无模糊长基线干涉仪测角的设计

首先介绍了被动雷达导引头干涉仪测角的特点,分析了干涉仪测角模糊的机理,进而提出了一种新的被动雷达导引头中长基线无模糊干涉仪测角天线系统组成的设计方法,并从数学模型上论证了该方法的合理性和有效性,该方法继承了长基线干涉仪测角精度高的优点,而且具有消除模糊的能力。     

基于虚拟目标的反舰导弹的最优制导律研究

为了对抗敌方预警系统的跟踪、预测以及远程防空导弹的拦截,反舰导弹的飞行弹道应采用大空域变轨弹道。将弹目相对运动分解为俯仰和航向两个平面内的运动,考虑了制导过程中能量消耗最小以及末端角度要求,分别设计了两个平面内的最优制导律。利用该制导律可以引导反舰导弹向大空域内任何虚拟目标进行变轨机动,从而实现了各种各样的大空域变轨弹道。只要虚拟目标参数设置合适,反舰导弹的各项性能指标均能满足要求。弹道仿真表明了所设计的最优制导律的有效性。     

《军事历史研究》20年载文分析

本文以《军事历史研究》创刊20年来所发表1898篇文章为对象,对其栏目、作者和注释进行了详细的统计与分析,期望从中归纳出该刊的载文特点。     

爆炸复合接头剪切强度测试方法研究

参照正交各向异性层压复合板层间剪切强度的测试方法,提出了用于测试爆炸复合接头复合界面剪切强度的3种方法;并建立三维有限元模型,分别对3种测试方法进行模拟;最后分别对3种方法进行了测试试验.结果表明,3种试验方法均能有效测试爆炸复合接头的剪切强度,其中对称试件双切口拉伸法最适合实际应用.     

舆论战的心理学解读

通过舆论传播平台传递信息,用以作用于受众的思想或心理,从而达到征服人心的目的,是舆论战的本质特征。利用宣传心理学的原理综合研究信息源、信息的性质和受众的特点这三个要素,是提升舆论战效能的必由之路。     

破片模拟弹侵彻钢板的有限元分析

根据破片模拟弹侵彻钢板的实验研究,采用MSC.Dytran对破片模拟弹侵彻钢板的侵彻过程、侵彻特性、钢板的破坏模式以及弹体的侵彻速度、靶板的侵彻阻力进行了有限元分析,并将分析结果与实验结果进行了比较.分析结果表明,破片模拟弹冲击钢装甲的侵彻过程可大致分为初始接触、弹体侵入、剪切冲塞和穿甲破坏4个阶段.有限元分析的破片模拟弹侵彻特性及靶板破坏模式与实验观测结果有较好的一致性,在靶板破口的正面,与弹体平面凸缘两端接触的部分,变形以剪切为主,而与切削面接触的部分,以挤压变形为主;靶板破口背面为剪切冲塞破坏;有限元模拟的弹体剩余速度与实验结果吻合较好,弹体侵彻过程中弹靶作用界面的速度和侵彻速度近似呈线性变化.有限元分析结果还表明,采用适当的模型,有限元法能较好地模拟破片模拟弹侵彻钢板的侵彻过程、侵彻特性以及钢板的破坏模式.     

基于改进TOPSIS法的维修保障系统效能评估研究

维修保障系统涉及因素众多,对其进行效能评估是一项非常复杂的问题.在分析TOPSIS及其改进方法的基础上,构建了维修保障系统效能评估指标体系,应用改进TOPSIS法对维修保障系统效能进行了综合评估,并将评估结果与AHP和突变评价法的结果进行比较,结论一致.为维修保障系统效能评估问题寻求出一种新的方法,其评估结果可为决策提供定量依据.     

Better is the Neighbor?

Abstract

This study applies the Sequential Panel Selection Method (SPSM), to investigate the convergence properties of the military expenditure of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) during the period of 1990–2015. Compared to the traditional methods, SPSM considers fundamentally general spatial homogeneous and heterogeneous relationships with countries and examines the evolution of military expenditure. We find that four-fifths of NATO member countries have been convergent with the UK, but no country’s military expenditure is convergent with the US. This means that there is no significant linkage effect in the US for NATO military expenditure. While they are allies of the US, the majority of NATO member countries’ military expenditures are consistent with UK military expenditure. The main reasons are due to the geographical space layout and the international relationship convergence. The results indicate that more than four-fifths of NATO member countries have been coordinated with convergence theory and spillover effect.     

A theory of war finance

This paper analyses the financial and war‐spending policies of a state that faces a conflict in which defeat would result in the loss of sovereign power and in which the material consequences, conditional on avoiding defeat, are stochastic. The analysis takes explicit account of the historical experiences of lenders, who face debt repudiation if the state to whom they have lent is defeated and who also face partial default if the material consequences of the war are unfavorable for the debtor state, even if it avoids defeat. In this analysis, the state uses war debt to smooth expected consumption intertemporally in response to temporary war spending, and the state also uses contingent debt servicing to insure realized consumption against the risk associated with the material consequences of the war. An important innovation in the analysis is to treat the equilibrium amount of war spending, the state's resulting probability of avoiding defeat, as well as the equilibrium amount of borrowing as a set of endogenous variables to be determined simultaneously.     

概念模型验证方法研究综述

概念模型验证是保证和提高仿真可信性的重要手段,是建模与仿真VV＆A中的重点和难点．首先将概念模型的验证方法划分为非形式化方法、静态方法、动态方法和形式化方法4类,并提出了一种基于本体推理的概念模型验证方法,然后对各种方法的基本思想、基本原理、基本过程、适用对象、优缺点进行全面的分析总结,明确了各种方法的优缺点和适用范围,为如何选用各种验证方法提供参考,也明确了下一步应重点研究的问题．