多星联合对地观测能力评估系统设计与实现

根据卫星对地观测原理,提出了一种基于任务规划的多星联合对地观测动态能力评估方法,并设计实现了相应的多星联合对地观测能力评估系统。该系统能够评估卫星系统针对具体任务的整体应用能力,支持卫星系统的顶层设计和规划论证。介绍了该评估系统的总体结构及功能,讨论了系统实现过程中的调度预处理、STK接口、调度引擎、能力评估等关键模块的实现技术,总结了系统的应用前景。     

高超声速滑翔目标拦截弹方案设计与弹道规划北大核心

针对高超声速滑翔目标的拦截问题,分析了拦截窗口、拦截方式以及毁伤方式等拦截问题,并提出了拦截弹总体方案及弹道规划需求;开展了拦截弹总体方案设计,设计了一种两级助推的拦截弹方案,确定了推进系统、操纵系统的总体基本参数,并完成了拦截弹气动外形设计与质心定位;构建了拦截弹弹道规划的分析方法和工具,根据设计约束开展了针对HTV-2高超声速滑翔目标的拦截弹道规划研究,采用粒子群算法对弹道进行了求解。结果表明:采用空基拦截的方式可达到预期的最大拦截速度,满足拦截弹拦截滑翔武器的速度约束指标;此外开展了该拦截弹拦截概率评估,确定了针对高超声速滑翔目标可采用分层防御的方式从多个拦截站依次拦截。     

多UCAV协同作战自主任务规划系统

在分析未来多UCAV协同作战任务的基础上,构建了一个多UCAV协同作战的自主任务规划系统结构,探讨了其运行机制。提出这个系统的核心是自主规划器,它应该具有任务分解、智能信息处理和机载任务规划与重规划能力。设计了自主规划器的初步方案。指出了这个系统下一步研究的任务和方向。     

反舰导弹主从式协同攻击样式

针对群弹系统执行攻击任务时,从弹按照主从式协同攻击样式跟随领弹实施攻击,利用领弹与从弹的位置信息解算出相对距离和角度,依据相对距离和角度误差的动力学特性,建立了主从式协同攻击样式的非线性数学模型,采用输出线性化理论设计了主从式协同攻击样式的控制律,证明了该控制律及其内动态系统的稳定性.仿真表明,在领弹机动条件下,实现了对从弹的速度和弹道偏航角的控制,从弹能保持与领弹的相对距离和弹道偏航角均快速收敛并稳定到期望值.     

多UCAV协同任务规划的层次分解方法

针对多UCAV协同作战的控制决策问题,从任务、空域和时域三个角度阐述了多UCAV协同任务规划问题的层次特性,提出了多UCAV协同任务规划的分层迭代逻辑流程.基于该分层迭代逻辑流程,完成了多UCAV协同任务规划原型系统的开发工作,并进行了初步的综合仿真验证.仿真结果表明,所提出的分层迭代逻辑流程,可以降低任务规划问题的复杂度,是实现多UCAV协同任务规划的一种有效方法.     

多弹种快速供弹系统设计

在研究国内外供弹系统的基础上,借鉴它们的可取之处,通过机构上的综合和创新来建立一个有效的、可行的方案模型,确定供弹系统的结构形式与布置方式,对其进行详细设计,并在Solidworks中建立供弹系统的实体模型。完成了方案的总体结构布置和时序设计。对弹鼓进行了结构和运动规律设计,完成了弹丸的运动过程分析,运用ADAMS对模型进行了仿真验证。为提高舰炮的射速和供弹系统的自动化以及多弹种快速转换能力提供了新的思路与构想。     

基于CBBA的多域作战无人系统任务规划方法研究

针对多域作战任务中异构无人系统的分布式任务规划问题,建立考虑时间窗约束、路径受限等情况下的多域作战任务分配模型;基于一致性束算法求解异构无人系统的任务分配问题;采用Bezier曲线和粒子群算法对一致性束算法进行了扩展,将路径规划耦合到任务分配过程中。仿真结果表明,扩展后的一致性束算法可以同步得到无冲突的多域作战无人系统任务分配解和路径规划结果,验证了其在多域作战无人系统任务规划方面的适用性。     

