On the output of parallel exponential service channels

The paper treats the output process of a service center that has a large number of independent exponential channels in parallel. Initially all channels are working and there is a fixed backlog of items awaiting service. The moments are derived and central limit theorems are developed. Problems of computation are discussed and suitable formulae are developed. The joint distribution of the output of the center with the center's total busy time and total idle time are derived. Normal approximations to these distributions are presented.     

网络系统可靠性近似估算方法的对比研究

在讨论了网络系统可靠性计算难题的基础上,以满足工程实际的精度需要并减少分析计算工作量为目标,对现有的4种近似估算网络系统可靠性的方法进行了分析,指出了各种方法产生误差的原因,定性分析了有关方法为减少误差所采取措施的合理性。针对2种不同复杂程度的典型网络系统,通过数值算例,给出了单元可靠度不同情形下的系统可靠度计算值;与精确算法对比之后,得到了量化的误差.基于对各方法的工作量和误差的综合分析,给出了具有工程指导意义的建议.     

Survey of approaches to readiness

About thirty references that feature naval logistics environments are considered. All are unclassified and all appear in the open literature or are available from the Defense Logistics Studies Information Exchange. Three approaches are identified–data analysis, theoretical models, and readiness indexes–and conclusions are presented as to possibilities for answering two questions: (a) Can the unit do the job? (b) How does readiness depend on resources? Four cases are treated in detail to illustrate methodology.     

面向基本对象模型BOM和Web服务的建模技术研究

介绍了BOM模型和面向Web服务技术，从概念、表示以及语义层次上对2种技术进行了对比分析。基于二者数据类型和语义的一致性，提出了从BOM模型到Web服务描述的映射规则，阐述了这种映射的实际操作步骤，最后通过实例验证了该方法的可行性和有效性，并分析和总结了运用BOM和Web服务建模的优越性。     

Inference from accelerated life tests using eyring type re-parameterizations

Least squares estimators of the parameters of the generalized Eyring Model are obtained by using data from censored life tests conducted at several accelerated environments. These estimators are obtained after establishing that the Gauss-Markov conditions for least squares estimation are satisfied. Confidence intervals for the hazard rate at use conditions are obtained after empirically showing that the logarithm of the estimate of the hazard rate at use conditions is approximately normally distributed. The coverage probabilities of the confidence intervals are also verified by a Monte Carlo experiment. The techniques are illustrated by an application to some real data.     

室内火灾旋转火焰燃烧特性实验研究

在小尺寸实验中重现了火焰的旋转现象,并在没有外部鼓风的情况下,实现了旋转火焰自发产生;对室内火灾的旋转火焰现象进行了描述,得出旋转火焰具有自旋、根部变细、焰柱增长和旋转中心飘移等特征;并进一步分析了旋转与非旋转火焰各火灾参数的不同,结果表明,旋转火焰比非旋转火焰具有更大的火灾危险性。     

依据供应标准获取装备维修器材需求分布的方法

依据当前装备维修器材供应标准和装备维修器材保障程度模型,建立了求解装备维修器材需求分布的几种典型模型,并给出了相应的求解方法和举例,所给模型与方法具有一般意义,有较大的推广价值,对实际工作中装备维修器材的评估及科学保障具有指导意义。     

基于状态监控的武器系统管理体系构建与功能分析

将CBM＋技术及思想应用于武器系统管理领域，提出了基于状态监控的武器系统管理思路。以某武器系统为研究对象，分析了基于状态监控的武器系统管理的特点；按照模块化原则、管理功能模块与信息保障模块对应原则和集成原则，构建了基于状态监控的武器系统管理体系；探讨了该管理体系中各组成模块的结构设计，并分析了其功能。研究结果为实现武器系统使用中的状态监控与信息化管理提供了体系框架。     

液体火箭发动机故障诊断的最优回归方法

提出了一种基于最优回归理论的液体火箭发动机故障诊断方法，可以在测量参数较少的情况下诊断出较多的发动机故障。当发动机故障不太严重、故障因素也不多时，得到比较满意的关于故障定位和故障大小的结果；在发动机故障比较严重的情况下，仍能得到比较好的故障定位结果；当存在多个故障因素时，诊断效能有所下降。结果表明本文所提方法在比较大的范围之内具有良好的效果。     

小波分析在雷达信号处理中的应用展望

小波分析在雷达信号处理中的应用研究,已成为近些年来信号处理学科的热点之一。介绍了小波分析的发展历史、研究现状,阐明了小波分析的基本概念,比较了各种小波处理方法的特点,详细讨论了小波在雷达信号处理中的诸多应用,指出了有待解决的各种问题,对小波分析在雷达信号处理中的应用提出了展望。     

Calculation of the cost of warranty policies as a function of estimated life distributions

Two types of warranties are analyzed. These are the free-replacement warranty, under which failed items are replaced free of charge until a specified total operating time has been achieved, and the pro rata warranty, under which items that fail prior to a specified time are replaced at pro rata cost to the buyer. Both the buyer's and seller's points of view are considered. The basis of the analysis is a comparison of warranted and unwarranted (otherwise identical) items with regard to long-run cost to the buyer and long-run profit to the seller. Application of the results requires knowledge of certain characteristics of the life distribution of the items in question. Parametric and nonparametric methods of estimation of these characteristics from incomplete data are discussed. Single and multiple failure-mode situations are considered. Some solutions to the problem are illustrated using incomplete data on failure times of an aircraft component.     

