杀爆弹对主战坦克毁伤评估仿真

在全面分析杀爆弹对主战坦克毁伤效应的基础上，针对冲击波和破片对坦克外部件的毁伤，利用计算机仿真方法进行杀爆弹对主战坦克毁伤评估。利用射击线技术构建了杀爆弹对主战坦克毁伤评估模型；基于蒙特卡洛随机模拟试验法，开发了计算程序，进行了以破片杀伤为主的杀爆弹对主战坦克毁伤效应仿真评估，得到了车体命中破片数随炸点坐标变化规律，以及坦克整体毁伤概率随杀爆弹终点速度变化规律。研究结果为主战坦克目标易损性分析与毁伤评估提供了重要参考。     

系统目标毁伤效果指标建模方法探讨

探讨常规导弹打击目标类群中系统目标的毁伤效果指标的建模方法。在对毁伤效果指标、毁伤意图、目标易损性等概念进行深入分析基础上,提出基于目标功能易损性的系统目标毁伤效果指标建模的思想。根据系统目标功能受损情况,归纳出三类毁伤效果指标常用的建模方法:效能模型、失效模型及基于毁伤的保障度模型。举例说明了方法的有效性,可为导弹武器攻击效能评估、耗弹量计算和瞄准点选择等提供定量决策依据。     

飞机类目标毁伤效果评估方法研究

在飞机结构特性、战斗部破片毁伤场等毁伤效能评估基本要素分析基础上,建立了一种破片式战斗部作用下的飞机类目标毁伤效果评估模型。通过对飞机目标结构分析,得到适用于毁伤概率计算的目标几何特征、毁伤模式等易损性信息,结合破片动态飞散特性,给出了破片命中舱段的计算方法,最终通过计算破片对飞机目标的毁伤概率定量描述飞机的易损性。基于此数学模型开发了毁伤评估仿真系统,并通过某型飞机实例验证其可行性。     

MEFP智能雷攻击坦克毁伤效能分析

以智能雷为研究对象,在建立智能雷扫描运动模型和命中毁伤模型的基础上,分析了MEFP智能雷攻击坦克的毁伤效能.通过建立攻击过程的蒙特卡洛模型,编制了智能雷攻击坦克目标的计算机仿真软件,计算了MEFP智能雷发射不同数目的EFP对坦克目标的毁伤概率.结果表明:MEFP智能雷攻击坦克目标的毁伤效能较高,可应用于对付大规模坦克装甲车辆的进攻和武装直升飞机的攻击.     

对新型主战坦克火力系统的使用和发展要求

分析了我军现装备的主战坦克,并与国外主战坦克进行了比较,对我国新型主战坦克火力系统的使用提出了武器操作简便、工作环境舒适、炮弹燃料隔仓、高射机枪潜瞄、发射弹数记录自动、目标跟踪自动、弹着偏差测量自动、武器维修方便等要求,并从有效射程、炮弹威力、射击反应时间和全天候作战能力等方面对新型主战坦克火力系统的发展提出了需求。     

用破片覆盖度进行毁伤概率评估

在对国内相关专业研究和了解的基础上,结合多年的工作经验,针对地空导弹武器系统典型目标易损性无法确定的情况,将目标整体作为杀伤对象对待,建立了目标被战斗部破片覆盖的程度、目标命中战斗部破片数、目标易损性折算因子及战斗部条件毁伤概率等模型,与传统方法进行对比仿真计算表明,用文中所给方法可以进行目标易损性分析、计算毁伤概率和确定杀伤区,亦可作为引战配合设计的参考依据.     

地基C~4I系统的高空核爆电磁脉冲易损性分析

建立了C4I系统的毁伤等级,完成了毁伤机理与毁伤模式分析,运用毁伤树分析方法构建毁伤树模型,确定了C4I系统的致命性部件,对进一步开展新型号导弹武器系统系统易损性评估研究具有一定的参考应用价值。     

指挥坦克指控系统仿真

根据主战坦克指控系统的使用情况,建立了一个指挥坦克仿真指控系统模型.对运行环境生成、指控网络接口、指挥决心推理、指挥语言编译等方面进行了建模、算法的研究,"高聚合,低耦合"地集成了多个功能子模块,为新型主战坦克的作战仿真研究提供了参考.     

