导航卫星广播星历参数拟合算法研究

基于GPS广播星历参数,研究了导航卫星广播星历参数的非线性最小二乘拟合算法,并推导了相应的计算公式.针对静止轨道卫星轨道倾角近似为0,致使卫星轨道的升交点定义模糊,在数据拟合过程中会导致法矩阵(HTH)奇异的问题,提出对卫星轨道进行轨道倾角变换拟合广播星历参数的方法,并获得较高的拟合精度.最后利用实际算例验证了所推公式和算法的合理性.     

北斗GEO卫星用户算法的改进方法

针对北斗GEO用户算法需要进行5°倾角的坐标旋转处理这一过程,提出了采用经典广播星历参数用户算法直接解算北斗GEO卫星位置的改进方法,并同时给出了相应的基于第二类无奇点根数的广播星历拟合算法。该算法采用第二类无奇点轨道根数代替经典轨道根数,解决了由GEO轨道的小倾角特性引起的经典广播星历参数拟合过程中法化矩阵奇异的问题。从而避免了北斗GEO用户算法中坐标旋转处理过程,减少了GEO用户算法的计算步骤。仿真表明,提出的改进方法在卫星轨道拟合过程中与原算法精度相当;在卫星轨道外推过程中与原算法相比略有精度损失,但仍满足用户导航定位精度的需求。采用实际北斗GEO星历解算的轨道数据验证了改进算法的有效性。     

北斗GEO卫星用户算法的改进方法研究*

针对北斗GEO用户算法需要进行5?倾角的坐标旋转处理这一过程,本文提出了采用经典广播星历参数用户算法直接解算北斗GEO卫星位置的改进方法,并同时给出了相应的基于第二类无奇点根数的广播星历拟合算法。该算法采用第二类无奇点轨道根数代替经典轨道根数,解决了由GEO轨道的小倾角特性引起的经典广播星历参数拟合过程中法化矩阵奇异的问题。从而避免了北斗GEO用户算法中坐标旋转处理过程,减少了GEO用户算法的计算步骤。经过仿真验证,本文提出的改进方法在卫星轨道拟合过程中与原算法精度相当;在卫星轨道外推过程中与原算法相比略有精度损失,但仍满足用户导航定位精度的需求。最后,采用实际北斗GEO星历解算的轨道数据验证了改进算法的有效性。     

基于Powell法的GNSS卫星轨道拟合算法

针对GNSS导航信号模拟源中卫星轨道计算的高精度实时性要求,提出了一种基于Powell最优化理论的卫星轨道拟合算法。该算法将有限点卫星位置拟合问题转化为无约束极小值问题,使用最优化理论求解卫星轨道模型参数,从而可以方便计算任意时刻的卫星速度、加速度等高阶量。算例结果表明计算卫星星历时,位置误差小于1×10-4m,速度误差小于1×10-6m/s,计算量为广播星历直接计算的1/3;计算精密星历时,位置精度在2cm左右,拟合精度较拉格朗日插值算法提高了大约1倍。通过实际应用,充分验证了算法的有效性。     

GEO导航星广播星历拟合改进算法设计

设计了倾角较小的GEO导航星的广播星历拟合算法。该方法的核心思想是在常规拟合算法的基础上对位置观测量进行合理的坐标系参考平面旋转,特别是提出针对拟合迭代初值进行相应的坐标变换,从而既可以解决轨道参数拟合的相关性问题,使轨道参数拟合快速收敛,同时又兼顾了用户接收机的计算简便化。通过仿真验证,该方法简洁有效,拟合中误差RMS在厘米量级,能够保证拟合精度。     

一种GNSS卫星轨道高精度实时插值方法

针对GNSS导航信号模拟源中多星座轨道计算实时性问题,从计算效率、精度等角度分析和对比了牛顿多项式和埃尔米特多项式插值算法的性能,通过对牛顿插值的加“窗”改进,使得卫星位置、速度的插值精度显著提高.算例结果表明,该方法能够在等间距时间点上多个卫星位置已知、速度未知的条件下,高精度实时地内插出卫星的位置和速度,其中卫星位置插值精度为mm级,速度插值精度小于1e-5 m/s,计算量为广播星历直接计算的1/7,位置和速度的拟合精度均优于三阶埃尔米特插值结果.     

