基于Lyapunov指数谱的非线性隔振系统混沌运动参数区域预测

Lyapunov指数是定量描述系统运动状态的重要参数之一.讨论了Lyapunov指数谱的数值计算方法以及它和总时间的关系,利用混沌状态下系统的最大Lyapunov指数大于零的性质预测了非线性隔振系统处于混沌运动状态时两个可变参数的参数区域.     

一种新的双翼和四翼蝴蝶吸引子共存的超混沌系统

针对现有的四翼超混沌系统在系统参数固定时,不能同时产生双翼和四翼蝴蝶混沌吸引子的问题,提出了一种双翼与四翼蝴蝶混沌吸引子共存的超混沌系统。对系统的平衡点、Lyapunov指数谱和分岔图进行了研究,呈现了系统的超混沌特性。最后,利用主动控制同步法,设计了合适的非线性反馈控制器,实现双翼与四翼吸引子共存的超混沌系统的广义投影同步。     

混沌Lurie系统同步在保密通信中的应用

鉴于Lurie系统在工程中的普遍性,研究了混沌Lurie系统同步在保密通信中的应用.以Lyapunov稳定性理论为基础,通过求解一个Riccati方程,给出同步控制律,并将其应用于通过混沌掩盖实现保密通信的驱动一响应系统.仿真表明,即使传输幅度较大的信息信号,混沌Lurie系统也能对其实现较好的掩盖,驱动一响应系统能够迅速同步,并且同步过程没有超调或振荡.     

一类新型混沌动力学系统的自适应控制及同步研究

讨论了一类新型混沌动力学系统的自适应控制及同步问题。利用Lyapunov稳定性理论,得出了该类混沌系统的自适应控制方法;将该类系统作为驱动系统和响应系统,实现了在不同初值且参数未知情况下的自适应同步;进行了数值模拟,验证了相关结论。     

基于反步法的ADVP混沌系统同步在混沌遮掩中的应用

反步设计法是通过将一个系统分解为多个低阶子系统,一步步构建Lyapunov函数导出稳定的控制律,获得需要的控制器,实现同步的目的.基于Lyapunov稳定性理论,结合反步法思想为混沌ADVP系统设计了同步控制器.注意到系统参数间量级相差很大,在选择增益矩阵时,通过调节柯西不等式放大参数,使控制中系数的量级差别适当减小....     

含非线性介质Fabry-Perot腔混沌研究

根据混沌动力学的基本理论 ,计算了含非线性介质Fabry Perot腔动力学方程在其参数下的Lya punov指数分布图。利用Lyapunov指数和动力学特性的对应关系 ,分析出非线性Fabry Perot腔在各种参数下的动力学特性、稳态参数区域面积和混沌转换机制     

一类不确定时滞混沌系统的全局鲁棒自适应神经网络同步控制器设计

研究一类不确定时滞混沌系统的全局鲁棒自适应神经网络同步控制器设计,其系统中的不确定时滞项不是简单的线性有界条件,而是允许其存在高阶项,因此具有全局特性．在控制器的设计上;首先通过选取合适的径向基函数（RBF）神经网络的权向量去逼近时滞系统中的未知连续有界部分;然后在RBF神经网络输出的基础上,选用一个鲁棒自适应控制器来趋近时滞系统的不确定部分;同时,利用Lyapunov稳定性理论对混沌同步的条件给出了论证;最后,数据仿真的结果表明该方法的有效性．     

滤波对混沌信号分形维的影响

分形维数作为混沌系统的特征量,是分析混沌动力系统的重要工具,也是检测和识别混沌信号的依据.由于实际得到的混沌信号都存在着不同程度的滤波,忽略滤波影响会影响到分形维数的准确性.因此,通过理论推导,借助Lyapunov指数谱和Kaplan-Yorke维数,全面分析了从FIR滤波到一般的线性时不变滤波器对混沌信号分形维数产生...     