破片式战斗部对空中飞机的毁伤建模与仿真

研究了破片式战斗部对空中飞机的易损性分析方法、目标毁伤树的基本结构和关键部件的毁伤准则。通过对空中飞机关键部件的简化和对破片与关键部件的交汇分析,建立了破片式毁伤元作用下空中飞机易损性分析计算模型,并运用MATLAB计算仿真软件研究了破片式战斗部作用下空中飞机在不同炸点和不同交汇条件下的毁伤效能分析。     

区域封锁弹药对机场运动目标的毁伤效能分析

基于区域封锁弹药战斗部破片场模型、机场运动目标易损性模型、区域封锁弹药作用方式、弹目交汇模型、坐标系转换关系,建立了单个区域封锁预制破片弹对机场运动目标的毁伤效能分析模型。以F-16飞机和装甲车辆为例进行了某区域封锁弹药毁伤效能的分析,可为区域封锁弹药的设计及毁伤效能分析提供参考。     

Terrorism,insurgency, kidnapping,and security in Africa's energy sector

Energy continues to serve as the bedrock of modern economies and the main driver of modern society. For Africa, the production and supply of energy resources such as crude oil, natural gas, uranium, coal, biomass, biofuels and other renewables are an important source of employment, rents, taxes, royalties and profits. This sector brings in several tens of billions of dollars of revenue annually. The production and delivery of such resources, however, depend on critical infrastructures such as pipelines, refineries, processing plants, terminals, rigs, electrical energy pylons, substations, pump stations, vessels, and tankers. These infrastructures have been attacked by terrorists, insurgents, vandals and saboteurs, all of whom see them as targets against which to register their grievances and extract concessions from the state. This paper is a chronological account of some of the documented incidents of terrorism, insurgency, kidnapping, destruction, sabotage, and human casualties suffered in the oil and gas sectors in Africa between 1999 and 2012. It is based on data extracted from the databases of the RAND Database of World Terrorism Incidents and the University of Maryland's Global Terrorism Database (GTD).     

Helping hands: civil–military cooperation and Italy's military operation abroad

In the Post-Bipolar Era the growing complexity of the military operations requires a new approach for the resolution of international crises. Since the end of the Cold War, peace support operations (PSO) have become the mainstay and principal occupation of most Western armies. At the same time, Italy has been one of the most important actors in such an area. The article focuses on the cooperation between military and civil components (a process called CIMIC) as a key variable in the Italian PSOs. We will analyse in detail the main lessons learned from past military interventions as well as the general context in which new tendencies are taking place. The maintaining of a minimum security frame becomes essential to fulfil activities ‘collateral’ to the mission: reconstructing services and infrastructure, food distribution, water and medication, law and order, de-mining, training of local forces, and supporting local institutions. These are the main tasks to obtain thrust and support from the population.     

Tacit support for terrorism: The rapprochement between the USSR and Palestinian guerrilla organizations following the 1967 war

This article demonstrates the inconsistent and wavering Soviet attitude towards national liberation movements in general and the Palestinian organizations in particular. Until the late 1960s, the Soviets viewed these organizations with suspicion, hesitating to engage in political dialogue with them. However, in the 1970s, political and military events in the region, as well as modifications in the Kremlin's Cold War strategies, led to a general shift towards the Middle East in Soviet foreign policy. Soviet leaders showed increased willingness to provide certain Palestinian organizations with arms with which to conduct terrorist activities against Israeli, pro-Israeli, Jewish and Western targets. The article explores the complex relations between Palestinian organizations and the USSR in the field of international terror. The study also exposes and analyzes the nature and content of Soviet–Palestinian arms dialogues and transactions. It provides clear evidence that Soviet policymakers and other luminaries were fully informed of, and sometimes directly involved in, these transactions and dialogues at the highest levels.     

