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针对装备领域维修保障知识利用效率低、经验知识转化不足、故障定位分析困难等问题,提出了一种装备维修保障知识模型构建及推理方法。首先,通过对装备维修保障工作流程、知识构成及知识特征的分析,借助知识的本体表示方法,设计装备维修保障知识模型,并结合具体装备给出知识模型构建方法;其次,基于知识模型并综合考虑人员经验性知识的量化表达,提出故障原因可信度推理方法,实现维修知识的有效推理计算;最后,以车辆装备发动机故障为例,验证了所提方法的可行性,为装备领域维修保障知识模型构建和推理应用提供借鉴。 相似文献
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《海军工程大学学报》2016,(4)
为提高船舶装备维修风险评估的可操性和正确性,首先分析了舰船装备维修中的风险问题,建立了基于案例的舰船装备维修单元任务风险推理模型;然后,引入神经规则,将案例知识转换成规则,进行风险评估的规则推理;最后,以某型柴油机为例进行了基于案例知识的维修单元任务风险评估。结果表明:基于案例的风险评估方法可以较大幅度地提高风险推理效率。 相似文献
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在舰船装备维修质量管理过程中,由于利益驱动、信息不对称以及维修市场垄断等原因,监修室、修理工厂和舰船使用单位之间存在合谋行为。为有效防范合谋行为的发生,提高舰船装备维修质量,节省维修经费开支,应规范装备维修工程项目报价,提高维修管理信息化水平,培养专业化的维修管理人才队伍,推进维修保障社会化,建立科学的装备维修质量监督体系。 相似文献
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针对装备保障行动中维修行为决策在实践中存在的问题,借助于多属性决策方法和模糊理论,提出基于模糊多属性决策的装备维修行为决策,在分析装备维修行为的影响因素和约束条件的基础上,建立了装备维修行为决策的模型方法,并进行了实例分析。研究表明,该方法能有效降低维修保障费用、缩短维修保障时间和提高维修保障效率。 相似文献
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为了充分挖掘装备故障维修数据中的有用信息和知识,更好地为维修性分析、设计提供服务,根据所收集的某舰船装备维修历史数据的特点,提出采用数据挖掘的方法对在役装备故障和维修信息进行维修性定量分析。通过对装备维修历史数据中的装备进行面向功能属性的分类研究,对故障现象进行聚类分析研究,可以得到各类簇装备故障模式的分布情况,通过进一步计算,可以得到在役装备的平均修复时间(MTTR)等维修性指标,从而为装备故障原因分析、保障特性的设计需求生成等工作提供有效的数据支撑。 相似文献
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《海军工程大学学报》2016,(6)
为了制定科学合理的维修时机、降低装备故障风险,在经济性、任务性和安全性风险三个单目标决策模型的基础上,首先明确装备故障风险分析的步骤,分析了两种维修方式下的维修时机决策建模;然后,提出了基于风险的装备维修时机决策建模方法;随后,建立了考虑经济性、任务性和安全性的单目标模型和考虑故障风险的多目标模型,并给出了两种情况下的模型求解步骤;最后,结合某装备安全阀进行案例分析,验证了模型的有效性。 相似文献
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In the Post-Bipolar Era the growing complexity of the military operations requires a new approach for the resolution of international crises. Since the end of the Cold War, peace support operations (PSO) have become the mainstay and principal occupation of most Western armies. At the same time, Italy has been one of the most important actors in such an area. The article focuses on the cooperation between military and civil components (a process called CIMIC) as a key variable in the Italian PSOs. We will analyse in detail the main lessons learned from past military interventions as well as the general context in which new tendencies are taking place. The maintaining of a minimum security frame becomes essential to fulfil activities ‘collateral’ to the mission: reconstructing services and infrastructure, food distribution, water and medication, law and order, de-mining, training of local forces, and supporting local institutions. These are the main tasks to obtain thrust and support from the population. 相似文献
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Lord Aikins Adusei 《African Security Review》2013,22(3):332-359
Energy continues to serve as the bedrock of modern economies and the main driver of modern society. For Africa, the production and supply of energy resources such as crude oil, natural gas, uranium, coal, biomass, biofuels and other renewables are an important source of employment, rents, taxes, royalties and profits. This sector brings in several tens of billions of dollars of revenue annually. The production and delivery of such resources, however, depend on critical infrastructures such as pipelines, refineries, processing plants, terminals, rigs, electrical energy pylons, substations, pump stations, vessels, and tankers. These infrastructures have been attacked by terrorists, insurgents, vandals and saboteurs, all of whom see them as targets against which to register their grievances and extract concessions from the state. This paper is a chronological account of some of the documented incidents of terrorism, insurgency, kidnapping, destruction, sabotage, and human casualties suffered in the oil and gas sectors in Africa between 1999 and 2012. It is based on data extracted from the databases of the RAND Database of World Terrorism Incidents and the University of Maryland's Global Terrorism Database (GTD). 相似文献
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Paul Rich 《Small Wars & Insurgencies》2013,24(1):39-56
The September 11 global crisis prompted by the attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon raises major questions concerning the nature and trajectory of terrorism in the post-Cold War global order. Hitherto, terrorism has been largely debated by analysts at the level of nation states. Terrorist and insurgent movements have also been largely anchored in nationalist and ethnic power bases even when they have sought to mobilise a transnational ideological appeal on religious or class grounds. There have been a few exceptions to this pattern such as the alliance between the German Baader-Meinhof group and the Japanese Red Army Faction, but even such international alliances as this did not, until at least the 1980s, presage anything like a global terrorist network necessitating a global strategic response. This study examines terrorism and global strategic responses. 相似文献
