Tests for homogeneity of distributions of component lifetimes from system lifetime data with known system signatures

In this article, we discuss the problem of testing the homogeneity of distributions of component lifetimes based on system lifetime data when the system signatures are known. Both parametric and nonparametric procedures are developed for this problem. For nonparametric testing, the Mann–Whitney‐type statistic is used, and its performance and limitations are discussed. Next, we assume the component lifetimes to follow exponential distributions and then develop different parametric tests. Exact and asymptotic methods are developed based on the method of moments estimators. A Monte Carlo simulation study is used to compare the performance of different parametric procedures with that of the nonparametric procedure. Based on the results of the simulation study, discussions and practical recommendations are made and finally some concluding remarks are provided. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 550–563, 2015     

多平台对AAM协同制导交接班模型

通过对协同制导交接班的类型进行分析,建立了防空武器系统对AAM(Anti-aircraft Missile)协同制导交接班的坐标转换模型、误差模型及雷达截获概率模型。通过模拟产生随机误差,利用Monte-Carlo方法进行计算,得出不同误差源对协同制导交接班概率影响的定量关系。实验结果证明了所建模型的有效性,误差分析结论可作为协同制导交接班精度控制的依据。     

超音速微粒沉积Ti-45Al-7Nb-4Cr涂层的摩擦学性能

针对铝合金表面硬度低和易磨损的问题,采用超音速微粒沉积技术在5083铝合金表面制备了Ti-45Al-7Nb-4Cr合金涂层。利用扫描电子显微镜(SEM)和X射线衍射仪(XRD)对涂层微观形貌和物相组成进行了观察和分析,并对比测试了5083铝合金、Ti-45Al-7Nb-4Cr合金铸锭和涂层的显微硬度和摩擦学性能。结果表明:Ti-45Al-7Nb-4Cr合金涂层内部颗粒间存在冶金结合和机械嵌合2种结合方式,涂层与5083铝合金基体的结合方式为机械嵌合;涂层主要相组成为γ-Ti Al、α2-Ti3Al和β-Ti相;通过在5083铝合金表面制备Ti-45Al-7Nb-4Cr合金涂层,显微硬度提高4倍以上,磨损体积减少69%以上;涂层的磨损机理为磨料磨损和氧化磨损,具有较好的耐磨性能。     

一种改进的证据理论合成规则

随着证据理论在信息融合领域中的广泛应用,对冲突证据的处理成为证据理论和应用研究热点。提出了一种基于证据重要度和聚焦度的新的合成规则,首先根据各个证据的重要度对冲突证据进行修正,再对冲突进行细化并考虑证据焦元的基数对D-S合成法则的影响,将冲突信息提取后加入组合规则中。通过实验比较和分析,结果说明该方法不仅能够处理一般性冲突问题,也能处理"一票否决"和"鲁棒性"问题。     

浅析如何抓好“合训”学员入学（伍）擒敌术基础训练

新学员入校的“合训”质量,将直接影响以后四年的学习、训练效果。从重视擒敌术专业、结合学员实际、讲究训练方法等方面入手,对抓好入学擒敌术训练具有事半功倍的作用。     

海量数据装入技术研究

阐述了制约海量数据装入速度的5个主要因素,提出了减少磁盘I/O冲突、DBMS装入功能的选用、分解数据、预先排序、消除并发处理等5种主要的提高装入速度的办法,综合应用这些方法可以较好地解决海量数据装入速度慢的缺点。     

“Flectas non frangas”: revisiting early twenty-first century UK–US defense relations (2000–2005) after five years

Adopting the analytical framework of the established interpretive “schools” of Anglo-American relations, this article offers several reflections on UK–US defense relations as they occurred over the significant years of 2000–2005. During those years, trajectories were established on which UK–US defense relations continue to travel today and outcomes emerged which are still being navigated. This article concludes that the Latin phrase, “Flectas Non Frangas” (essentially translated as: “Bend not Break”), is the most appropriate to adopt to characterize the developments undergone in recent UK–US defense relations. Many historical and strategic lessons with contemporary relevance are drawn.     

基于Matlab的重庆地区太阳辐射仿真

针对年日照时数或累年日太阳辐射月均值误差较大,而逐时太阳辐射观测值虽然准确度较高,却数据量巨大,不便于研究使用和工程运用这一问题,结合太阳辐射数学模型和重庆市气象统计数据,采用先分别计算散射辐射和直射辐射,然后进行叠加的方式,利用Matlab软件建立了重庆地区太阳辐射仿真模型。仿真计算结果表明,该模型准确度较好,为进一步研究打下了良好基础。     

Double Mover–Stayer model on customer switching in telecommunications industry

Customer acquisition and customer retention are the most important challenges in the increasingly competitive telecommunications industry. Traditional studies of customer switching always assume that customers are homogeneous, and thus that model customer switching behavior follows a Markov formulation. However, this postulation is obviously inappropriate in most instances. Blumen et al. (Cornell Studies of Industrial and Labor Relations, Cornell University Press, Ithaca, NY, 1955) developed the Mover–Stayer (MS) model, a generalization of the Markov chain model, to relax the requirement of homogeneity and allow the presence of heterogeneity with two different types of individuals—“stayers,” who purchase the same kinds of products or services throughout the entire observation period; and “movers,” who look for variety in products or services over time. There are two purpose of this article. First, we extend the MS model to a Double Mover‐Stayer (DMS) model by assuming the existence of three types of individuals in the market: (1) stable and loyal customers, who have stable usage within the same company; (2) instable but loyal customers, whose usage varies within the same company over time; and (3) disloyal customers, who switch from one company to another to seek for new experiences or/and benefits. We also propose an estimation method for the DMS model. Second, we apply the DMS model to telecommunications data and demonstrate how it can be used for pattern identification, hidden knowledge discovery, and decision making. © 2012 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2012     

潜艇内置隔板流体特性

为了探究隔板对隔舱特性的影响,以带流水孔潜艇内置隔板为研究对象,对潜艇内置隔舱设置不同的隔板数目,基于大涡模拟(LES)方法进行三维仿真模型进行数值模拟,分析内置隔板对潜艇隔舱阻力以及流噪声特性的影响。结果表明,内置隔板与流体的作用直接影响隔舱的整体特性。隔板数越多,隔舱阻力越大,噪声级也越高,并且阻力以及流噪声与来流速度呈正比例关系,这为潜艇内置隔板的设计提供了参考。