集成神经网络的飞机作战效能评估

根据飞机作战效能的指标体系和集成神经网络的原理,提出了一种基于集成神经网络的飞机作战效能评估模型.模型由空对空作战效能评估神经网络、空对地作战效能评估神经网络和决策融合神经网络组成,当训练结束后,输入飞机的能力参数可得到飞机的单项和综合作战效能.最后用米格-29、F-15E和Su-20等三个机型作为评估的对象,结果表明该模型能有效减少评估中的人为因素及克服单神经网络结构的不足,使评估结果更为客观可信.     

利用指数法评估作战飞机的作战效能

通过对当代飞机作战过程和作战环境的分析 ,根据杜派指数法的思想和原则 ,提出了影响飞机作战效能的主要因素及其相互关系 ,建立了利用指数法评估作战飞机作战效能的模型 ,模型探讨了作战环境 ,主要是电磁环境和人为环境对作战飞机作战效能的影响 ,分析了模型的军事应用 ,算例中评估了 1 0种飞机的作战效能。     

基于SOM神经网络的坦克作战效能评估

坦克作战效能评估是一个多属性评估问题,通过建立自组织特征映射神经网络(SOM)的坦克作战效能评估模型,通过该模型的二维拓扑有序映射图,可以清晰地观察到不同型号坦克的作战效能特征;并通过MATLABR2010a训练、仿真,对我国某型坦克的作战效能进行相似性预测评估。     

侦察无人机作战效能评估准则研究*

在对有人驾驶飞机作战效能评估方法的分析研究基础上,提出了完整的侦察无人机作战效能评估指标体系。建立了作战效能的评估准则与数学模型,并对影响侦察效能的参数进行了分析。运用该方法对“全球鹰”和“捕食者”两种无人机的侦察效能指数进行了定量评估,结果验证了该评估准则的可用性。     

机载电子对抗系统效能评估分析

通过对机载电子对抗系统效能评估分析并进行系统优化设计,可以大大提高作战飞机的战斗力。文章在介绍系统效能概念的基础上,建立了机载飞机电子对抗系统效能指标树和效能模型,通过计算得出结论,作战飞机的电子对抗系统效能"一般"。     

基于雷达图的防暴武器系统作战效能评估方法

为科学、合理和直观地评估防暴武器系统的作战效能,提出基于雷达图的防暴武器系统作战效能评估方法。建立了防暴武器系统的作战效能指标体系。构造了防暴武器系统的雷达云图。提取雷达图中各指标的扇形面积特征解决传统雷达图法评价结果不唯一的问题,进一步设计防暴武器系统作战效能评价模型。通过实例验证所提评估方法的正确性和合理性。研究工作为防暴武器系统的作战运用及性能优化提供了科学指导。     

飞机空-空作战效能加权模糊综合评估

飞机空-空作战效能是飞机空中作战能力的综合反映,也是评估敌我双方空战实力的主要指标。针对飞机结构复杂和空战涉及因素较多等特点,建立了两级递阶结构模型,利用层次分析法计算了飞机空-空作战中各品质因素的权值,并给出了进行一致性检验的方法。根据飞机空战效能指标多样性的特点,针对飞机不同品质因素运用模糊数学理论建立了的模糊隶属度函数,并对几种飞机的空-空作战效能进行了评估,充分验证了评估方法的有效性。     

基于改进型支持向量机的侦察无人机作战效能评估

侦察无人机作战效能评估是无人机任务规划领域的一个重要课题。针对侦察无人机作战效能评估的问题,提出了基于粒子群算法优化支持向量机的侦察无人机作战效能评估模型。该评估模型在支持向量机的基础上,采用粒子群算法寻找最优惩罚参数和核函数参数,避免了人为设定惩罚参数和核函数参数的盲目性。仿真实验结果表明此模型可以准确有效地对侦察无人机进行作战效能评估。     