Combination setwise-Bonferroni-type bounds

We consider three classes of lower bounds to P(c) = P (X₁ ≤ c₁,…, X_n ≤ c); Bonferroni-type bounds, product-type bounds and setwise bounds. Setwise probability inequalities are shown to be a compromise between product-type and Bonferroni-type probability inequalities. Bonferroni-type inequalities always hold. Product-type inequalities require positive dependence conditions, but are superior to the Bonferroni-type and setwise bounds when these conditions are satisfied. Setwise inequalities require less stringent positive dependence bound conditions than the product-type bounds. Neither setwise nor Bonferroni-type bounds dominate the other. Optimized setwise bounds are developed. Results pertaining to the nesting of setwise bounds are obtained. Combination setwise-Bonferroni-type bounds are developed in which high dimensional setwise bounds are applied and second and third order Bonferroni-type bounds are applied within each subvector of the setwise bounds. These new combination bounds, which are applicable for associated random variables, are shown to be superior to Bonferroni-type and setwise bounds for moving averages and runs probabilities. Recently proposed upper bounds to P(c) are reviewed. The lower and upper bounds are tabulated for various classes of multivariate normal distributions with banded covariance matrices. The bounds are shown to be surprisingly accurate and are much easier to compute than the inclusion-exclusion bounds. A strategy for employing the bounds is developed. © 1996 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.     

侦察打击一体化作战模式下炮兵装备体系组分需求研究

界定了作战模式、炮兵装备体系组分需求等概念,分析了侦察打击一体化作战模式的内涵、装备体系的特点。通过侦察打击一体化作战模式对炮兵作战流程、能力要求的分析,构建了为适应这一要求的炮兵装备体系组分需求方案,得出其是由情报侦察系统、信息处理与指挥控制系统、火力打击系统和保障系统组成的结论。并据此绘制了侦察打击一体化作战模式下的炮兵装备体系结构及信息流程图。     

论中国现代散文的“情”、“志”之美

"情"与"志"是构成现代散文的重要因素之一。散文的"情"与"志"的要求是真实、新颖、深湛,言近而意深,纸短而情长。散文要确立真实、新颖而深湛的"情"、"志",还要注重两者的融合。散文中说理、言志的方式多种多样。     

Systems composed of two types of nonidentical and dependent components

A coherent system of order n that consists two different types of dependent components is considered. The lifetimes of the components in each group are assumed to follow an exchangeable joint distribution, and the two random vectors, which represent the lifetimes of the components in each group are also assumed to be dependent. Under this particular form of dependence, all components are assumed to be dependent but they are categorized with respect to their reliability functions. Mixture representation is obtained for the survival function of the system's lifetime. Mixture representations are also obtained for the series and parallel systems consisting of disjoint modules such that all components of Type I are involved in one module (subsystem) and all components of Type II are placed in the other module. The theoretical results are illustrated with examples. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 388–394, 2015     

A markov chain version of the secretary problem

This paper deals with the Secretary Problem where n secretaries are interviewed sequentially and the best k must be hired. The values of the secretaries are observed as they are interviewed, but beforehand only the distributions of these values are known. Furthermore, the distributions of two successive secretaries' values are governed by a Markov chain. Optimal hiring policies for finite n and limiting optimal policies as k and n approach infinity are obtained.     

改革开放以来我国经济法取得的主要成效及发展方向

中国特色经济法是改革开放的产物，有力地促进了社会主义市场经济的健康、快速发展。经济法在保证经济实现科学发展的同时，自身也突破了对调整能力的传统认识，区分了经济法与行政法，明确了经济法的正确定位，创新了经济法的发展观，提出了“经济法主体”概念，冲破了公法与私法的界限，形成了与相关学科协调发展的经济法学研究格局。今后，经济法的发展必须重视从完善社会主义市场经济基本制度，健全现代市场体系，规范政府科学干预经济生活，宏观调控的重点、热点、难点问题和基础理论研究的创新上把握研究重点，保证经济实现科学发展。     

Some pros and cons of MIL-STD-414

MIL-STD-414 has been in existence in its original form since 1957. Obviously, there are some things that are right about 414. But there are some changes to the standard that are long overdue. This article presents some pros and cons of 414 and a recommendation that it be replaced by a MIL-STD-414A. Two concerns regarding ANSI/ASQC Z1.9 are discussed.     

Kurtosis correction method for X̄ and R control charts for long‐tailed symmetrical distributions

This paper proposes a kurtosis correction (KC) method for constructing the X? and R control charts for symmetrical long‐tailed (leptokurtic) distributions. The control charts are similar to the Shewhart control charts and are very easy to use. The control limits are derived based on the degree of kurtosis estimated from the actual (subgroup) data. It is assumed that the underlying quality characteristic is symmetrically distributed and no other distributional and/or parameter assumptions are made. The control chart constants are tabulated and the performance of these charts is compared with that of the Shewhart control charts. For the case of the logistic distribution, the exact control limits are derived and are compared with the KC method and the Shewhart method. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

液体火箭发动机非线性燃烧不稳定过程的并行仿真

采用计算燃烧学方法对火箭发动机非线性燃烧不稳定工作过程进行了并行数值模拟。气相控制方程组用欧拉坐标系下的Navier Stokes方程组描述 ,液相控制方程组在Lagrangian坐标系下进行描述。气、液两相作用通过方程组的源项互相耦合。编制了串行和并行程序 ,并在并行计算环境下进行了测试。从计算结果可以看出并行计算的效率较高。