弹道导弹多弹协同作战规划技术

基于多枚弹道导弹的空中动态组网技术,提出了几种多弹协同规划的作战应用方法。研究了制导律优化、发射时间规划、弹道协同规划、体系协同打击等作战规划技术在协同弹道修正、协同制导、协同突防、体系目标打击等作战方面的典型应用方法,构建了多弹协同技术在弹道导弹作战各环节的协同作战体系,为弹道导弹的协同作战规划技术的应用研究提供了思路。     

固体火箭空间快速响应任务规划研究

针对空间快速响应任务中固体火箭弹道设计、微小卫星轨道规划相互独立,无法快速生成任务方案的问题,提出一种固体火箭空间快速响应任务规划方法。总结概述了空间快速响应任务规划的定义,在此基础上设计了固体火箭空间快速响应任务规划的总体架构,将其划分为任务要素分析、轨道规划、弹道规划、机动路径规划、方案评估和仿真演示共6个模块,阐述了各模块的功能,厘清了各模块之间的信息交互和制约关系,给出了各模块的实现方法和流程。研究结果可为固体火箭空间快速响应任务规划系统的实现奠定基础。     

基于0-1规划的弹种决策与发射时序优化

对于身管发射武器系统,同一发射单元使用不同弹种完成作战任务时,需要确立合适的弹种决策与最佳的发射时机.提出用O-1变量来描述弹种决策变量.通过时弹种发射机制及武器系统控制特点进行分析,构造多种0-1变量用以描述武器系统作战时序之间的约束关系,建立了弹种发射时序的0-1规划模型,并用LINGO软件实现了0-1规划的求解.给出了典型应用实例,进行了仿真计算,结果表明,该方法简单可行.     

Helping hands: civil–military cooperation and Italy's military operation abroad

In the Post-Bipolar Era the growing complexity of the military operations requires a new approach for the resolution of international crises. Since the end of the Cold War, peace support operations (PSO) have become the mainstay and principal occupation of most Western armies. At the same time, Italy has been one of the most important actors in such an area. The article focuses on the cooperation between military and civil components (a process called CIMIC) as a key variable in the Italian PSOs. We will analyse in detail the main lessons learned from past military interventions as well as the general context in which new tendencies are taking place. The maintaining of a minimum security frame becomes essential to fulfil activities ‘collateral’ to the mission: reconstructing services and infrastructure, food distribution, water and medication, law and order, de-mining, training of local forces, and supporting local institutions. These are the main tasks to obtain thrust and support from the population.     

Terrorism,insurgency, kidnapping,and security in Africa's energy sector

Energy continues to serve as the bedrock of modern economies and the main driver of modern society. For Africa, the production and supply of energy resources such as crude oil, natural gas, uranium, coal, biomass, biofuels and other renewables are an important source of employment, rents, taxes, royalties and profits. This sector brings in several tens of billions of dollars of revenue annually. The production and delivery of such resources, however, depend on critical infrastructures such as pipelines, refineries, processing plants, terminals, rigs, electrical energy pylons, substations, pump stations, vessels, and tankers. These infrastructures have been attacked by terrorists, insurgents, vandals and saboteurs, all of whom see them as targets against which to register their grievances and extract concessions from the state. This paper is a chronological account of some of the documented incidents of terrorism, insurgency, kidnapping, destruction, sabotage, and human casualties suffered in the oil and gas sectors in Africa between 1999 and 2012. It is based on data extracted from the databases of the RAND Database of World Terrorism Incidents and the University of Maryland's Global Terrorism Database (GTD).     

