Production-allocation scheduling and capacity expansion using network flows under uncertainty

This paper extends Connors and Zangwill's work in network flows under uncertainty to the convex costs case. In this paper the extended network flow under uncertainty algorithm is applied to compute N-period production and delivery schedules of a single commodity in a two-echelon production-inventory system with convex costs and low demand items. Given an initial production capacity for N periods, the optimal production and delivery schedules for the entire N periods are characterized by the flows through paths of minimal expected discounted cost in the network As a by-product of this algorithm the multi-period stochastic version of the parametric budget problem for the two-echelon production-inventory system is solved.     

Transient analysis of Markov models of fault‐tolerant systems with deferred repair using split regenerative randomization

The (standard) randomization method is an attractive alternative for the transient analysis of continuous time Markov models. The main advantages of the method are numerical stability, well‐controlled computation error, and ability to specify the computation error in advance. However, the fact that the method can be computationally very expensive limits its applicability. In this paper, we develop a new method called split regenerative randomization, which, having the same good properties as standard randomization, can be significantly more efficient. The method covers reliability‐like models with a particular but quite general structure and requires the selection of a subset of states and a regenerative state satisfying some conditions. For a class of continuous time Markov models, model class C₂, including typical failure/repair reliability‐like models with exponential failure and repair time distributions and deferred repair, natural selections are available for both the subset of states and the regenerative state and, for those natural selections, theoretical results are available assessing the efficiency of the method in terms of “visible” model characteristics. Those results can be used to anticipate when the method can be expected to be competitive. We illustrate the application of the method using a large class C₂ model and show that for models in that class the method can indeed be significantly more efficient than previously available randomization‐based methods. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006     

Rebellion,Repression and Welfare

I develop a dynamic model of social conflict whereby manifest grievances of the poor generate the incentive of taking over political power violently. Rebellion can be an equilibrium outcome depending on the level of preexisting inequality between the poor and the ruling elite, the relative military capabilities of the two groups and the destructiveness of conflict. Once a technology of repression is introduced, widespread fear reduces the parameter space for which rebellion is an equilibrium outcome. However, I show that repression-driven peace comes at a cost as it produces a welfare loss to society.     

节点非独立失效下的局域网可靠性建模与分析

以具有层次结构的局域网作为拓扑模型,考虑共因失效和关联失效这2类节点非独立失效事件发生的情况,建立了交换机节点失效模型来模拟交换机失效,利用Monte-Carlo仿真算法近似计算出网络的两端可靠性,研究2种共因失效事件和3种关联失效事件对网络端端可靠性的影响。结果表明:因资源节点出现故障和协议层出现错误而导致交换机失效的共因失效事件均会降低网络可靠性,且资源节点失效概率或协议层失效概率越大,网络可靠性越低;而由于使用了热备份技术、堆叠技术以及发生广播风暴导致的关联失效事件,即使节点独立失效概率很小,只要相关因数足够大,故障都会快速传播,导致网络可靠性迅速下降。     

基于Hash运算的IPv6地址的分配与验证

目前在网络中，基于仿冒IP的攻击非常普遍，在IPv4中源地址验证比较困难，而在IPv6中，地址位较长，使得基于地址本身验证IP是否合法成为可能。Hash运算具有计算的单向性、寻找相同散列值的明文消息的困难性和对初值的敏感性，利用Hash运算生成IPv6地址，增加了伪造的难度，有效地防止了基于仿冒IP的攻击。     

消防灭火中致损行为的救济途径

消防部门在扑救火灾的过程中，往往会不可避免的对其他公民、法人或者其他组织造成财产上的损害，谁来为这些损失“买单”，已经成为消防部门目前所面临一个突出问题。通过对消防灭火行为的法律定性、分析国家赔偿与紧急避险理论，试图找到一个解决此类问题的有效救济途径。     

某型高射机枪机匣校正产生破断的原因分析

某型高射机枪机匣经调质后,在校正时发生破断。采用化学分析和宏微观断口观察等方法,对破断件进行了分析。结果表明,破断件断口上有局部过烧区,且在晶界上形成疏松孔,并伴有严重的氧化。在外力作用下即发生沿晶界脆性破断。     

基于插件技术的舰载指控系统应用框架

为提高舰载指控系统的灵活性和重用性,实现系统的按需配置与组合,在本编一体化、应用集成等技术基础上,提出了一种插件式舰载指控系统应用框架,详细的描述了该应用框架模型的组成以及框架内部消息通信机制,并对插件对象管理、本编一体化的集成框架等其中一些关键技术进行探讨.同时将这一理论成果成功应用到新型舰载指控系统原型的开发与实践中,实现了全插件式的舰载指控系统应用框架,实验证明该应用框架能显著提高指控系统开发维护的效率,是完全可行的.     

基于截断函数的有限时间滑模控制方法

针对一类二阶不确定非线性系统的鲁棒控制问题,提出一种基于截断函数的有限时间滑模控制算法。该算法具有以下特点:系统状态可在期望的有限时刻收敛为零;受控系统对外部扰动和参数不确定性具有全局鲁棒特性;系统状态的动态响应可解析预测;通过选择不同的截断函数可以实现对控制器性能的调节。仿真结果验证了所提算法的有效性。