关于我国突发事件应急救援体系的思考

进入新世纪以来,如何构建我国突发事件应急救援体系,形成灵活、高效、统一的政府应急救援联动机制,是当前急需着手解决的问题,是积极应对各种突发公共事件、保障社会和谐安全的主要对策。从突发事件应急管理现状出发,剖析了当前应急救援体系建设中存在的问题,提出了增强我国突发事件应急救援能力建设的方法,探讨了整体推进应急救援体系建设的途径。     

A generalized model for the economic design of x̄control charts for production systems with increasing failure rate and early replacement

This article generalizes the model for the economic design of x̄-control charts of Duncan [4], starting from the more recent papers of Lorenzen and Vance [8] and Banerjee and Rahim [3]. The classical model of Duncan [4] and its several extensions including the unified model of Lorenzen and Vance [8] assumed exponentially distributed in-control periods and provided uniform sampling schemes. Banerjee and Rahim [3], however, assumed a Weibull-distributed in-control period having an increasing failure rate and used variable sampling intervals. The present article is an extension of the work of Banerjee and Rahim [3], where a general distribution of in-control periods having an increasing failure rate is assumed and the possibility of age-dependent repair before failure is considered. Several different truncated and nontruncated probability models are chosen. It is proposed that economic benefits can be achieved by adopting a nonuniform inspection scheme and by truncating a production cycle when it attains a certain age. Numerical examples are presented to support this proposition. Finally, the effect of model specification in the choice of failure mechanism is investigated. © 1993 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.     

Minimizing quality control costs for laboratory instruments using information delays

This paper proposes the use of a cost-based statistical process control system for monitoring the quality of an unreliable analytical machine. In this environment the accuracy of the process cannot be determined by inspecting the output, but must be verified by analyzing standards of known values. The results demonstrate that a significant cost savings can be obtained if analytical results are placed in a “buffer” and their release delayed until the accuracy of the test can be assured. Results suggest the approach not only dramatically improves the quality of results reported but also significantly reduces the expected total cost of testing. © 1996 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.     

Reliability models and inference for systems operating in different environments

We consider a class of models for the reliability function of a series system. The models incorporate dependence of the function on environmental covariates. On the basis of censored data obtained by monitoring several series systems operating under various sets of values of the covariates, estimators are derived of the reliability function of a series system operating under a different set of values of the covariates. Estimators of various functionals of the reliability function, such as the trimmed mean and quantiles, are also presented. Asymptotic properties of the estimators are obtained with the use of the framework of counting processes and martingales. The loss in efficiency in estimating the regression parameters and the reliability function is also examined when one assumes a more general semiparametric model, when in fact the true model belongs to a more restricted model. We illustrate these procedures with the use of accelerated failure-time data. © 1996 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.     

The single period procurement problem where dedicated supplier capacity can be reserved

In this article we consider the single period procurement strategy for an item with uncertainty in its demand and uncertainty in the capacity of the supplier. Dedicated capacity can be ensured by paying a premium charge to the supplier. The other decision variable is the replenishment quantity to request. It turns out to be very easy to select the best value of this latter quantity. On the other hand, we are only able to characterize the general behavior of the expected profit as a function of the level of dedicated capacity. In general, there can be multiple local maxima as a function of the dedicated capacity. However, for the special, but important, case of normally distributed demand, normally distributed capacity and a linear cost for reserving capacity, an algorithm is developed for finding the best level of dedicated capacity. Some preliminary insights regarding the extension to multiple periods are presented. © 1995 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.     

A linear relaxation heuristic for the generalized assignment problem

We examine the basis structure of the linear relaxation of the generalized assignment problem. The basis gives a surprising amount of information. This leads to a very simple heuristic that uses only generalized network optimization codes. Lower bounds can be generated by cut generation, where the violated inequalities are found directly from the relaxation basis. An improvement heuristic with the same flavor is also presented.     

Optimal inventory policies for substitutable commodities with stochastic demand

In this article we consider a stochastic model for two products which have a single-period inventory structure and which can be used as substitutes for each other should the need arise. Substitution will occur with probability one, but at perhaps a different revenue level. We prove that the expected profit function is concave, allowing us to find optimal stocking levels for the two products. We compare optimum inventory levels for the case of single substitution with that where there is no substitution. It is demonstrated for the case of single substitution that total optimum order quantities can actually increase or decrease with the substitution revenue.     

Optimal shift scheduling: A branch‐and‐price approach

We present a branch‐and‐price technique for optimal staff scheduling with multiple rest breaks, meal break, and break windows. We devise and implement specialized branching rules suitable for solving the set covering type formulation implicitly, using column generation. Our methodology is more widely applicable and computationally superior to the alternative methods in the literature. We tested our methodology on 365 test problems involving between 1728 and 86400 shift variations, and 20 demand patterns. In a direct comparison with an alternative method, our approach yields significant improvements both in cpu time and in the number of problem instances solved to optimality. The improvements were particularly marked for problems involving larger numbers of feasible shifts. © 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 47: 185–200, 2000     

Capacity improvement,penalties, and the fixed charge transportation problem

Capacity improvement and conditional penalties are two computational aides for fathoming subproblems in a branch‐and‐bound procedure. In this paper, we apply these techniques to the fixed charge transportation problem (FCTP) and show how relaxations of the FCTP subproblems can be posed as concave minimization problems (rather than LP relaxations). Using the concave relaxations, we propose a new conditional penalty and three new types of capacity improvement techniques for the FCTP. Based on computational experiments using a standard set of FCTP test problems, the new capacity improvement and penalty techniques are responsible for a three‐fold reduction in the CPU time for the branch‐and‐bound algorithm and nearly a tenfold reduction in the number of subproblems that need to be evaluated in the branch‐and‐bound enumeration tree. © 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 46: 341–355, 1999