通用装备保障训练需求分析框架研究

针对目前通用装备保障训练需求分析缺少系统规范方法的问题,建立了一套面向任务、基于能力的装备保障训练需求分析框架。通过结构化的分析过程,该方法能够辅助决策者合理地判断保障任务对保障者的能力要求,获得保障者的能力（或素质）＂状态缺口＂、形成初步的训练方案。并以复杂电磁环境下装备指挥活动为案例进行了分析,提出了装备指挥人员在复杂电磁环境下应具备的能力。     

基于UML的装甲装备主动式保障系统建模研究

摘要：为将主动式保障先进理念应用于装甲装备保障过程,采用UML系统建模理论和方法,在分析装甲装备保障主要业务内容的基础上,通过系统需求分析建模和系统分析与设计建模,构建装甲装备主动式保障系统用例模型、对象类静态模型、动态交互模型和状态模型,以及体系结构模型,明确装甲装备主动式保障系统的结构功能与运行流程,为系统仿真与评估、演示验证等后续研究奠定基础．     

基于人员素质差距的装备保障训练需求分析过程研究

针对目前新型装备缺乏系统规范的保障训练需求分析方法的问题,借鉴国内外训练和培训需求分析的理论和方法,基于人员素质差距,建立了我军装备保障训练需求分析过程模型,并结合案例对过程的实现步骤进行了说明,增强了训练需求的针对性和合理性。     

天基信息支援下装备保障系统需求模型

提出了用基于本体和UML的需求分析方法来建立天基信息支援下装备保障系统需求模型;建立了天基信息支援下装备保障系统需求本体元模型、语义模型并给出了建模算法;以天基信息支援下机步师装备保障系统为案例,依次建立其装备保障角色关系模型、装备保障活动模型和装备保障信息模型,然后用UML的表示方法对本体模型进行描述,详细阐明了基于本体与UML建立需求模型的方法和过程。     

基于作战体系结构的装备指挥信息系统作战需求分析

作战需求分析是装备指挥信息系统建设的关键环节,为系统建设提供可靠依据和理论支撑.运用指挥关系模型、装备保障活动模型、作战接点连接能力、信息交换矩阵等体系结构方法对装备指挥信息系统的信息交互进行分析,得出装备指挥信息交互对装备指挥信息系统的作战需求.体系结构化方法是获取作战需求的有效途径,运用作战体系结构研究装备指挥信息系统,为科学、合理地建设装备指挥信息系统提供了一种新的分析研究方法.     

一种基于QFD的结构化装备作战需求论证方法

通过对装备作战需求分析,提出一种系统化、结构化的装备作战需求论证方法,为作战需求分析提供方法支持。该方法不仅可规范需求分析过程,增强需求分析过程的合理性、全面性和可操作性,而且对提高需求分析的理论水平,提高武器装备的论证质量,具有一定的意义。     

基于解释结构模型法的通用装备保障转型要素结构分析

通过运用解释结构模型法对我军通用装备保障转型的相关要素进行结构分析,旨在辅助研究人员深刻理解和合理判断各种因素之间的相互影响关系,通过结构化分析过程得到能正确反应保障需求的层次,从而为通用装备保障转型进一步分析打下良好理论基础．     

不同战争形态下装备保障方式的历史演进及启示

文章从不同历史阶段装备保障方式所体现的主要特征入手,研究不同战争形态条件下装备保障方式的历史演进过程,详尽分析了装备保障方式的历史发展过程,在把握不同时期装备保障方式传承和变迁原因和规律的基础上,探讨了其对当前信息化战争条件下装备保障方式变革的启示,并按照新型装备保障方式总体需求分析框架模型,提出了明确的装备保障方式变革目标。     

车辆装备保障组织结构分析与组织建模方法

目前,车辆装备保障系统组织结构的模型化分析处于起步阶段,缺少有效的建模方法将车辆装备保障业务运行同系统组织结构结合起来.在分析车辆装备保障组织结构存在形式和运行特点的基础上,结合对业务组织概念的认识,提出面向业务过程的车辆装备保障组织建模框架及基本步骤,系统阐述了车辆装备保障组织建模的图形化描述方法,提出了综合运用IDEF0和IDEF3的面向业务过程的车辆装备保障组织建模方法.     