考虑气象因素的飞机空战能力评估模型

针对指数法评估飞机空战能力的不足,研究了气象环境对飞机作战效能的影响,分析了综合指数模型中飞机操纵性能、态势感知能力、火力性能受不良气象条件的影响,建立了不良气象环境下的飞机系统空战效能评估模型。最后以3种机型的空战能力评估为例进行计算,验证了所建模型是合理、可行的。     

防区外发射飞机武器系统突防效能分析

对防区外发射飞机武器系统在特定战场环境下的作战效能进行分析,得出系统层次结构模型,通过建立突防空中拦截模型、突防敌国土防空模型、突防舰空导弹和防区外发射导弹突防等模型来仿真整个突防过程.对某型防区外发射飞机武器系统作战效能进行评估,进行了仿真及结果分析,为方案选定提供了有效的依据.     

Terrorism,insurgency, kidnapping,and security in Africa's energy sector

Energy continues to serve as the bedrock of modern economies and the main driver of modern society. For Africa, the production and supply of energy resources such as crude oil, natural gas, uranium, coal, biomass, biofuels and other renewables are an important source of employment, rents, taxes, royalties and profits. This sector brings in several tens of billions of dollars of revenue annually. The production and delivery of such resources, however, depend on critical infrastructures such as pipelines, refineries, processing plants, terminals, rigs, electrical energy pylons, substations, pump stations, vessels, and tankers. These infrastructures have been attacked by terrorists, insurgents, vandals and saboteurs, all of whom see them as targets against which to register their grievances and extract concessions from the state. This paper is a chronological account of some of the documented incidents of terrorism, insurgency, kidnapping, destruction, sabotage, and human casualties suffered in the oil and gas sectors in Africa between 1999 and 2012. It is based on data extracted from the databases of the RAND Database of World Terrorism Incidents and the University of Maryland's Global Terrorism Database (GTD).     

Helping hands: civil–military cooperation and Italy's military operation abroad

In the Post-Bipolar Era the growing complexity of the military operations requires a new approach for the resolution of international crises. Since the end of the Cold War, peace support operations (PSO) have become the mainstay and principal occupation of most Western armies. At the same time, Italy has been one of the most important actors in such an area. The article focuses on the cooperation between military and civil components (a process called CIMIC) as a key variable in the Italian PSOs. We will analyse in detail the main lessons learned from past military interventions as well as the general context in which new tendencies are taking place. The maintaining of a minimum security frame becomes essential to fulfil activities ‘collateral’ to the mission: reconstructing services and infrastructure, food distribution, water and medication, law and order, de-mining, training of local forces, and supporting local institutions. These are the main tasks to obtain thrust and support from the population.     

Tacit support for terrorism: The rapprochement between the USSR and Palestinian guerrilla organizations following the 1967 war

This article demonstrates the inconsistent and wavering Soviet attitude towards national liberation movements in general and the Palestinian organizations in particular. Until the late 1960s, the Soviets viewed these organizations with suspicion, hesitating to engage in political dialogue with them. However, in the 1970s, political and military events in the region, as well as modifications in the Kremlin's Cold War strategies, led to a general shift towards the Middle East in Soviet foreign policy. Soviet leaders showed increased willingness to provide certain Palestinian organizations with arms with which to conduct terrorist activities against Israeli, pro-Israeli, Jewish and Western targets. The article explores the complex relations between Palestinian organizations and the USSR in the field of international terror. The study also exposes and analyzes the nature and content of Soviet–Palestinian arms dialogues and transactions. It provides clear evidence that Soviet policymakers and other luminaries were fully informed of, and sometimes directly involved in, these transactions and dialogues at the highest levels.     