航空发动机混沌支持向量预测模型应用

提出了一种基于混沌理论的通用支持向量预测方法.该方法通过重构相空间的饱和嵌入维数确定支持向量机的最佳输入变量的选取;通过计算混沌序列的最大Lyapunov指数确定支持向量机预测模型的最大有效预测步数;利用支持向量机强大非线性映射能力、网络结构的自动最优化特性,实现时间序列的非线性预测.最后,应用于压气机的试车数据序列建...     

一种新的多翼蝴蝶超混沌吸引子及其电路设计

在Lorenz系统的基础上,通过增加一个状态方程,并设计一种新的分段线性函数,构造了一个新的四维超混沌系统。通过数值仿真,对系统的相图、Lyapunov指数谱和分岔图进行了研究。结果表明新的四维超混沌系统能产生六翼蝴蝶超混沌吸引子。最后,设计了相应的电路,电路仿真结果与数值仿真结果相一致,验证了该系统的可实现性。     

Helping hands: civil–military cooperation and Italy's military operation abroad

In the Post-Bipolar Era the growing complexity of the military operations requires a new approach for the resolution of international crises. Since the end of the Cold War, peace support operations (PSO) have become the mainstay and principal occupation of most Western armies. At the same time, Italy has been one of the most important actors in such an area. The article focuses on the cooperation between military and civil components (a process called CIMIC) as a key variable in the Italian PSOs. We will analyse in detail the main lessons learned from past military interventions as well as the general context in which new tendencies are taking place. The maintaining of a minimum security frame becomes essential to fulfil activities ‘collateral’ to the mission: reconstructing services and infrastructure, food distribution, water and medication, law and order, de-mining, training of local forces, and supporting local institutions. These are the main tasks to obtain thrust and support from the population.     

Terrorism,insurgency, kidnapping,and security in Africa's energy sector

Energy continues to serve as the bedrock of modern economies and the main driver of modern society. For Africa, the production and supply of energy resources such as crude oil, natural gas, uranium, coal, biomass, biofuels and other renewables are an important source of employment, rents, taxes, royalties and profits. This sector brings in several tens of billions of dollars of revenue annually. The production and delivery of such resources, however, depend on critical infrastructures such as pipelines, refineries, processing plants, terminals, rigs, electrical energy pylons, substations, pump stations, vessels, and tankers. These infrastructures have been attacked by terrorists, insurgents, vandals and saboteurs, all of whom see them as targets against which to register their grievances and extract concessions from the state. This paper is a chronological account of some of the documented incidents of terrorism, insurgency, kidnapping, destruction, sabotage, and human casualties suffered in the oil and gas sectors in Africa between 1999 and 2012. It is based on data extracted from the databases of the RAND Database of World Terrorism Incidents and the University of Maryland's Global Terrorism Database (GTD).     

A1 Qaeda and the radical Islamic challenge to western strategy

The September 11 global crisis prompted by the attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon raises major questions concerning the nature and trajectory of terrorism in the post-Cold War global order. Hitherto, terrorism has been largely debated by analysts at the level of nation states. Terrorist and insurgent movements have also been largely anchored in nationalist and ethnic power bases even when they have sought to mobilise a transnational ideological appeal on religious or class grounds. There have been a few exceptions to this pattern such as the alliance between the German Baader-Meinhof group and the Japanese Red Army Faction, but even such international alliances as this did not, until at least the 1980s, presage anything like a global terrorist network necessitating a global strategic response. This study examines terrorism and global strategic responses.     