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This article demonstrates the inconsistent and wavering Soviet attitude towards national liberation movements in general and the Palestinian organizations in particular. Until the late 1960s, the Soviets viewed these organizations with suspicion, hesitating to engage in political dialogue with them. However, in the 1970s, political and military events in the region, as well as modifications in the Kremlin's Cold War strategies, led to a general shift towards the Middle East in Soviet foreign policy. Soviet leaders showed increased willingness to provide certain Palestinian organizations with arms with which to conduct terrorist activities against Israeli, pro-Israeli, Jewish and Western targets. The article explores the complex relations between Palestinian organizations and the USSR in the field of international terror. The study also exposes and analyzes the nature and content of Soviet–Palestinian arms dialogues and transactions. It provides clear evidence that Soviet policymakers and other luminaries were fully informed of, and sometimes directly involved in, these transactions and dialogues at the highest levels. 相似文献
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Jelmer Brouwer 《Small Wars & Insurgencies》2013,24(5):835-856
This article analyses to what extent the Burmese KNU insurgency made use of external support from states, refugees, and diasporas. Based on extensive fieldwork it is concluded that support from neighbouring states and refugees has for years kept the Karen rebellion alive. Western countries perceived forms of resistance to the illegitimate Burmese regime as just and have therefore played a crucial role in the continuation of conflict in Karen State. It is important that policymakers and donors as well as executing organizations continue to reflect critically on the way they exercise their work. 相似文献
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Aleksander Zdravkovski 《Small Wars & Insurgencies》2013,24(5-6):941-963
ABSTRACTWhat was the scope of the Bosnian jihadi participation in the war in Syria? Did the Bosnian volunteers tend to join one particular faction? Why did the Bosnian youngsters decide to join the holy war in the Levant? Was this an organized and hierarchical process or was this a grassroots movement? Last, were all the Salafis in Bosnia supportive of this dynamic or did this process cause internal frictions? These are some of the questions that this research will try to answer. 相似文献
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Christopher Davis 《Defence and Peace Economics》2013,24(3):145-177
The Soviet Union was able to develop a large military-industrial complex and become the world's second superpower despite deficiencies in its centrally planned economy because defence was given high priority status and special planning, rationing and administrative mechanisms were used to attain national security objectives. However, in the period 1976-85 the effectiveness of priority protection diminished and defence institutions experienced more of the problems typical of the shortage economic system. The heavy defence burden also created growing difficulties for the civilian economy. The attempts by the Gorbachev government to reform the defence sector and improve defence-economic relationships during perestroika (1985-91) uniformly failed. For most of the transition period, the Russian military-industrial complex has been adversely affected by its low priority status, cuts in defence spending, instability of the hybrid politico-economic system, and negative growth of the economy. The armed forces and defence industry have been reduced in size and their outputs of military services and equipment have fallen to low levels. Nevertheless, the Russian armed forces still have over one million troops, significant stocks of sophisticated conventional weapons, and a large nuclear arsenal. The government of President Putin has raised the priority of the defence sector, increased real defence spending, and adopted ambitious plans to revive Russian military power. It is likely, though, that tight resource constraints will hamper efforts to reform the armed forces and to upgrade weapons. By 2010 Russia will be an important, but not dominant, military power in Eurasia. 相似文献
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Bettina Renz 《Small Wars & Insurgencies》2013,24(1):55-77
The collapse of the Soviet Union precipitated the massive expansion of drug use and trade in Russia. The country now has one of the largest populations of injecting drug users in the world and has become the largest single-country market for Afghan heroin. In 2003 the Federal Service for the Control of the Drugs Trade was created to coordinate a comprehensive counternarcotics strategy appropriate to the scale of this threat. The service continues to face a number of challenges in its early stages of development. However, it has made considerable advances in improving responses to large-scale organised crime and in building international cooperation. 相似文献