装备器材需求分析与预测方法

器材是保障装备动用计划落实与维修任务完成的重要资源,针对装备器材管理工作基础——器材需求确定过程中所涉及的相关问题,整理、分析了国内外相关研究现状,重点对初始器材需求分析、后续器材预测方法进行综述,并着眼于系统工程,充分考虑维修保障及器材保障的相互影响,对器材需求分析与预测方法的进一步研究重点与趋势进行了展望。     

Terrorism,insurgency, kidnapping,and security in Africa's energy sector

Energy continues to serve as the bedrock of modern economies and the main driver of modern society. For Africa, the production and supply of energy resources such as crude oil, natural gas, uranium, coal, biomass, biofuels and other renewables are an important source of employment, rents, taxes, royalties and profits. This sector brings in several tens of billions of dollars of revenue annually. The production and delivery of such resources, however, depend on critical infrastructures such as pipelines, refineries, processing plants, terminals, rigs, electrical energy pylons, substations, pump stations, vessels, and tankers. These infrastructures have been attacked by terrorists, insurgents, vandals and saboteurs, all of whom see them as targets against which to register their grievances and extract concessions from the state. This paper is a chronological account of some of the documented incidents of terrorism, insurgency, kidnapping, destruction, sabotage, and human casualties suffered in the oil and gas sectors in Africa between 1999 and 2012. It is based on data extracted from the databases of the RAND Database of World Terrorism Incidents and the University of Maryland's Global Terrorism Database (GTD).     

Helping hands: civil–military cooperation and Italy's military operation abroad

In the Post-Bipolar Era the growing complexity of the military operations requires a new approach for the resolution of international crises. Since the end of the Cold War, peace support operations (PSO) have become the mainstay and principal occupation of most Western armies. At the same time, Italy has been one of the most important actors in such an area. The article focuses on the cooperation between military and civil components (a process called CIMIC) as a key variable in the Italian PSOs. We will analyse in detail the main lessons learned from past military interventions as well as the general context in which new tendencies are taking place. The maintaining of a minimum security frame becomes essential to fulfil activities ‘collateral’ to the mission: reconstructing services and infrastructure, food distribution, water and medication, law and order, de-mining, training of local forces, and supporting local institutions. These are the main tasks to obtain thrust and support from the population.     

Tacit support for terrorism: The rapprochement between the USSR and Palestinian guerrilla organizations following the 1967 war

This article demonstrates the inconsistent and wavering Soviet attitude towards national liberation movements in general and the Palestinian organizations in particular. Until the late 1960s, the Soviets viewed these organizations with suspicion, hesitating to engage in political dialogue with them. However, in the 1970s, political and military events in the region, as well as modifications in the Kremlin's Cold War strategies, led to a general shift towards the Middle East in Soviet foreign policy. Soviet leaders showed increased willingness to provide certain Palestinian organizations with arms with which to conduct terrorist activities against Israeli, pro-Israeli, Jewish and Western targets. The article explores the complex relations between Palestinian organizations and the USSR in the field of international terror. The study also exposes and analyzes the nature and content of Soviet–Palestinian arms dialogues and transactions. It provides clear evidence that Soviet policymakers and other luminaries were fully informed of, and sometimes directly involved in, these transactions and dialogues at the highest levels.     

