战术防空激光武器发展概况

空中攻击与防空作战在相互斗争中发展,随着空中威胁目标种类变化、性能提高,作为防空武器的一个重要的新型分支,防空激光武器在快速发展,将在近程防空与反导中起重要作用。综述了空中威胁变化对激光武器的需求,激光武器的分类、组成与特点,以及国外战术防空激光反导武器系统发展概况。     

基于模糊集和证据推理方法的武器系统可靠性评估

提出了一种评估武器系统可靠性的新方法。在这种方法中,武器系统中各组成部分及零部件的可靠性用模糊语言变量来表示,利用证据推理方法合成各子系统零部件的可靠性评估结果,提高了各子系统的可靠性水平。文中以某高炮系统的可靠性评估阐述了该方法的应用情况     

电场引信的动作判据分析

讨论了海洋船舶交变电场衰减的基本特征.根据海洋对不同频率电场信号的穿透深度不一样的原理,分析推导了电场引信点火动作的判决依据.引信设计时选择不同的频率信号进行处理,使用电场模量门限、电场上升斜率、不同频率电场上升斜率比及其组合等参数可以简便地控制电场引信,使电场引信具有良好的动作区域性.     

世界武器装备发展趋势

科学技术的飞速发展及其在军事领域的广泛应用,物化出全新的武器装备。文章分析世界各军事强国在感知装备、主战平台、精确制导武器、信息对抗装备、太空及新概念武器等方面加大研发力度,呈现出的全新发展态势。它推动军事领域深层次变革,对现代战争产生广泛而深刻的影响。     

基地化试验训练研究与启示

自动控制技术、信号处理技术、元器件工艺水平等的进步,推进了武器装备集成化、标准化和小型化,使其呈现出信息化程度高、系统性强、维护维修性复杂等特点。为满足武器装备作战训练的需求,本文阐述了基地化试验训练的基础,分析了基地化试验训练现状,提出基地化试验训练建设发展启示,以提高武器装备的作战应用水平。     

基于遗传BP神经网络的装备研制风险分析方法

简要介绍了GA和BP算法,利用遗传算法全局性搜索的特点,改变BP算法依赖梯度信息的指导来调整网络权值的方法,寻找最为合适的网络连接权和网络结构,提出了遗传算法优化BP神经网络的思路及其数学模型.最后,结合对某型航空装备的风险源的分析,利用此优化模型进行了验证.结果表明了该方法的可行性,为装备研制风险分析提供了一种新思路.     

某新型轮式榴弹炮武器系统效能分析

某新型轮式榴弹炮是装备于轻型机械化部队的,针对陆战场防御与进攻作战需求的新型火炮。针对该新型轮式榴弹炮的特点,对该火炮的武器系统进行分类,并综合运用ADC模型和指数法分析模型对该武器系统各子系统的效能进行建模分析,同时通过系统效能量化求解表明该型榴弹炮具有较强的运动性和比较理想的火力突击能力,从而对该火炮作战使用提供有价值的建议和理论依据,同时有助于指导该类武器系统装备体系的建设。     

The myth of Afghan electoral democracy: the irregularities of the 2014 presidential election

ABSTRACT

This article systematically assesses the 2014 Afghanistan Presidential Election, the first transfer of power from President Hamid Karzai to an elected successor, using provincial voting data as well as explicit data from polling centers. The analysis finds unusual voting results in the April election, where no candidate received 50%+1 votes required by the Afghan constitution, versus the voting results realized for the June ‘runoff election.’ As in other Afghan voting analyses, this article finds voting based on ethno-linguistic preferences, and interestingly found Dr. Ashraf Ghani receiving almost all the swing votes in the runoff election even though the other leading candidate from the April election all endorsed Dr. Abdullah Abdullah. More importantly, however, the research presented here clearly finds extremely strange voting patterns. For example, the polling data center analysis finds 606 polling places where Ghani received all 600 votes and Abdullah received none and another 900 polling centers that gave virtually all its votes to Ghani. These results in combination with other analyses raise the very real possibility that the election results were illegitimate. The article concludes with a discussion of the implications of the research to future Afghan elections and their processes as well as to the long-standing conflict in the country.     

Technical and proliferation‐related aspects of the dismantlement of Russian Alfa‐Class nuclear submarines

When does a state become a “nuclear weapon state”? How we choose to answer this question has significant implications for proliferation assessment, analysis, and policy. Traditionally, the standard demarcation line has been a state's first nuclear test, but in recent years analysts have increasingly focused instead on the accumulation of a significant quantity (SQ) of fissile material. The article argues that although the test/no-test indicator clearly has problems, its replacement by the SQ/no-SQ indicator would be highly counterproductive. The article instead proposes supplementing the traditional test/no-test indicator with a theory-driven approach that focuses on the incentives and disincentives to test.     

微小RNA及其军事应用

微小RNA（miRNA）是一类小分子单链RNA,不编码蛋白质,但是通过抑制基因表达参与调控许多重要的生物学过程。最新研究发现。miRNA广泛存在于体液中,并且含量稳定。易于检测。其表达的变化可以作为一些非正常生理状态或者肿瘤等病理状态的分子标记。复杂战场环境及太空等特殊环境下人血清miRNA的表达谱可能是相关作业人员健康状态的指标．体液中miRNA的表达谱也可作为评价新型武器毁损效应的检测标志物。因此建立特定因素作用下人体液中miRNA的表达谱并建立快速小型化的检测装备。不仅可以服务于军事活动参与人员状态的监测。还能在武器装备研发中发挥重要的评估作用。