基于X射线脉冲星的Halo轨道卫星自主导航和控轨

讨论x射线脉冲星自主导航（X—raypulsar-basedautonomousnavigation,XNAV）技术应用于halo轨道卫星的可行性。给出halo轨道卫星的6维状态方程和基于x射线脉冲星导航的6维观测方程,对用x射线脉冲星导航和小推力方法控轨后的日地系第一平动点halo轨道卫星进行了数值模拟。结果表明：在现有的测量精度下,可以将卫星保持在标准轨道附近。最后对实验参数数值的选择给出了相应的分析讨论。     

BDS在低轨卫星编队高精度相对轨道确定上的应用分析

分析基于北斗卫星导航系统(BeiDou satellite navigation System, BDS)的低轨卫星编队相对轨道确定问题,但由于缺乏实测数据,通过仿真实验展开研究。结果表明,500 km空域平均可视BDS卫星数约为9.7,由于地球静止轨道(GeoStationary earth Orbit,GEO)卫星和倾斜地球同步轨道(Inclined GeoSynchronous earth Orbit,IGSO)卫星的存在,亚太地区的可视BDS卫星数明显偏多。仅考虑观测噪声的影响时,基于BDS的相对定轨精度可达0.74 mm,加入星历误差的影响,对近距离编队系统的相对定轨而言,GEO卫星数米的星历误差可以忽略,但当星间距离增大到约200 km时,GEO卫星单差后的星历误差可达厘米量级,GEO+IGSO+中圆地球轨道(Medium Earth Orbit,MEO)卫星和IGSO+MEO卫星求解的相对轨道精度分别为1.09 mm和0.96 mm,GEO卫星的加入使得精度下降了13.54%。在其余误差得到有效处理后,BDS的相对定轨精度可达亚毫米量级,且无明显区域差异,GEO卫星和IGSO卫星能提高近距离编队系统的全球相对定轨精度,未来BDS将广泛应用于低轨卫星编队相对轨道确定。     

2013—2015年BDS空间信号测距误差的精度评估

基于武汉大学发布的精密星历，计算2013年1月至2015年9月北斗广播星历的轨道、钟差和空间信号测距误差，并对其进行统计分析评估。结果表明：北斗卫星的径向精度总体上优于0.7 m、法向精度总体上优于1.4 m，且无明显的长期变化趋势；在切向精度上，倾斜地球同步轨道和中轨道优于2.1 m，高轨道的切向精度已从14 m左右提升至8 m左右；北斗高轨道、倾斜地球同步轨道、中轨道的钟差精度分别为6.3 ns, 4.7 ns, 4.3 ns；所有卫星的钟差精度总体上优于6 ns；所有卫星的空间信号误差精度总体上优于2 m，从长期来看，中轨道卫星的空间信号误差精度较为稳定；倾斜地球同步轨道和高轨道卫星的空间信号误差精度存在一定的波动。     

全球卫星导航系统自主导航完好性隔离算法

全球卫星导航系统在自主导航工作模式下,为了保持星座系统的稳定,保证系统的完好性,需要对故障卫星进行及时可靠的隔离。因此提出一种基于星间链路的全球卫星导航系统(GNSS)自主完好性隔离算法,分析全球卫星导航系统故障判别方式,设计了基于星间链路的故障隔离流程,提出了基于星间测距误差和判别的故障检测及隔离算法。仿真结果表明,基于星间链路的GNSS自主完好性隔离算法,可以有效隔离故障卫星,保持星座自主导航精度,并且算法实现复杂度较小,易于工程实现。     

Terrorism,insurgency, kidnapping,and security in Africa's energy sector

Energy continues to serve as the bedrock of modern economies and the main driver of modern society. For Africa, the production and supply of energy resources such as crude oil, natural gas, uranium, coal, biomass, biofuels and other renewables are an important source of employment, rents, taxes, royalties and profits. This sector brings in several tens of billions of dollars of revenue annually. The production and delivery of such resources, however, depend on critical infrastructures such as pipelines, refineries, processing plants, terminals, rigs, electrical energy pylons, substations, pump stations, vessels, and tankers. These infrastructures have been attacked by terrorists, insurgents, vandals and saboteurs, all of whom see them as targets against which to register their grievances and extract concessions from the state. This paper is a chronological account of some of the documented incidents of terrorism, insurgency, kidnapping, destruction, sabotage, and human casualties suffered in the oil and gas sectors in Africa between 1999 and 2012. It is based on data extracted from the databases of the RAND Database of World Terrorism Incidents and the University of Maryland's Global Terrorism Database (GTD).     

Helping hands: civil–military cooperation and Italy's military operation abroad

In the Post-Bipolar Era the growing complexity of the military operations requires a new approach for the resolution of international crises. Since the end of the Cold War, peace support operations (PSO) have become the mainstay and principal occupation of most Western armies. At the same time, Italy has been one of the most important actors in such an area. The article focuses on the cooperation between military and civil components (a process called CIMIC) as a key variable in the Italian PSOs. We will analyse in detail the main lessons learned from past military interventions as well as the general context in which new tendencies are taking place. The maintaining of a minimum security frame becomes essential to fulfil activities ‘collateral’ to the mission: reconstructing services and infrastructure, food distribution, water and medication, law and order, de-mining, training of local forces, and supporting local institutions. These are the main tasks to obtain thrust and support from the population.     

