基于Demster-Shafer证据融合的战场态势判断模型

战场态势是指挥员制定作战计划、实施作战部署的主要依据,长期以来战场态势主要依靠指挥员和参谋人员的作战经验来判断,判断结果的可信性与适时性难以得到保证.在战场态势问题分解的基础上,针对各子问题相关信息"模糊性"大的特点,通过隶属函数进行处理,并采用Demster-Shafer证据融合模型融合决定性相关信息,实现战场态势的快速准确推理.最后,在这一模型的基础上利用计算机仿真进行了态势图景推理示例.     

基于作战知识的海战场对空防御深层态势分析

通过介绍作战知识的概念,分析了指挥员在作战指挥时获取作战知识的必要性,提出基于知识发现的战场态势层次化分析概念框架,并指出战场态势分析过程是从获取底层作战知识逐步上升到获取高层作战知识的逻辑结构。在此基础上,提出基于知识发现的海战场态势层次化建模框架,并对不同层次作战知识的获取方法提出了新的见解。研究结果有助于提高指挥员决策的速度和效能。     

复杂阵地态势可视化关键技术研究

为更好地部署武器,把握战场信息,提升空间环境感知能力,研究三维态势可视化技术与二维态势可视化及两者的实时联动,集具体、抽象为一体,来更丰富地展现空间环境,把握整个战场形势全局,为固定核心阵地作战指挥员提供了更灵活的使用方式和更完善、更逼真的信息展现,从而大大提升作战效率。     

实兵演习战场态势研究

实兵演习战场态势是指挥员通过实战化训练提升获取战场情况、指挥部队行动能力的重要支撑和手段。首先针对当前实兵演习战场态势存在的数据结构、传输机制、系统架构和聚合显示等重点难点问题进行了详细地阐述和分析，然后在此基础上提出了态势数据结构的层次化设计、按需公布订购的数据传输机制、态势框架的柔性化设计和基于作战能力的态势聚合机制等相关的解决方法。以期能够建立一个支持大规模、分布式联合应用，并且可以显示综合战场态势和专用战场态势的战场态势系统。     

径向基神经网络在潜艇战场态势判断中的应用

潜艇的战场态势判断是潜艇作战中的重要环节.一般情况下,对于战场态势是基于指挥员经验而判断的,其准确性不好,较强地依赖于战场指挥员的战术素养.由于不同潜艇战场态势决定不同目标的方位序列,提出了一种利用概率型径向基神经网络的方法,并通过目标方位序列与目标态势的一一对应关系,进行战场态势的判断.结果表明该方法具有较好的识别能力.     

基于大数据技术的军队指挥信息系统建设研究

军队作战指挥本质上是一个以指挥员为核心的信息交互活动，大数据技术的应运而生，将颠覆性地改变指挥之“器”—军队指挥信息系统的建设运用，实现战场态势全域感知、作战指挥异地同步，极大提高基于网络信息体系的作战指挥效能。该文在分析大数据时代指挥信息系统面临的挑战的基础上、提出了基于大数据技术的指挥信息系统创新途径对策建议，并对如何破解现实瓶颈问题进行了探讨。     

海战场态势评估问题的研究

对海战场综合态势进行态势评估和威胁分析是信息融合系统的最高层级,态势评估结果将对指挥员的指挥决策起到非常重要的作用。根据海军作战理论分析了海战场态势的表示方法,并基于模板方法设计了一种战场当前态势与模板数据库中态势进行匹配的算法。该算法特别适用于高层推理如态势或威胁评估。     

基于AR的单兵态势生成软件设计

根据单兵作战指挥系统对实时应急指挥和战场态势掌握的需求,研究基于AREngine平台用于单兵战场协同态势生成软件设计。利用国产智能手机对传统沙盘进行增强现实态势呈现,通过充分利用步兵指挥员及作战人员所配备的单兵系统核心处理设备——智能手机的强大AR功能,为作战人员提供步兵指挥、作战推演、力量部署及战场态势的逼真呈现,可用于战时筹备兵力、模拟训练时的战略部署等,具有较为现实的意义。     

通用作战态势图的构成与实现方法

通用作战态势图根据来自兵力级的多源信息,处理、显示目标航迹、身份、任务、地理信息等,形成战场态势综合显示,支持指挥员的战术态势分析、战术决策等任务,改善指挥员的态势感知能力,提高信息处理能力和速度,减轻压力和减少失误。面向态势感知的通用战术态势图(COP)的认知设计体系,描述了形成COP的数据来源及相应的数据关联和态势感知可视化的软件结构,并对COP中的战术目标群分类和目标数据采用模糊处理的方法,对COP工程化实现具有一定的借鉴意义。     

战场态势信息量的一种度量方法

恰当地度量战场态势信息量,是作战指挥、指控信息系统、通信系统等众多研究领域中一项重要的基础问题。从态势感知出发,将态势信息区分为彼此独立无关的“态”信息和“势”信息,结合Shannon信息论思想,提出了综合刻画态势信息量大小的方法,解决了传统战场态势信息量度量方法中未能包含态势变化趋势信息的问题,在此基础上给出了双节点要达到协同必须满足的态势感知一致性条件。     