A1 Qaeda and the radical Islamic challenge to western strategy

The September 11 global crisis prompted by the attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon raises major questions concerning the nature and trajectory of terrorism in the post-Cold War global order. Hitherto, terrorism has been largely debated by analysts at the level of nation states. Terrorist and insurgent movements have also been largely anchored in nationalist and ethnic power bases even when they have sought to mobilise a transnational ideological appeal on religious or class grounds. There have been a few exceptions to this pattern such as the alliance between the German Baader-Meinhof group and the Japanese Red Army Faction, but even such international alliances as this did not, until at least the 1980s, presage anything like a global terrorist network necessitating a global strategic response. This study examines terrorism and global strategic responses.     

Helping hands: external support for the KNU insurgency in Burma

This article analyses to what extent the Burmese KNU insurgency made use of external support from states, refugees, and diasporas. Based on extensive fieldwork it is concluded that support from neighbouring states and refugees has for years kept the Karen rebellion alive. Western countries perceived forms of resistance to the illegitimate Burmese regime as just and have therefore played a crucial role in the continuation of conflict in Karen State. It is important that policymakers and donors as well as executing organizations continue to reflect critically on the way they exercise their work.     

基于GTST-DMLD-ESD的装备RMS建模仿真

装备的RMS是装备的重要设计参数,是影响战备完好和保障能力的关键因素.引入GTST-DMLD作为主要建模工具,建立起装备系统的RMS描述模型,以ESD为补充和扩展,对维修过程进行建模.并以GTST-DMLD-ESD模型作为装备RMS仿真的核心,对装备RMS仿真模型的总体框架进行了研究,并对各模块进行了较为详细的探讨.     

Cyber sheiks and grassroots jihadis: the war in Syria and the devolution of the Bosnian Salafi communities

ABSTRACT

What was the scope of the Bosnian jihadi participation in the war in Syria? Did the Bosnian volunteers tend to join one particular faction? Why did the Bosnian youngsters decide to join the holy war in the Levant? Was this an organized and hierarchical process or was this a grassroots movement? Last, were all the Salafis in Bosnia supportive of this dynamic or did this process cause internal frictions? These are some of the questions that this research will try to answer.     

Country survey XVI the defence sector in the economy of a declining superpower: Soviet Union and Russia, 1965-2001

The Soviet Union was able to develop a large military-industrial complex and become the world's second superpower despite deficiencies in its centrally planned economy because defence was given high priority status and special planning, rationing and administrative mechanisms were used to attain national security objectives. However, in the period 1976-85 the effectiveness of priority protection diminished and defence institutions experienced more of the problems typical of the shortage economic system. The heavy defence burden also created growing difficulties for the civilian economy. The attempts by the Gorbachev government to reform the defence sector and improve defence-economic relationships during perestroika (1985-91) uniformly failed. For most of the transition period, the Russian military-industrial complex has been adversely affected by its low priority status, cuts in defence spending, instability of the hybrid politico-economic system, and negative growth of the economy. The armed forces and defence industry have been reduced in size and their outputs of military services and equipment have fallen to low levels. Nevertheless, the Russian armed forces still have over one million troops, significant stocks of sophisticated conventional weapons, and a large nuclear arsenal. The government of President Putin has raised the priority of the defence sector, increased real defence spending, and adopted ambitious plans to revive Russian military power. It is likely, though, that tight resource constraints will hamper efforts to reform the armed forces and to upgrade weapons. By 2010 Russia will be an important, but not dominant, military power in Eurasia.     

Traffickers,terrorists, and a ‘new security challenge’: Russian counternarcotics strategy and the Federal Service for the Control of the Drugs Trade

The collapse of the Soviet Union precipitated the massive expansion of drug use and trade in Russia. The country now has one of the largest populations of injecting drug users in the world and has become the largest single-country market for Afghan heroin. In 2003 the Federal Service for the Control of the Drugs Trade was created to coordinate a comprehensive counternarcotics strategy appropriate to the scale of this threat. The service continues to face a number of challenges in its early stages of development. However, it has made considerable advances in improving responses to large-scale organised crime and in building international cooperation.