A1 Qaeda and the radical Islamic challenge to western strategy

The September 11 global crisis prompted by the attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon raises major questions concerning the nature and trajectory of terrorism in the post-Cold War global order. Hitherto, terrorism has been largely debated by analysts at the level of nation states. Terrorist and insurgent movements have also been largely anchored in nationalist and ethnic power bases even when they have sought to mobilise a transnational ideological appeal on religious or class grounds. There have been a few exceptions to this pattern such as the alliance between the German Baader-Meinhof group and the Japanese Red Army Faction, but even such international alliances as this did not, until at least the 1980s, presage anything like a global terrorist network necessitating a global strategic response. This study examines terrorism and global strategic responses.     

Helping hands: external support for the KNU insurgency in Burma

This article analyses to what extent the Burmese KNU insurgency made use of external support from states, refugees, and diasporas. Based on extensive fieldwork it is concluded that support from neighbouring states and refugees has for years kept the Karen rebellion alive. Western countries perceived forms of resistance to the illegitimate Burmese regime as just and have therefore played a crucial role in the continuation of conflict in Karen State. It is important that policymakers and donors as well as executing organizations continue to reflect critically on the way they exercise their work.     

基于GTST-DMLD-ESD的装备RMS建模仿真

装备的RMS是装备的重要设计参数,是影响战备完好和保障能力的关键因素.引入GTST-DMLD作为主要建模工具,建立起装备系统的RMS描述模型,以ESD为补充和扩展,对维修过程进行建模.并以GTST-DMLD-ESD模型作为装备RMS仿真的核心,对装备RMS仿真模型的总体框架进行了研究,并对各模块进行了较为详细的探讨.     

Cyber sheiks and grassroots jihadis: the war in Syria and the devolution of the Bosnian Salafi communities

ABSTRACT

What was the scope of the Bosnian jihadi participation in the war in Syria? Did the Bosnian volunteers tend to join one particular faction? Why did the Bosnian youngsters decide to join the holy war in the Levant? Was this an organized and hierarchical process or was this a grassroots movement? Last, were all the Salafis in Bosnia supportive of this dynamic or did this process cause internal frictions? These are some of the questions that this research will try to answer.     

Country survey XVI the defence sector in the economy of a declining superpower: Soviet Union and Russia, 1965-2001

The Soviet Union was able to develop a large military-industrial complex and become the world's second superpower despite deficiencies in its centrally planned economy because defence was given high priority status and special planning, rationing and administrative mechanisms were used to attain national security objectives. However, in the period 1976-85 the effectiveness of priority protection diminished and defence institutions experienced more of the problems typical of the shortage economic system. The heavy defence burden also created growing difficulties for the civilian economy. The attempts by the Gorbachev government to reform the defence sector and improve defence-economic relationships during perestroika (1985-91) uniformly failed. For most of the transition period, the Russian military-industrial complex has been adversely affected by its low priority status, cuts in defence spending, instability of the hybrid politico-economic system, and negative growth of the economy. The armed forces and defence industry have been reduced in size and their outputs of military services and equipment have fallen to low levels. Nevertheless, the Russian armed forces still have over one million troops, significant stocks of sophisticated conventional weapons, and a large nuclear arsenal. The government of President Putin has raised the priority of the defence sector, increased real defence spending, and adopted ambitious plans to revive Russian military power. It is likely, though, that tight resource constraints will hamper efforts to reform the armed forces and to upgrade weapons. By 2010 Russia will be an important, but not dominant, military power in Eurasia.     

Traffickers,terrorists, and a ‘new security challenge’: Russian counternarcotics strategy and the Federal Service for the Control of the Drugs Trade

The collapse of the Soviet Union precipitated the massive expansion of drug use and trade in Russia. The country now has one of the largest populations of injecting drug users in the world and has become the largest single-country market for Afghan heroin. In 2003 the Federal Service for the Control of the Drugs Trade was created to coordinate a comprehensive counternarcotics strategy appropriate to the scale of this threat. The service continues to face a number of challenges in its early stages of development. However, it has made considerable advances in improving responses to large-scale organised crime and in building international cooperation.