A1 Qaeda and the radical Islamic challenge to western strategy

The September 11 global crisis prompted by the attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon raises major questions concerning the nature and trajectory of terrorism in the post-Cold War global order. Hitherto, terrorism has been largely debated by analysts at the level of nation states. Terrorist and insurgent movements have also been largely anchored in nationalist and ethnic power bases even when they have sought to mobilise a transnational ideological appeal on religious or class grounds. There have been a few exceptions to this pattern such as the alliance between the German Baader-Meinhof group and the Japanese Red Army Faction, but even such international alliances as this did not, until at least the 1980s, presage anything like a global terrorist network necessitating a global strategic response. This study examines terrorism and global strategic responses.     

Helping hands: external support for the KNU insurgency in Burma

This article analyses to what extent the Burmese KNU insurgency made use of external support from states, refugees, and diasporas. Based on extensive fieldwork it is concluded that support from neighbouring states and refugees has for years kept the Karen rebellion alive. Western countries perceived forms of resistance to the illegitimate Burmese regime as just and have therefore played a crucial role in the continuation of conflict in Karen State. It is important that policymakers and donors as well as executing organizations continue to reflect critically on the way they exercise their work.     

基于GTST-DMLD-ESD的装备RMS建模仿真

装备的RMS是装备的重要设计参数,是影响战备完好和保障能力的关键因素.引入GTST-DMLD作为主要建模工具,建立起装备系统的RMS描述模型,以ESD为补充和扩展,对维修过程进行建模.并以GTST-DMLD-ESD模型作为装备RMS仿真的核心,对装备RMS仿真模型的总体框架进行了研究,并对各模块进行了较为详细的探讨.     

The UK,interrogation and Iraq, 2003–2008

The UK’s interrogation operations during the conflict in Iraq (2003–2008) are often portrayed by the media as involving significant amounts of mistreatment. This article demonstrates that these practices are not necessarily representative of the UK’s interrogation operations across this conflict. In doing so it contributes to the limited literature on the practice of interrogation and on the UK’s combat operations in Iraq. The UK’s interrogation capability, and therefore its intelligence-gathering capability, is shown to have rested primarily with the military’s Joint Forward Interrogation Team (JFIT). The JFIT suffered from limitations to the number, training and experience of its interrogators and interpreters. It is argued that maintaining a permanent, higher level of preparedness for interrogation by the British armed forces is desirable.     

Remembering and forgetting Mirambo: Histories of war in modern Africa

ABSTRACT

While the study of organised violence is considered essential to understanding the history of the West, and accordingly imbued with various layers of meaning and remembrance, war is widely regarded as inimical to the modern nation in Africa and stable development more broadly. Using examples drawn from primarily from East Africa, this paper considers the ways in which warfare in the deeper (‘precolonial’) past has been framed and envisioned in recent decades, in particular by governments whose own roots lie in revolutionary armed struggle and who began life as guerrilla movements. While in some cases particular elements of the deeper past were indeed mobilised in pursuit of contemporary political goals, in many other scenarios histories of precolonial violence were beheld as problematic and unworthy of remembrance. This paper highlights the paradox and ambiguity which has attended the memory of key aspects of Africa’s deeper past.     

Cyber sheiks and grassroots jihadis: the war in Syria and the devolution of the Bosnian Salafi communities

ABSTRACT

What was the scope of the Bosnian jihadi participation in the war in Syria? Did the Bosnian volunteers tend to join one particular faction? Why did the Bosnian youngsters decide to join the holy war in the Levant? Was this an organized and hierarchical process or was this a grassroots movement? Last, were all the Salafis in Bosnia supportive of this dynamic or did this process cause internal frictions? These are some of the questions that this research will try to answer.