Tacit support for terrorism: The rapprochement between the USSR and Palestinian guerrilla organizations following the 1967 war

This article demonstrates the inconsistent and wavering Soviet attitude towards national liberation movements in general and the Palestinian organizations in particular. Until the late 1960s, the Soviets viewed these organizations with suspicion, hesitating to engage in political dialogue with them. However, in the 1970s, political and military events in the region, as well as modifications in the Kremlin's Cold War strategies, led to a general shift towards the Middle East in Soviet foreign policy. Soviet leaders showed increased willingness to provide certain Palestinian organizations with arms with which to conduct terrorist activities against Israeli, pro-Israeli, Jewish and Western targets. The article explores the complex relations between Palestinian organizations and the USSR in the field of international terror. The study also exposes and analyzes the nature and content of Soviet–Palestinian arms dialogues and transactions. It provides clear evidence that Soviet policymakers and other luminaries were fully informed of, and sometimes directly involved in, these transactions and dialogues at the highest levels.     

Helping hands: external support for the KNU insurgency in Burma

This article analyses to what extent the Burmese KNU insurgency made use of external support from states, refugees, and diasporas. Based on extensive fieldwork it is concluded that support from neighbouring states and refugees has for years kept the Karen rebellion alive. Western countries perceived forms of resistance to the illegitimate Burmese regime as just and have therefore played a crucial role in the continuation of conflict in Karen State. It is important that policymakers and donors as well as executing organizations continue to reflect critically on the way they exercise their work.     

基于GTST-DMLD-ESD的装备RMS建模仿真

装备的RMS是装备的重要设计参数,是影响战备完好和保障能力的关键因素.引入GTST-DMLD作为主要建模工具,建立起装备系统的RMS描述模型,以ESD为补充和扩展,对维修过程进行建模.并以GTST-DMLD-ESD模型作为装备RMS仿真的核心,对装备RMS仿真模型的总体框架进行了研究,并对各模块进行了较为详细的探讨.     

Cyber sheiks and grassroots jihadis: the war in Syria and the devolution of the Bosnian Salafi communities

ABSTRACT

What was the scope of the Bosnian jihadi participation in the war in Syria? Did the Bosnian volunteers tend to join one particular faction? Why did the Bosnian youngsters decide to join the holy war in the Levant? Was this an organized and hierarchical process or was this a grassroots movement? Last, were all the Salafis in Bosnia supportive of this dynamic or did this process cause internal frictions? These are some of the questions that this research will try to answer.     

Country survey XVI the defence sector in the economy of a declining superpower: Soviet Union and Russia, 1965-2001

The Soviet Union was able to develop a large military-industrial complex and become the world's second superpower despite deficiencies in its centrally planned economy because defence was given high priority status and special planning, rationing and administrative mechanisms were used to attain national security objectives. However, in the period 1976-85 the effectiveness of priority protection diminished and defence institutions experienced more of the problems typical of the shortage economic system. The heavy defence burden also created growing difficulties for the civilian economy. The attempts by the Gorbachev government to reform the defence sector and improve defence-economic relationships during perestroika (1985-91) uniformly failed. For most of the transition period, the Russian military-industrial complex has been adversely affected by its low priority status, cuts in defence spending, instability of the hybrid politico-economic system, and negative growth of the economy. The armed forces and defence industry have been reduced in size and their outputs of military services and equipment have fallen to low levels. Nevertheless, the Russian armed forces still have over one million troops, significant stocks of sophisticated conventional weapons, and a large nuclear arsenal. The government of President Putin has raised the priority of the defence sector, increased real defence spending, and adopted ambitious plans to revive Russian military power. It is likely, though, that tight resource constraints will hamper efforts to reform the armed forces and to upgrade weapons. By 2010 Russia will be an important, but not dominant, military power in Eurasia.     

Traffickers,terrorists, and a ‘new security challenge’: Russian counternarcotics strategy and the Federal Service for the Control of the Drugs Trade

The collapse of the Soviet Union precipitated the massive expansion of drug use and trade in Russia. The country now has one of the largest populations of injecting drug users in the world and has become the largest single-country market for Afghan heroin. In 2003 the Federal Service for the Control of the Drugs Trade was created to coordinate a comprehensive counternarcotics strategy appropriate to the scale of this threat. The service continues to face a number of challenges in its early stages of development. However, it has made considerable advances in improving responses to large-scale organised crime and in building international cooperation.