forms of resistance to the illegitimate Burmese regime as just and have therefore played a crucial role in the continuation of conflict in Karen State. It is important that policymakers and donors as well as executing organizations continue to reflect critically on the way they exercise their work.