Tacit support for terrorism: The rapprochement between the USSR and Palestinian guerrilla organizations following the 1967 war

This article demonstrates the inconsistent and wavering Soviet attitude towards national liberation movements in general and the Palestinian organizations in particular. Until the late 1960s, the Soviets viewed these organizations with suspicion, hesitating to engage in political dialogue with them. However, in the 1970s, political and military events in the region, as well as modifications in the Kremlin's Cold War strategies, led to a general shift towards the Middle East in Soviet foreign policy. Soviet leaders showed increased willingness to provide certain Palestinian organizations with arms with which to conduct terrorist activities against Israeli, pro-Israeli, Jewish and Western targets. The article explores the complex relations between Palestinian organizations and the USSR in the field of international terror. The study also exposes and analyzes the nature and content of Soviet–Palestinian arms dialogues and transactions. It provides clear evidence that Soviet policymakers and other luminaries were fully informed of, and sometimes directly involved in, these transactions and dialogues at the highest levels.     

A1 Qaeda and the radical Islamic challenge to western strategy

The September 11 global crisis prompted by the attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon raises major questions concerning the nature and trajectory of terrorism in the post-Cold War global order. Hitherto, terrorism has been largely debated by analysts at the level of nation states. Terrorist and insurgent movements have also been largely anchored in nationalist and ethnic power bases even when they have sought to mobilise a transnational ideological appeal on religious or class grounds. There have been a few exceptions to this pattern such as the alliance between the German Baader-Meinhof group and the Japanese Red Army Faction, but even such international alliances as this did not, until at least the 1980s, presage anything like a global terrorist network necessitating a global strategic response. This study examines terrorism and global strategic responses.     

Helping hands: external support for the KNU insurgency in Burma

This article analyses to what extent the Burmese KNU insurgency made use of external support from states, refugees, and diasporas. Based on extensive fieldwork it is concluded that support from neighbouring states and refugees has for years kept the Karen rebellion alive. Western countries perceived forms of resistance to the illegitimate Burmese regime as just and have therefore played a crucial role in the continuation of conflict in Karen State. It is important that policymakers and donors as well as executing organizations continue to reflect critically on the way they exercise their work.     

Reviews

Douglas S. Derrer, We Are All the Target: A Handbook of Terrorism Avoidance and Hostage Survival. Annapolis, MD: US Naval Institute Press, 1992. Pp. x+135, notes, index. $14.95. ISBN 01–55750–150–5

Ian Knight, Zulu: Isandlwana and Rorke's Drift, 22–23 January 1879. London: Windrow & Greene, 1992. Pp.136, 150 illus., incl 8 colour plates, maps, biblio. £35. ISBN 1–872004–23–7

Ian Knight, By the Orders of the Great White Queen: Campaigning in Zululand through the Eyes of the British Soldiers, 1879. London: Greenhill Books and Novato: Presidio Press, 1992. Pp. 272, 17 illus., 1 map. £18.95. ISBN 1–85367–122–3

Manfried Rauchensteiner and Erwin A. Schmidl (eds.), Formen des Krieges: vom Mittelalter zum ‘Low‐intensity’ Conflict’. Graz : Verlag Styria, 1991. Pp.208. DM35. ISBN 3–22–12139–7

Harold J. Kearsley, Maritime Power and the Twenty‐First Century. Dartmouth: Dartmouth Publishing Company, Limited, 1992. Pp.xv + 203, 13 diagrams, index. £32.50. ISBN 1–85521–288–9     

基于GTST-DMLD-ESD的装备RMS建模仿真

装备的RMS是装备的重要设计参数,是影响战备完好和保障能力的关键因素.引入GTST-DMLD作为主要建模工具,建立起装备系统的RMS描述模型,以ESD为补充和扩展,对维修过程进行建模.并以GTST-DMLD-ESD模型作为装备RMS仿真的核心,对装备RMS仿真模型的总体框架进行了研究,并对各模块进行了较为详细的探讨.     

Cyber sheiks and grassroots jihadis: the war in Syria and the devolution of the Bosnian Salafi communities

ABSTRACT

What was the scope of the Bosnian jihadi participation in the war in Syria? Did the Bosnian volunteers tend to join one particular faction? Why did the Bosnian youngsters decide to join the holy war in the Levant? Was this an organized and hierarchical process or was this a grassroots movement? Last, were all the Salafis in Bosnia supportive of this dynamic or did this process cause internal frictions? These are some of the questions that this research will try to answer.