基于多子网语言决策图的空管体系绩效评估

为评估空管体系综合绩效水平,制定了关键绩效领域和指标,提出基于多子网语言决策图的群体评估模型。采用多子网策略分析领域及指标间的影响关系,应用语言尺度辅助群体专家建立了领域及指标间的初始判断矩阵和影响连接矩阵。给出了模型的求解方法,在求得各子网内准则的全局权重后,聚合即可得到体系的综合评估值。案例分析表明,相比于不考虑领域及指标间影响的情况,模型结果能更客观、全面地展示各领域及指标的权重,更显著地揭示空管体系间的差距。     

基于合作博弈的智能集群自主聚集研究

智能集群是指由大量智能体构成、采用自组织策略协作完成任务的群体。以无人车集群系统协同监视再入体着靶过程为任务背景,开展智能集群自组织策略的关键技术研究。设计了无人车集群执行再入体着靶协同监视的集群行为模式,提出了基于合作博弈的智能集群自组织策略,各智能体以实现群体聚集为“合作目标”,以降低自身能量消耗为“竞争目标”,开展博弈,基于微粒群算法规划局部路径,最终使群体系统涌现出聚集行为。仿真实验验证了设计的自主聚集策略的有效性。     

功率循环下IGBT模块电热参数变化规律分析

为了分析IGBT模块老化过程中电热参数的变化规律,对IGBT模块进行了功率循环加速老化试验,并基于单脉冲测试方法在加速老化试验进程中每间隔1 000次功率循环,测取一次IGBT的结温、集电极电流与饱和压降三维关系曲面、开关能耗、热阻抗以及瞬态热阻抗曲线。IGBT模块老化失效时,其饱和压降、开通能耗、关断能耗以及热阻较其初始值分别增大了3.92%、12.05%、18.87%和22.65%,试验结果表明随着IGBT模块功率循环次数的增多,相同工作条件下IGBT饱和压降的增幅逐渐加大,而饱和压降、结温和集电极电流三者间的内在关系没有明显变化;IGBT瞬态热阻抗曲线暂态部分几乎不变,稳态部分向上移动的幅度逐渐加大;测取的IGBT模块电热参数中饱和压降增幅最小,开关能耗增幅较大,模块热阻的增幅最为明显。     

Business and peace in the Niger Delta: what we know and what we need to know

The global restructuring of state–society relationships driven by neoliberal logic has not only allowed for the taming of the ‘state’, which has paradoxically accentuated its inadequacies, but has also facilitated, for better or for worse, the emergence of business – especially transnational corporations – as a major political force in global governance. Consequently, while the issues of peace and conflict have traditionally been the concern of governments, businesses are now increasingly being expected to make peace and conflict their concern. However, despite claims and counterclaims that businesses can be moneymakers and peacemakers, analyses of the relationship between business and peace remain largely embryonic. This paper seeks to contribute to this emerging business and peace debate by drawing on insights from the Niger Delta conflict to ascertain what we know and what we need to know if businesses are to become peacemakers in conflict zones in Africa.     

双基地中两坐标收站的三维定位跟踪算法

文中讨论了Ｔ／Ｒ—Ｒ型双基地系统中无俯仰信息收站对运动目标的三维定位跟踪能力;通过若干观测点上测量数据的组合,较好地实现厂对运动目标的三维定位跟踪,从而可以将目标的高度信息从变化的距离和之差的测最值中提取出来。文中以仿真手段证明了这种方法的可行性。     

防空导弹制导系统一体化仿真系统框架

介绍了一种采用现代先进仿真技术思想、支持面向对象的建模与仿真、用于防空导弹全弹道飞行动态仿真的一体化仿真系统框架 ,详细说明了它的主要特点、构成及各部分的功能     

磁性合金A1-xBx相图的理论计算

采用变分累积展开方法,研究了块体磁性合金的相图.利用随机键海森堡模型计算了面心立方、体心立方的居里点和耐尔点,给出了磁性合金临界点的计算公式,进而分别给出自旋1/2和3/2情况下Tc-x相图,并加以分析.     

Convolutions and generalization of logconcavity: Implications and applications

Additive convolution of unimodal and α‐unimodal random variables are known as an old classic problem which has attracted the attention of many authors in theory and applied fields. Another type of convolution, called multiplicative convolution, is rather younger. In this article, we first focus on this newer concept and obtain several useful results in which the most important ones is that if is logconcave then so are and for some suitable increasing functions ?. This result contains and as two more important special cases. Furthermore, one table including more applied distributions comparing logconcavity of f(x) and and two comprehensive implications charts are provided. Then, these fundamental results are applied to aging properties, existence of moments and several kinds of ordered random variables. Multiplicative strong unimodality in the discrete case is also introduced and its properties are investigated. In the second part of the article, some refinements are made for additive convolutions. A remaining open problem is completed and a conjecture concerning convolution of discrete α‐unimodal distributions is settled. Then, we shall show that an existing result regarding convolution of symmetric discrete unimodal distributions is not correct and an easy alternative proof is presented. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 63: 109–123, 2016     

灰色预测模型在非致命武器经济寿命预测中的应用

针对目前非致命武器经济寿命方面的研究相当缺乏的现状，结合非致命武器的自身特点，在全面分析装备全寿命周期费用的基础上，引入灰色理论，运用GM（1，1）模型对非致命武器的经济寿命周期费用进行估算和预测。通过分析，灰色预测模型具有较高的建模精度，预测方法和结果对非致命武器的经济寿命预测具有很强的实用性。     

A bivariate optimal replacement policy for a cold standby repairable system with repair priority

In this article, an optimal replacement policy for a cold standby repairable system consisting of two dissimilar components with repair priority is studied. Assume that both Components 1 and 2, after repair, are not as good as new, and the main component (Component 1) has repair priority. Both the sequence of working times and that of the components'repair times are generated by geometric processes. We consider a bivariate replacement policy (T,N) in which the system is replaced when either cumulative working time of Component 1 reaches T, or the number of failures of Component 1 reaches N, whichever occurs first. The problem is to determine the optimal replacement policy (T,N)* such that the long run average loss per unit time (or simply the average loss rate) of the system is minimized. An explicit expression of this rate is derived, and then optimal policy (T,N)* can be numerically determined through a two‐dimensional‐search procedure. A numerical example is given to illustrate the model's applicability and procedure, and to illustrate some properties of the optimal solution. We also show that if replacements are made solely on the basis of the number of failures N, or solely on the basis of the cumulative working time T, the former class of policies performs better than the latter, albeit only under some mild conditions. © 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010