Tacit support for terrorism: The rapprochement between the USSR and Palestinian guerrilla organizations following the 1967 war

This article demonstrates the inconsistent and wavering Soviet attitude towards national liberation movements in general and the Palestinian organizations in particular. Until the late 1960s, the Soviets viewed these organizations with suspicion, hesitating to engage in political dialogue with them. However, in the 1970s, political and military events in the region, as well as modifications in the Kremlin's Cold War strategies, led to a general shift towards the Middle East in Soviet foreign policy. Soviet leaders showed increased willingness to provide certain Palestinian organizations with arms with which to conduct terrorist activities against Israeli, pro-Israeli, Jewish and Western targets. The article explores the complex relations between Palestinian organizations and the USSR in the field of international terror. The study also exposes and analyzes the nature and content of Soviet–Palestinian arms dialogues and transactions. It provides clear evidence that Soviet policymakers and other luminaries were fully informed of, and sometimes directly involved in, these transactions and dialogues at the highest levels.     

A1 Qaeda and the radical Islamic challenge to western strategy

The September 11 global crisis prompted by the attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon raises major questions concerning the nature and trajectory of terrorism in the post-Cold War global order. Hitherto, terrorism has been largely debated by analysts at the level of nation states. Terrorist and insurgent movements have also been largely anchored in nationalist and ethnic power bases even when they have sought to mobilise a transnational ideological appeal on religious or class grounds. There have been a few exceptions to this pattern such as the alliance between the German Baader-Meinhof group and the Japanese Red Army Faction, but even such international alliances as this did not, until at least the 1980s, presage anything like a global terrorist network necessitating a global strategic response. This study examines terrorism and global strategic responses.     

Helping hands: external support for the KNU insurgency in Burma

This article analyses to what extent the Burmese KNU insurgency made use of external support from states, refugees, and diasporas. Based on extensive fieldwork it is concluded that support from neighbouring states and refugees has for years kept the Karen rebellion alive. Western countries perceived forms of resistance to the illegitimate Burmese regime as just and have therefore played a crucial role in the continuation of conflict in Karen State. It is important that policymakers and donors as well as executing organizations continue to reflect critically on the way they exercise their work.     

基于GTST-DMLD-ESD的装备RMS建模仿真

装备的RMS是装备的重要设计参数,是影响战备完好和保障能力的关键因素.引入GTST-DMLD作为主要建模工具,建立起装备系统的RMS描述模型,以ESD为补充和扩展,对维修过程进行建模.并以GTST-DMLD-ESD模型作为装备RMS仿真的核心,对装备RMS仿真模型的总体框架进行了研究,并对各模块进行了较为详细的探讨.     

Cyber sheiks and grassroots jihadis: the war in Syria and the devolution of the Bosnian Salafi communities

ABSTRACT

What was the scope of the Bosnian jihadi participation in the war in Syria? Did the Bosnian volunteers tend to join one particular faction? Why did the Bosnian youngsters decide to join the holy war in the Levant? Was this an organized and hierarchical process or was this a grassroots movement? Last, were all the Salafis in Bosnia supportive of this dynamic or did this process cause internal frictions? These are some of the questions that this research will try to answer.     

Country survey XVI the defence sector in the economy of a declining superpower: Soviet Union and Russia, 1965-2001

The Soviet Union was able to develop a large military-industrial complex and become the world's second superpower despite deficiencies in its centrally planned economy because defence was given high priority status and special planning, rationing and administrative mechanisms were used to attain national security objectives. However, in the period 1976-85 the effectiveness of priority protection diminished and defence institutions experienced more of the problems typical of the shortage economic system. The heavy defence burden also created growing difficulties for the civilian economy. The attempts by the Gorbachev government to reform the defence sector and improve defence-economic relationships during perestroika (1985-91) uniformly failed. For most of the transition period, the Russian military-industrial complex has been adversely affected by its low priority status, cuts in defence spending, instability of the hybrid politico-economic system, and negative growth of the economy. The armed forces and defence industry have been reduced in size and their outputs of military services and equipment have fallen to low levels. Nevertheless, the Russian armed forces still have over one million troops, significant stocks of sophisticated conventional weapons, and a large nuclear arsenal. The government of President Putin has raised the priority of the defence sector, increased real defence spending, and adopted ambitious plans to revive Russian military power. It is likely, though, that tight resource constraints will hamper efforts to reform the armed forces and to upgrade weapons. By 2010 Russia will be an important, but not dominant, military power in Eurasia.     

Traffickers,terrorists, and a ‘new security challenge’: Russian counternarcotics strategy and the Federal Service for the Control of the Drugs Trade

The collapse of the Soviet Union precipitated the massive expansion of drug use and trade in Russia. The country now has one of the largest populations of injecting drug users in the world and has become the largest single-country market for Afghan heroin. In 2003 the Federal Service for the Control of the Drugs Trade was created to coordinate a comprehensive counternarcotics strategy appropriate to the scale of this threat. The service continues to face a number of challenges in its early stages of development. However, it has made considerable advances in improving responses to large-scale organised crime and in building international cooperation.