微小RNA及其军事应用

微小RNA（miRNA）是一类小分子单链RNA,不编码蛋白质,但是通过抑制基因表达参与调控许多重要的生物学过程。最新研究发现。miRNA广泛存在于体液中,并且含量稳定。易于检测。其表达的变化可以作为一些非正常生理状态或者肿瘤等病理状态的分子标记。复杂战场环境及太空等特殊环境下人血清miRNA的表达谱可能是相关作业人员健康状态的指标．体液中miRNA的表达谱也可作为评价新型武器毁损效应的检测标志物。因此建立特定因素作用下人体液中miRNA的表达谱并建立快速小型化的检测装备。不仅可以服务于军事活动参与人员状态的监测。还能在武器装备研发中发挥重要的评估作用。     

Economic and environmental impacts of vertical and horizontal competition and integration

We explore the economic and environmental impacts of market structures (competition or integration at vertical and horizontal levels). We consider a bilateral duopoly consisting of two manufacturers and two retailers in which each manufacturer offers a wholesale price contract to the respective retailer. The manufacturers decide on wholesale prices and abatement efforts concerning pollution emissions related to manufacturing processes, whereas the retailers compete in quantities in the consumer market. To understand the comprehensive effects of market structures on economic competitiveness and environmental sustainability, we examine a measure of eco‐friendly social welfare, which is the ratio of social welfare and environmental pollution. Interestingly, we find that the market structures that have been believed to be more efficient are less efficient from a broader perspective: (1) double marginalization can generate higher eco‐friendly social welfare, and (2) horizontal competition between firms can result in lower eco‐friendly social welfare. Although vertical integration and horizontal competition yield greater social welfare by facilitating more production activities, these market structures often fail to induce sufficient abatement efforts to balance the polluting effect of the large volume, resulting in more significant environmental degradation. We also show that, despite the pollution‐curbing effect, higher emission penalties can result in less eco‐friendly social welfare. They can even curtail the abatement efforts of firms under particular circumstances. When products become more substitutable, the eco‐friendly social welfare can decrease depending upon the market structure.     

网络文化与高校思想政治工作

网络文化对人类社会产生了深刻的影响,受网络文化影响最深、最广的莫过于有较高文化层次的大学生.新时期的高校思想政治工作面临网络科技带来的发展机遇和前所未有的挑战.高校应采取积极的对策,占领网络这块阵地,促使思想政治工作再上一个新台阶.     

鲁迅与魏晋南北朝诗歌

鲁迅以魏晋诗人的人格理想对诗性精神的影响为思考脉络，来考察这一时期的文化风貌之于诗歌的意义，并用“魏晋风度”来概括。在精神文化传承上，鲁迅和魏晋诗人都对酒情有独钟，借助于酒文化获得精神上的超越。在艺术创作上，鲁迅诗歌与魏晋南北朝诗歌都有着沉郁、苍劲的特点，也都呈现出率真自然的风格。     

船舶工业军民技术创新链的构成及作用机制探讨

基于技术创新链理论的最新研究成果及船舶工业的特征,本文从系统论的视角分析了船舶工业军民技术创新链的基本结构及其作用机制。这些作用机制主要有供求机制、协同机制、共享机制、竞争机制、激励机制。研究表明,这五种作用机制对促进世界主要造船国的船舶工业军民技术创新起到了关键作用。     

建立完善红外光电产品技术标准 促进引导军民品装备及市场的发展

一．引言 随着红外热成像技术的发展及国外武器装备夜视装备的更新换代，我国海、陆、空、防化的武器装备均提出了装备二代热像仪的需求。红外热成像技术已经从一代发展到二代、三代，一代红外热成像装置采用红外探测器线阵扫描成像，二代和三代红外热成像装置则采用红外焦平面阵列，但总体上来说，二代和三代红外热成像装置仍处于发展阶段，相对于一代技术，二代热像仪的性能指标体系、     

气象水文软件测评系统建设研究

介绍了气象水文软件测评系统建设和研究情况,重点分析了测评系统的网络环境、硬件环境、软件环境、测试技术能力、测试流程管理等方面的建设和研究情况.     

Rebel politics and the state: between conflict and post-conflict,resistance and co-existence

Abstract

An important factor shaping the rebel-to-political transition of armed movements in post-conflict settings pertains to the political identity these groups develop in wartime. This political identity is itself a multi-dimensional concept shaped not only by the political ideology, practices and institutions established by the rebel organisation, but also by the relationship with the state and its political institutions. Far from functioning in a vacuum or isolated, rebel groups, especially when operating as alternative providers of governance, build multi-layered networks of relations with the state, the pre-existing traditional society institutions as well as with other domestic and international political actors. The study focuses specifically on two complex armed groups, Hezbollah and Hamas, relying on primary sources as well as in-depth fieldwork on these groups’ socio-political institution (In this case field work refers to both in-depth direct observation of the groups’ social networks and political infrastructures as well direct interviews and meetings with key stakeholders involved in the administration of those activities. The time-frame for the field work spans between 2008 and 2013). The research tracks their multiple interactions with the state through grassroots activism, institutional politics and governance. Despite their considerable differences, at their cores, both organisations operate in a liminal space between open war and fragile post-conflict setting; between grassroots activism and institutional politics; between armed resistance and political accommodation; and between competition and cooperation with the state. As such, they represent useful starting points to begin deconstructing and problematising existing dichotomies still prevalent in studying both rebel governance and rebel-to-political transitions, including the binary state-non-state opposition. In doing so, the analysis highlights the importance of taking into account the often hybrid and multi-layered political legacies adopted by armed groups during wartime and their impact in shaping their political trajectories as well as the potential roles for these groups in post-conflict settings.