马尔可夫过程的k/N系统使用任务完成能力分析

研究了任务期间允许换件维修和备件供应时k/N系统的任务完成能力.首先,利用马尔可夫过程分析了k/N系统的状态转移过程,研究了k/N系统在特定维修保障策略下的运行过程.然后,以k/N系统固定任务时间内在正常状态停留时间的分布函数作为其任务完成概率模型,并通过全概率分解和更新过程的分析方法对任务完成概率进行求解.最后,利用任务完成概率模型在Matlab中绘制了任务完成概率随任务时间、任务量、备件携行数量以及备件平均供应时间的变化曲线,讨论并分析了对任务完成概率的影响.     

进气口位置和进气体积流量对油罐油气惰化置换效率的影响

采用机械通风方式对油罐油气进行处理,具有安全性差、通风时间长和效率低下的缺点;利用燃惰气对油罐油气进行处理,可较好地克服上述缺点。在前期研究的基础上,设计模拟实验台架,以燃惰气为介质,实验研究进气口位置和进气体积流量对燃惰气惰化置换油罐油气的影响。     

由“波音737max事件”引发的对信息智能时代武器装备质量管理的思考

本文基于"波音737max事件"这一新世纪以来最严重的系列空难,对事件发生过程进行还原性概述,发现空难事故主要由于硬件装备设计与软件装备质量存在问题,指出了波音公司的质量管理在认识程度、管理体系、信息交流和检测方法等方面存在问题,由此引发出对信息智能时代武器装备质量管理的思考。本研究以"波音737max事件"为基础,围绕信息智能时代特点,结合我国装备质量管理存在的问题,对加强信息智能时代武器装备质量管理提出了树立正确认识、完善质量管理体系、加强信息交流和强化人才队伍建设等建议,以期为强军之旅保驾护航。     

Designing and pricing menus of extended warranty contracts

Extended warranties provide “piece of mind” to a consumer in that product failures which occur after the base warranty expires are rectified at little or no cost. They also provide an additional source of revenue for manufacturers or third‐party providers, such as retailers or insurance providers, and help cultivate consumer loyalty. In this article, we analyze a number of extended warranty contracts which differ in design, including restrictions on deferrals and renewals. With the use of dynamic programming, we compute the optimal strategy for a consumer with perfect information and determine the optimal pricing policy for the provider given the consumer's risk characterization. We also provide insight into when different contracts should be issued. Finally, we illustrate how profits can be dramatically increased by offering menus of warranty contracts, as opposed to stand alone contracts, with the use of integer programming. Surprisingly, risk‐taking consumers provide the greatest benefit to offering menus. These insights can help a company develop a comprehensive warranty planning strategy for given products or product lines. © 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 2009     

智能时代的军事训练变革

随着智能技术的发展,人类已逐步迈入智能时代,而智能时代催生了军事训练变革。本文从智能技术影响军事训练典型领域的角度,分析了智能时代背景下,以大数据和人工智能为核心的智能技术,如何影响军事训练的理念、内容、方式及管理,并催生了这些领域的变革。研究表明,智能时代发展背景下,军事训练理念将更加先进,训练内容更加融合,训练方式更加有效,训练管理更加精准。     

Optimal design of accelerated life testing plans for periodical replacement with penalty

Accelerated life testing (ALT), enhanced by optimal test plans, has been widely accepted in practice as a quick approach for estimating the reliability of a product. From the estimation result, preventive maintenance schedules can be determined to ensure the performance of the product under its normal operating conditions. By default, maintenance decision‐making is regarded as the last and least rewarding step. However, sometimes the maintenance schedules, such as preventive maintenance intervals, are predetermined due to customer concerns and/or by various mandatory regulations and rules. Under such circumstances, how to accurately estimate the expenditure (e.g., on maintenance or spare parts management) associated with these maintenance requirements becomes an important issue. A viable solution is to incorporate the maintenance requirements into ALT plans. This paper provides an approach for the optimal design of ALT plans oriented by a mandatory periodical replacement schedule subject to a discounted penalty. The objective is to improve the estimation accuracy of the economic impact of this maintenance requirement. A numerical experiment is provided to demonstrate the approach in practical use. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 2009     

Consequence of reinforced SiC particles and post process artificial ageing on microstructure and mechanical properties of friction stir processed AA7075

Friction stir processing and post process artificial ageing was successfully carried out on AA7075 with and without reinforcement of SiC particles producing defect free processed zone with uniform distribution of filler material. Effect of SiC particle reinforcement and artificial ageing times on the microstructural modifications was characterized using optical and electron microscopy, electron backscattered diffraction and X-Ray diffraction. Hardness, impact and wear tests were carried out to investigate mechanical behaviour before and after processing. Reinforcement of SiC particles during FSP and subsequent age hardening treatment brought about nearly twofold increase in hardness and impact toughness values by the combined effect of grain refinement, Zener pinning, dispersion strengthening and precipitation hardening. Significant improvement in wear resistance in terms of wear loss was also observed after processing compared to the reference material AA7075-T6. Fractured surface of post FSP age hardened AA7075 alloy exhibited features of ductile fracture during Charpy impact test.     

无动力逃生梯部分替代疏散楼梯的可行性研究

从无动力逃生梯的工作原理、自身优点、疏散能力和产品造价等方面与安全疏散楼梯进行比较，对无动力逃生梯部分替代疏散楼梯的可行性进行了深入分析和探讨，最后得出可以根据建筑的消防安全疏散的实际情况部分替代疏散楼梯。     

串联系统预防维修周期优化策略研究(英文)

针对串联系统建立了基于可靠性约束的预防性维修优化模型,该模型充分考虑到预防维修可以提高系统可靠性的同时,其故障率会随着维修次数的增加而上升,引入役龄回退因子对预防维修活动前后系统性能的动态变化进行了描述.通过实例验证了该优化模型的正确性与可用性,对模型作进一步的扩展,还可用于更一般复杂的串并联系统.     

油罐油气惰化置换过程数值模拟研究

基于对油罐惰气置换原理的分析,建立了油气惰化置换过程的紊流模型,采用压力和速度耦合场的PISO算法,完成了油罐惰气置换过程的数值模拟研究。用原型实验数据对模型进行了验证,经验证对比表明模型与实验结果吻合较好。进一步研究表明,对于3 000 m^3的油罐,约整个置换过程的前9 600 s,罐内气体处于爆炸燃烧范围,置换约9 600 s后油罐已处于安全状态;＂置换死角＂出现在靠近燃惰气进口两侧的中央偏下位置;罐内各气体组分除在靠近燃惰气进口一侧的较小空间内对流扩散速度较大外,其他大部分位置各气体组分对流扩散速度较小。这些结论将为油气惰化置换过程的进一步优化提供一定的参考依据。